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Denver Nuggets vs LA Lakers Predictions, Player Props & Best Odds (Nov. 23)

Brady Trettenero

By Brady Trettenero in NBA Basketball

Updated: November 24, 2024 at 3:21 am EST

Published:


Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic controls the ball vs Lakers
Apr 29, 2024; Denver, Colorado, USA; Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic (15) controls the ball under pressure from Los Angeles Lakers guard Austin Reaves (15) and forward Anthony Davis (3) in the first quarter during game five of the first round for the 2024 NBA playoffs at Ball Arena. Mandatory Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports
  •  The Denver Nuggets visit the Los Angeles Lakers on Saturday night
  • The Lakers are 4.5-point favorites and -180 on the moneyline in the NBA odds
  • See below for Nuggets vs Lakers predictions, player props and latest odds for Nov. 23

The Denver Nuggets (8-6) are heading to LA to take on the Lakers (10-5) at crypto.com Arena on Saturday night at 10:30 pm ET. Both teams have their eyes on the prize this season, making this early Western Conference matchup worth watching.

Denver’s looking to bounce back after a tough one against Dallas last night, while the Lakers want to shake off a heartbreaker against the Magic. The oddsmakers are giving LeBron and company a slight edge at home.

Let’s dive into our Nuggets vs Lakers prediction for Saturday’s late-night action.

Nuggets vs Lakers Predictions

  • Best Bet: Lakers -4 (-110) at FanDuel
  • Lean: Over 234.5 (-115) at BetMGM
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The Lakers have been on fire to start the season, jumping out to a 10-5 record. They’ll be looking to shake off a tough last-second loss to the Magic. The offense has been clicking lately, ranking 6th in scoring, with Anthony Davis looking like his old dominant self (31.3 PPG).

Here’s the thing about the Nuggets – even though they’ve got the two-time MVP in Jokic, the Lakers have actually figured out how to slow him down. Remember that playoff series a couple years back? LA held the big man to just 22.8 PPG on 42.5% shooting. Davis is just a nightmare matchup for Jokic with his length and quickness.

Let’s be honest – the Nuggets are in a tough spot here. They’re playing their second game in two nights after nearly pulling off a huge comeback against the Mavs. That kind of emotional game takes a lot out of you, especially when you’re facing a rested Lakers squad the next night.

The betting line tells us something, too. It opened at Lakers -3.5 and has moved to -4.5 to some books, meaning the sharp money likes LA in this spot. Makes sense – they’ve been almost unbeatable at home this year with a 7-1 record at crypto.com Arena.

I’m rolling with the Lakers to cover the 4 points here. And while we’re at it, I like the Over too. Both teams play fast (top-7 in pace) and neither team is locking anybody down right now (both bottom-10 in defense). This could be a shootout.

DEN vs LAL Player Props

Player Points Rebounds Assists Three-Pointers Made
Nikola Jokic (DEN) 26.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 12.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 9.5 (Ov -140 | Un +105) 1.5 (Ov +135 | Un -210)
Jamal Murray (DEN) 20.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 3.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 5.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 2.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Michael Porter Jr (DEN) 17.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 6.5 (Ov +110 | Un -140) 2.5 (Ov +125 | Un -180) 2.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
Christian Braun (DEN) 13.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 4.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 1.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100) 0.5 (Ov -240 | Un +150)
Peyton Watson (DEN) 10.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130) 4.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100) 1.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130) 0.5 (Ov -180 | Un +125)
Anthony Davis (LAL) 28.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 11.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100) 2.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 0.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100)
LeBron James (LAL) 24.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 7.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100) 9.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 1.5 (Ov -200 | Un +130)
Austin Reaves (LAL) 16.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 3.5 (Ov +120 | Un -160) 5.5 (Ov +110 | Un -150) 2.5 (Ov +115 | Un -160)
Dalton Knecht (LAL) 12.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 3.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130) 1.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 2.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
Russell Westbrook (LAL) 10.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 3.5 (Ov -160 | Un +120) 4.5 (Ov -160 | Un +115) 0.5 (Ov -180 | Un +125)

NBA player props from ESPN Bet on Nov. 23.

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Anthony Davis has the highest points prop of the night at 28.5. The way he’s been scoring lately, we can’t argue with that number.

Meanwhile, LeBron’s rebounding prop of 7.5 looks a bit high. Our data suggests taking the under there, especially given his age and LA’s struggles on the glass.

A few props that caught my eye:

  • Dalton Knecht over 2.5 threes made (-105) at ESPN Bet: The impressive Lakers rookie has quickly become a major threat from deep. He’s drained 3+ triples in four straight games and should continue to let it fly in a high-scoring affair.
  • LeBron James under 24.5 points (-125) at ESPN Bet: James has gone under this total in three of his last four games. With Davis shouldering more of the scoring load, the under on LeBron’s points is a solid bet.
  • Austin Reaves over 5.5 assists (+110) at ESPN Bet: Reaves has emerged as a de facto point guard for the Lakers and is coming off a 9-assist outing against Orlando. The over on his dimes is strong value at plus odds.

Best Denver Nuggets vs LA Lakers Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Denver Nuggets +4.5 (-110) at Caesars +162 at DraftKings Over 234.5 (-110) at BetMGM
Los Angeles Lakers -4.0 (-110) at FanDuel -180 at ESPN Bet Under 235.5 (-110) at DraftKings

The Lakers are consensus 4.5-point favorites and -180 on the moneyline, which means the books are giving them about a 64.3% chance to win outright. The line has moved in LA’s favor since opening, suggesting the smart money likes the home team.

The Lakers have been dominant at home, going 7-1 at crypto.com Arena. They’ll be eager to bounce back after that heartbreaking loss to the Magic, especially against a Nuggets squad on the second night of a back-to-back.

YouTube video

That 235.5 total is the highest on tonight’s slate, and it’s no surprise why. Both these teams like to run (Nuggets 3rd, Lakers 6th in pace) and have plenty of firepower. The books have even odds on both the over and under.

Here’s something interesting – the NBA public betting data shows just 45% of bets are on the home team to cover. But the line has moved toward the Lake Show, which usually means some sharp bettors are backing JJ Redick’s squad.

For the best odds: FanDuel has Lakers -4 (-110), while BetMGM has Over 234.5 (-115). If you like LA straight up, ESPN Bet offers -180 on the moneyline.

Nuggets backers can get +4.5 (-110) at Caesars or +162 moneyline at the same book. The Over 235.5 is -110 pretty much everywhere aside from MGM.

 

Brady Trettenero
Brady Trettenero

Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor

Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.

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