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Thunder vs Kings Predictions, Odds & Player Props (Nov 25)

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in NBA Basketball

Published:


Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander battling with Sacramento Kings guard Davion Mitchell
Apr 9, 2024; Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, USA; Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (2) is defended by Sacramento Kings guard Davion Mitchell (15) on a drive during the second half at Paycom Center. Mandatory Credit: Alonzo Adams-USA TODAY Sports
  • Tied for first in the West, the OKC Thunder visit the Sacramento Kings on Monday night
  • The Kings enter Monday on a three-game losing streak, two at home to sub-.500 teams
  • See the Thunder vs Kings predictions, player props, and best odds for Nov. 25

Tied with the Warriors for first place in the Western Conference entering play on Monday, Oklahoma City Thunder (12-4, 4-2 away, 9-7 ATS) visit the sliding Sacramento Kings (8-9, 4-5 home, 6-10-1 ATS) at the Golden 1 Center at 7:10 pm PT/10:10 pm ET tonight. The Thunder, who haven’t lost to a sub-.500 team this season, are listed as 4.5-point road favorites.

Thunder vs Kings Prediction

  • Sacramento Kings +4.5 (-110) at Caesars
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    Sascha Paruk’s 2024-25 NBA betting record: 22-21 (+0.80 units). All wagers one unit unless stated otherwise. 

Coming off a solid 46-36 season, which included a 24-17 record at home, the Kings weren’t expected to regress when they picked up DeMar DeRozan in the offseason. But that’s exactly what’s happened so far. The Kings have sputtered to an 8-9 start and have only beaten one team that’s currently over .500 (Phoenix, twice, both times while Kevin Durant was absent).

The pieces are certainly there, though, and despite having a losing record to date, they Kings have a positive point differential and Net Rating (+1.7, 13th in the NBA). And on Monday, they get to face a banged-up OKC team that’s still without Chet Holmgren and Alex Caruso, and could be missing Isiah Joe, who’s questionable with a calf injury.

The Thunder finally saw Isaiah Hartenstein play his first regular-season game with the team, chipping in with 13 points and a game-high 14 rebounds in 29 minutes off the bench in Wednesday’s 109-99 win at Portland.

YouTube video

But the Thunder have hit a bit off a speedbump, overall, since their immaculate 7-0 start. The team is just 5-4 since and 0-2 on the road, losing at Denver (124-122) and at San Antonio (110-104).

I don’t expect a less-than-full-strength OKC team to dust aside a Sacramento squad that should be squarely in the playoff picture by season’s end.

OKC vs SAC Player Props

Player Points Rebounds Assists Three-Pointers Made
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) 30.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 5.5 (Ov -100 | Un -130) 6.5 (Ov +110 | Un -142) 1.5 (Ov -130 | Un -100)
De’Aaron Fox (SAC) 24.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 4.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 5.5 (Ov +115 | Un -148) 1.5 (Ov -154 | Un +120)
Jalen Williams (OKC) 23.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 6.5 (Ov +115 | Un -148) 4.5 (Ov -154 | Un +120) 2.5 (Ov +110 | Un -142)
DeMar DeRozan (SAC) 18.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 3.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 5.5 (Ov -100 | Un -130) 0.5 (Ov -154 | Un +120)
Domantas Sabonis (SAC) 17.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 13.5 (Ov +110 | Un -142) 5.5 (Ov -148 | Un +115) 0.5 (Ov -148 | Un +115)
Keegan Murray (SAC) 13.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 6.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) OFF 2.5 (Ov +135 | Un -142)
Lu Dort (OKC) 12.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 4.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) OFF 2.5 (Ov -100 | Un -130)
Kevin Huerter (SAC) 9.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 3.5 (Ov -130 | Un -100) 2.5 (Ov +140 | Un -182) 1.5 (Ov -154 | Un +120)

NBA player props from FanDuel on Nov. 25

SGA has the highest point total on the board at 30.5, followed by Fox (24.5) and Williams (23.5).

Sabonis has a monstrous rebound total of 13.5. Sabonis is currently second in the league in rebounding, averaging 13.1 RPG, trailing only Denver’s Nikola Jokic (13.9 RPG).

Best Thunder vs Kings Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
OKC Thunder -4.0 (-110) at FanDuel -175 at ESPN Bet Over 223.5 (-110) at Caesars
Sacramento Kings +4.5 (-110) at bet365 +158 at Caesars Under 224.0 (-110) at bet365

The Thunder/Kings point spread ranges from OKC -4.0 to -4.5. FanDuel currently has the best price on the Thunder to cover, listing OKC -4.0 at -110. Bet365 and Caesars have the best price on the Kings to cover, listing Sacramento -4.5 at -110.

Caesars also has the best Kings moneyline (+158) while ESPN Bet has the longest odds for a Thunder victory at -175.

There is a half-point range in the game total, as well. Bet365 is on the high end at 224 with -110 odds both ways while Caesars is on the low end at 223.5, again with -110 odds both ways.

The NBA public betting splits for Monday show the vast majority of money on OKC, both to win and cover. The Thunder are getting 65% of ATS handle as of 11:30 am ET and 90% of moneyline handle. The public also strongly leans to the over, with 82% of O/U handle on the over so far.

Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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