Two of the hotter teams in the Association square off in the quarterfinals of the NBA Cup on Wednesday night as the Atlanta Hawks (13-12, 6-6 away, 10-15 ATS) visit the New York Knicks (15-9, 8-3 home, 11-12-1 ATS) at Madison Square Garden at 7:10 pm ET. Though the Hawks have certainly upped their game the past two weeks, the Knicks are still big favorites in Wednesday’s NBA odds.

Atlanta Hawks vs New York Knicks Odds

The Hawks vs Knicks odds favor New York by 7.5 points and set the home side as a -320 moneyline favorite, which amounts to a 76.19% implied win probability. The Hawks come back at +260 to win straight-up, a 27.78% implied win probability.  Odds as of Dec. 11 at ESPN Bet. New users can claim an ESPN Bet promo to get a bonus for the NBA Cup. Check out SBD’s ESPN Bet app review here. 

One of the reasons New York is laying so many points is injuries on the Atlanta side. Bogdan Bogdanovic (12.4 PPG, 3.7 RPG, 2.1 APG,) is questionable with a quad injury; Jalen Johnson (19.8 PPG, 9.9 RPG, 5.5 APG) is questionable with a shoulder injury, while Trae Young (20.9 PPG, 3.9 RPG, 12.2 APG) and De’Andre Hunter (19.3 PPG, 4.0 RPG, 1.3 APG) are both probable with Achilles and knee issues, respectively.

That quartet comprises four of Atlanta’s top-five scorers. Neither Bogdanovic nor Johnson played in Atlanta’s last game, an ugly 141-11 blowout at home against the Nuggets on Sunday, which ended Atlanta’s six-game win streak.

The Knicks aren’t fully healthy, either. Josh Hart (13.9 PPG, 8.3 RPG, 5.5 APG) is questionable due to a sprained ankle, while Karl-Anthony Towns (25.1 PPG, 13.3 RPG, 3.1 APG) is dealing with a knee injury and is listed as probable.

Both played last time out, a 115-108 win at Toronto on Monday, with Towns scoring a team-high 24 points and grabbing a game-high 15 rebounds while also dishing out six assists.

ATL vs NYK Player Props

Player props as of Dec. 11 at DraftKings. Lock in this DraftKings promo code to bet on Wednesday’s NBA props. 

Wednesday’s NBA player props list Jalen Brunson (25.2 PPG, 2.9 RPG, 7.8 APG) with a game-high point total of 27.5 followed by Towns at 26.5. Young has the highest total on the Atlanta side at just 21.5.

Towns has the highest rebound total at 12.5, which is three higher than any other player on the board.

Young, the NBA’s assist leader, has a massive assist total of 11.5. Young’s 12.2 APG average is a full two assists higher than any other player in the league.

Hawks vs Knicks Predictions

Atlanta went on an impressive run from Nov. 27 to Dec. 6. Not only did they win six in a row, those wins included two victories over the NBA-leading Cavaliers, plus the Bucks and the Lakers. But I have very little confidence the injury-riddled Hawks are going to maintain that level of play for any extended period of time. We already saw the first steps on the road to regression last time out.

With Johnson and Bogdanovic both questionable again, I expect a fairly decisive win for New York tonight on their home court, where they’ve won seven of their last eight. The one loss in that span was their most-recent home game against Detroit on Saturday (120-111). The Knicks haven’t lost back-to-back home games since Feb. 27 and 29 last season. A bounce-back effort is likely.

But with all the injuries on the Atlanta side, I expect Young to shoulder a bigger scoring load that he usually does, so I’m also betting the over on his point total at 21.5.

• Knicks -5.5 (-156) at FanDuel
• Young over 21.5 points (-110) at DraftKings

Sascha Paruk’s 2024-25 NBA betting record: 30-32 (-3.38 units). All wagers one unit unless stated otherwise.

The post Atlanta Hawks vs New York Knicks Odds, Predictions & Player Props (Dec. 11) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

A rematch from last year’s playoffs highlights the NBA Cup quarterfinals on Tuesday night as the Dallas Mavericks (16-8,8-5 away, 14-9-1 ATS) visit the OKC Thunder (18-5, 9-2 home, 14-9 ATS) at the Paycom Center at 8:40 pm CT/9:40 pm ET. Despite a run of three straight setbacks to Dallas, OKC is a 4.5-point favorite in Tuesday’s NBA odds.

Dallas Mavericks vs OKC Thunder Predictions

• Mavericks +4.5 (-110) at ESPN Bet
• Doncic over 28.5 points (-120) at DraftKings
  
  

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Not only have the Mavericks been hot against OKC, they’re also the hottest team in the NBA overall entering play on Tuesday. Dallas has won seven straight games, three without Luka Doncic (28.7 PPG, 8.3 RPG, 8.1 APG), including a trio of wins over teams that are currently above .500 (Atlanta, Memphis, New York). Since Luka returned from a wrist injury on Dec. 1, he’s averaged 31.0 PPG, 10.0 RPG, and 9.5 APG in four straight wins.

In other words, the preseason favorite in the NBA MVP odds has picked up where he left off.

Fading the Thunder has been a dangerous proposition this season. Not only are they the top seed in the West right now, two games clear of Memphis, they also have the seventh-best ATS record in the Association at 14-9. Yet this Dallas team just seem to have OKC’s number. They went 2-1 straight-up in Oklahoma City during last year’s playoffs (winning the best-of-seven four games to two) and already beat the Thunder 121-119 in OKC this season without Luka.

The spread of 4.5 points is not insignificant. Dallas has a great chance to win this one straight-up, and I love them getting a handful of points.

DAL vs OKC Player Props

NBA player props from FanDuel on Dec. 10. 

SGA leads the Mavericks vs Thunder props at with a point total of 30.5. Doncic has the highest total on the Mavs’ side at 28.5. OKC early-season acquisition Isaiah Hartenstein has the highest rebound total at 11.5, three higher than any other player on the board. Hartenstein was picked up in an effort to fill Chet Holmgren’s minutes while the Thunder center works his way back from a hip injury.

Best Mavericks vs Thunder Odds

The Mavericks/Thunder spread is currently OKC -4.5 across the board with only slight variations in the odds. The vast majority of books have the line at -110 both ways, but OKC bettors can get the Thunder -4.5 at -108 at DraftKings.

On the moneyline, bet365 and ESPN Bet have the best price on Orlando winning straight-up at +155, while Caesars and DraftKings have the best OKC moneyline at -180.

There is a bigger range when it comes to the total. The O/U is as high as 231.5 (O -105/U -115) at BetMGM and as low as 230.5 (O -110 / U -110) at FanDuel.

Tuesday’s NBA public betting percentages illustrate two contrasting trends; the Thunder are getting 74% of moneyline handle but the Mavericks are getting 72% of ATS handle as 4.5-point underdogs.

The post Dallas Mavericks vs OKC Thunder Predictions, Player Props & Best Odds (Dec. 10) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

The shorthanded Orlando Magic (17-9, 7-9 away, ATS) visit the surging Milwaukee  Bucks (12-11, 8-4 home, ATS) at Fiserv Forum at 6:10 pm CT/7:10 pm ET tonight in the quarterfinals of the 2024 NBA Cup. With the Magic missing their two leading scorers, Milwaukee is a big favorite in Tuesday’s NBA odds.

Magic vs Bucks Odds

Milwaukee is a 7.5-point home favorite and -290 on the moneyline in the Magic vs Bucks odds, while Orlando comes back at +240 to win and advance to Saturday’s semifinals, where either the Hawks or Knicks will be waiting. 

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Down Goes Franz

As if missing All-Star Paolo Banchero (29.0 PPG, 8.8 RPG, 5.6 APG in 5 GP this year) wasn’t bad enough, Orlando got more bad news on Friday when Franz Wagner (24.4 PPG, 5.6 RPG, 5.7 APG) suffered a torn oblique during a 102-94 loss at Philadelphia.

Wagner will be out for four-to-six weeks. The Magic responded admirably in their first game without both their star scorers, taking down the Kevin Durant-less Suns 115-110, led by 26 points from Jalen Suggs.

The victory improved Orlando’s home record to a perfect 10-0, which stands in stark contrast to their 7-9 record in road games.

ORL vs MIL Player Props

NBA player props from DraftKings Sportsbook on Dec 10.

Giannis (32.5 PPG, 11.6 RPG, 6.2 APG) has the highest point total (29.5 O/U) and rebound total (11.5 O/U) of the night. After a relatively sluggish start to the season, Giannis as gone over 29.5 points in seven of his last eight games, averaging 34.4 PPG in that eight-game span. Giannis’ hot streak has coincided with Milwaukee’s surge up the East standings. After starting the year an ugly 4-9, they are now a game over .500 thanks to going 8-2 in their last ten.

Suggs (16.0 PPG, 3.9 RPG, 3.9 APG) leads the Magic players at 24.5 O/U. In Orlando’s only game without Wagner and Bachero this season, he had a team-high 26.

Magic vs Bucks Predictions

Orlando is running into Milwaukee at the wrong time and in the wrong place. They showed remarkable resilience last time out, maintaining their perfect home record without their two most-important players but that was a fatigued Phoenix team playing it’s second game in as many nights and third in four. Tonight, Orlando faces a rested and resurgent Bucks group that’s won seven of its last eight at Fiserv Forum.

• Bucks -3.5 (-170) at FanDuel
• Antetokounmpo over 29.5 points (-120) at DraftKings

The post Orlando Magic vs Milwaukee Bucks Odds, Predictions & Player Props (Dec 10) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

A rocky start to the season for the Minnesota Timberwolves (12-10, 5-6 away, 9-13 ATS) seems to be a thing of the past. The Wolves have won four straight, the last three by 17 or more points, all against teams that are over .500. On Sunday night, the Golden State Warriors (13-9, 6-4 home, 13-9 ATS) will look to bring Minnesota’s hot streak to an end when they host the Timberwolves for the second time in three days at the Chase Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 5:40 pm PT/8:40 pm ET and Sunday’s NBA odds list Golden State as a slight one-point favorite.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Predictions

• Timberwolves moneyline (+100) at FanDuel
• Steph Curry under 24.5 points (-115) at ESPN Bet
  

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It would be harder to pit a hotter team against a colder team in the NBA right now. Not only have the T-Wolves won four in a row, the last three all by massive margins over quality opponents, but the Warriors have managed just one victory in their last seven games.

Scoring has been the biggest issue for the Dubs. A couple weeks ago, the Warriors were the only team ranked in the top five in both O-Rating and D-Rating. Now, they’ve fallen all the way to 15th, and they’ve been held under 100 points in three of their last seven games.

On Friday, Minnesota took a lopsided 107-90 decision at the Chase Center, holding the Warriors to just 39.0% from the field and 28.2% from three. Steph Curry had a team-high 23 points for Golden State but was just 6-of-17 from the field.

Anthony Edwards, meanwhile, had his best game in weeks for Minnesota, dropping a game-high 30 with nine assists, four rebounds, two blocks, and a steal while shooting 11-of-18 from the floor (61.1%).

The Wolves finished +7 on the glass (48-41) and generated 22 Warriors turnovers.

While the recent trends for both teams go against what we saw from them at the start of the season, this regression/progression was expected. On paper, the Timberwolves are absolutely stacked, and the last four games have shown the ceiling for their roster with Julius Randle in the fold.

I expect recent trends to continue on Sunday night and Edwards to keep working his way out of an early-season funk.

MIN vs GSW Player Props

GSW Player Props

NBA player props from FanDuel on Dec. 8. 

Sunday’s NBA player props list Anthony Edwards (26.4 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 4.0 APG) with the highest point total of the night at 25.5 O/U, followed closely by Curry (22.6 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 6.5 APG) at 24.5 O/U.

Rudy Gobert (10.9 PPG, 11.1 RPG) has the highest rebound total on the board at 12.5 O/U. No other player has a total over 6.5.

Best Timberwolves vs Warriors Odds

The Timberwolves vs Warriors odds are fairly static across the board as of Sunday morning. The best ATS price on the T-Wolves is +1.5 (-115) at ESPN Bet, while the best spread option for Warriors bettors is -1.0 (-108) at DraftKings.

Most sportsbooks have the moneyline at Minnesota -105/Golden State -115. The main exception is FanDuel, which has a better moneyline option for the T-Wolves at even-money.

There is a one-point range in the Timberwolves/Warriors game total. BetMGM has best option for under bettors at 216.5 (U -110), while DraftKings has the best option for over bettors at 215.5 (O -112).

Sunday’s NBA public betting percentages show a conflicted betting public. The Timberwolves are getting 52% of ATS handle while the Warriors are getting 48%. Minnesota has a bigger percentage of the spread money, attracting 63% of ATS handle so far.

The public is also hammering the over, with 92% of money on the over so far.

The post Timberwolves vs Warriors Predictions, Player Props & Best Odds (Dec. 8) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

The surging Boston Celtics (19-4) welcome the Memphis Grizzlies (15-8) to TD Garden on Saturday night for an anticipated interconference clash. Tip-off is set for 8:00 PM ET.

Memphis is aiming to prove they can win on the road, where they’re a shaky 4-5 straight up this season. On the other hand, Boston rides a three-game win streak and boasts a strong 10-2 home record. Oddsmakers initially pegged Boston as 8.5-point favorites, but early action on Memphis trimmed the line to -7.5.

Can Memphis hang tough as road underdogs, or will Boston’s home-court dominance continue? Let’s break it all down with our best Saturday NBA bets and predictions.

Grizzlies vs Celtics Predictions and Picks

• Best Bet: Grizzlies +7.5 (-110) at ESPN Bet
• Lean: Over 237.5 (-115) at ESPN Bet

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Why Memphis Can Cover

The Grizz aren’t getting enough credit from the oddsmakers in this spot. Memphis enters scorching hot, winning four of five while covering the spread in seven of their last 10. They’ve been road warriors of late, covering in four of their last five away from FedEx Forum.

Make no mistake, this Memphis squad is legit. The Grizzlies rank 5th in Offensive Rating (114.5) and play at the NBA’s 6th-fastest pace, making them tough to slow down. With Ja Morant, Desmond Bane, and Jaren Jackson Jr. leading the charge, Memphis can score from anywhere.

JA MORANT TAKES FLIGHT pic.twitter.com/ZhJooIQxGs

— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) November 26, 2024

The Grizz also control the glass, ranking 2nd in rebound rate – a big advantage to have against a Celtics team that ranks just 18th in that same category.

Sure, the Celtics have been a juggernaut, especially at home. But they’re also an abysmal 2-8 ATS over their last 10 and consistently failing to cover these big spreads. Marcus Smart’s return to face his old Boston squad adds a little extra narrative juice to this matchup. I’m expecting a spirited effort from Memphis.

My Best Bet

Give me the Grizz and the points. This is simply too many to lay against a red-hot Memphis club that enters in better form than the Celtics. The Grizz are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 and match up well with their length, athleticism, and rebounding ability.

Bundled up for Boston pic.twitter.com/QwSLZ8FVl8

— Memphis Grizzlies (@memgrizz) December 6, 2024

Boston’s rest advantage is largely negated by the absence of Horford and the fact that key players like Tatum and Brown will likely have their minutes monitored. I’m banking on Memphis rising to the occasion in a playoff-like atmosphere and giving the C’s all they can handle.

The Celtics probably squeak out the W on their home floor, but I trust the Grizzlies to keep it within this generous number. Play Memphis +7.5 and consider a tickle on the moneyline at +240.

• Pick: Memphis +7.5 (-110) at ESPN Bet

Celtics vs Grizzlies Odds

Boston comes in as 7.5-point favorites, down from -8.5, signaling sharp bettors took Memphis early. The Grizzlies’ moneyline sits at +240 for a potential upset, while the Celtics are steep -290 favorites.

The over/under is set at a sky-high 237.5 points, hinting at a potential offensive shootout.It’s not hard at all to see why oddsmakers project a shootout. Boston averages 120+ points per game at home, while Memphis has been filling it up with 121 PPG over their last 10 contests.

The over is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings between these teams in Boston and 7-1 in Memphis’ last eight games at TD Garden. Unless the Grizzlies’ defense travels better than expected, this one could be a track meet.

Grizzlies vs Celtics Player Props

Here’s a glance at some of our favorite player prop picks for this Saturday night matchup:

NBA player props from DraftKings Sportsbook on Dec. 7.

These are the player props I’m targeting for Saturday’s matchup:

• Jaren Jackson Jr. over 19.5 points (-120): JJJ has gotten buckets in bunches lately, scoring 20+ points in five of his last seven games. He could exploit a Boston defense that ranks just 22nd in points allowed to PFs.
• Jaylen Brown over 2.5 threes (-130): Jaylen has been letting it fly from deep, hitting at least three triples in each of his last three games. He now faces a Memphis squad allowing the ninth-worst three-point percentage on the road (37.9%). Fire away.

The post Grizzlies vs Celtics Predictions, Odds & Player Props (Saturday, Dec. 7) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

The Minnesota Timberwolves will look to extend their three-game winning streak when they visit the Golden State Warriors on Friday night. Tip-off from the Chase Center is set for 10 p.m. EST on ESPN.

Golden State snapped a five-game losing streak by beating the Rockets 99-93 on Thursday without Stephen Curry and Draymond Green. But the Dubs could get their two stars back in the lineup for this divisional clash.

The latest Timberwolves vs Warriors odds show Minnesota as a 1.5-point road favorite, with a total of 219.5. The Warriors opened as 2.5-point home favorites, but the line has shifted towards Minnesota amid the uncertainty surrounding Curry and Green.

Will the well-rested Wolves take advantage of a Warriors squad playing the second game of a back-to-back? Or can Golden State ride the momentum from their much-needed win over Houston?

Let’s break down my Timberwolves vs Warriors picks and predictions for Friday, December 6.

Timberwolves vs Warriors Predictions

Minnesota has looked like a different team over the last week, using lockdown defense to spark a three-game surge. The Wolves have held their last two opponents to just 80 points each in impressive road victories over the Clippers and Lakers.

That defensive intensity starts on the perimeter with Anthony Edwards and Jaden McDaniels, and ends in the paint with four-time Defensive Player of the Year Rudy Gobert. Minnesota ranks 5th in the NBA in points allowed at 107.4 per game this season.

Rudy Gobert is going absolutely nuts right now, and it is so much fun to watch. pic.twitter.com/mURpkZGTvO

— Charlie Walton (@CharlieWaltonMN) December 5, 2024

The Wolves’ ability to get stops should loom large against a Warriors offense that mustered just 99 points without Curry on Thursday. Golden State is averaging only 105.7 points over their last six contests.

Even if Curry does suit up, it’s fair to wonder how effective he’ll be on a bad knee on the second night of a back-to-back. Andrew Wiggins and Jordan Poole will need to provide more scoring punch.

Steph Curry’s bilateral knee tendinitis is something he hasn’t dealt with before.

“It has the potential to be a nagging type thing if you don’t take care of it.”

“The deeper into your career, the more things pop up.”

Full soundbite pic.twitter.com/BAfrHwGLLx

— Anthony Slater (@anthonyVslater) December 1, 2024

The Timberwolves, meanwhile, have gotten stellar play from their role players of late. Julius Randle is coming off a team-high 20 points against the Clippers and provides another scoring dimension at power forward. Naz Reid, Nickeil Alexander-Walker and Donte DiVincenzo are also giving the Wolves a lift off the bench.

As slight road favorites, I like the value on Minnesota here, especially since Golden State is playing its third game in four nights and could be shorthanded once again. The Wolves have also won four straight games in this head-to-head matchup.

I expect the Wolves to win this one outright, so I don’t mind a play on their -120 moneyline. The NBA public betting trends show Minny getting 54% of the handle with only 42% of bets. There’s a reason this line has flipped completely.

For the total, I lean towards the under 219.5 points. Both teams rank in the top-10 in defensive rating, with the Wolves allowing just 84 points per game in their last three. The Warriors have also gone under in four straight and eight of their last nine overall.

Timberwolves vs Warriors Picks:

• Timberwolves ML (-120) 
• UNDER 219.5 (-115)

Latest Timberwolves vs Warriors Odds

The Timberwolves enter this matchup as 1.5-point road favorites at ESPN Sportsbook. Minnesota backers can get the Wolves at -105 odds to cover the short spread, while Golden State sits at -115 to cover as home underdogs.

On the moneyline, the Timberwolves are modest -120 favorites to win straight up. A $120 bet on Minnesota returns $100 in profit. Meanwhile, the Warriors are even-money (+100) on the moneyline, so a $100 bet returns $100 in profit if Golden State springs the upset.

The total for Friday’s contest is set at a modest 219.5 points, with the under juiced to -115. That indicates some early sharp action on a low-scoring game between these two defensive-minded teams.

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Odds current as of Friday, December 6 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN Sportsbook.

Timberwolves vs Warriors Injury Report

Both teams have some key names on the injury report heading into Friday’s Western Conference clash.

For Minnesota, Joe Ingles (calf) and Rob Dillingham (ankle) remain out. However, the Wolves are otherwise healthy, with all five starters expected to be available.

The story is quite different for Golden State, which could be without its best player for a second straight game. Stephen Curry (knee) is questionable after sitting out Thursday’s win over Houston. Draymond Green (calf) is also questionable after missing that contest, while Andrew Wiggins (ankle) is probable to play through a minor injury.

If Curry and Green can’t go, the Warriors will need big games from the likes of Wiggins, Jordan Poole and Jonathan Kuminga to keep pace with a Wolves squad that has hit its stride defensively. Kevon Looney would also be tasked with playing big minutes at center.

The post Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Odds & Injury Report (Friday, Dec. 6) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

An intriguing interconference matchup kicks off Thursday night’s NBA slate as Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets (11-8, 5-4 away, 7-11-1 ATS) travel to Ohio to face Donovan Mitchell and the NBA-leading Cleveland Cavaliers (19-3, 12-1 home, 16-6 ATS) at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse at 7:10 pm ET.

Nuggets vs Cavaliers Prediction

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• Donovan Mitchell under 26.5 points (-125) at DraftKings
  

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The Nuggets have been shockingly inconsistent all season, and especially in the last two weeks. Denver hasn’t won back-to-back games since Nov. 8th and 10th, and has alternated wins and losses over its last eight contests. They needed a miraculous nine-point comeback in the final six minutes against Golden State last time out to emerge with a 119-115 win at home.

Three-time MVP Nikola Jokic was all-world in the victory, dropping 38 points and 10 rebounds to go along with six assists and  five steals.

The Cavaliers’ play has dipped a bit since their stunning 15-0 start, going just 4-3 in their last seven. But that includes a 115-111 win at home over the reigning-champion Boston Celtics on Sunday, spearheaded by a game-high 35 points from Donovan Mitchell (24.3 PPG, 4.9 RPG, 4.1 APG).

Mitchell had just 19 points on 6-of-15 shooting last time out against the Wizards on Tuesday, a lopsided 118-87 Cavaliers victory, and his scoring average of 24.3 PPG is more than two points below his point total for the night.

DEN vs CLE Player Props

NBA player props from DraftKings on Dec. 5. 

Coming off a massive 38-point, 10-rebound, six-assist, five-steal game in the comeback victory against the Warriors, Jokic leads both the point totals (28.5 O/U), rebound totals (11.5 O/U), and assist totals (8.5 O/U) on Thursday night.

Mitchell has the highest point total for the Cavs at 26.5 while Jarrett Allen is the only other player with double-digit rebound total at 10.5.

Best Nuggets vs Cavaliers Odds

The Nuggets/Cavaliers point spread is sitting at 4.5 across the board. The best price on the Cavaliers to cover is currently -106 at FanDuel while a handful of books have Nuggets +4.5 at -110, including ESPN Bet and bet365.

ESPN Bet also has the best moneyline option for the Cavaliers, listing Cleveland -175 to win straight-up. Caesars has the longest odds on a Nuggets victory at +158.

There is a one-point range in the game total at the moment. Most books, including BetMGM, have the total at 234.5 with -110 odds both ways, but FanDuel has it a point lower at 233.5 with -110 odds on each side.

The NBA public betting splits for Thursday heavily lean to the Cavs. Cleveland is getting 72% of moneyline handle and 68% of ATS handle as of 1:10 pm ET. The public was also favoring the over, putting 61% of game-total money on the over so far.

The post Nuggets vs Cavaliers Predictions, Player Props & Odds for Dec. 5 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

The worst team in the NBA each of the last two seasons, the young and improving Detroit Pistons (9-14, 5-7 away, 10-12 ATS) head to Beantown on Wednesday night for a meeting with the reigning-champion Boston Celtics (17-4, 8-2 home, 9-12 ATS) at TD Garden at 7:40 pm ET. As they usually are, the Celtics are big home favorites against the Pistons, laying 14.5 points in Wednesday’s NBA odds.

Detroit Pistons vs Boston Celtics Predictions

• Pistons +14.5 (-105) at Caesars
• Cunningham over 22.5 points (-115) at DraftKings 
  

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Detroit has been one of the most-improved teams in the league this year compared to last. Not only are they just five wins show of their entire win total from last season (14), they have made huge leaps in the analytics. The Pistons have jumped all the way from 29th in Net Rating (-9.0) last season to 18th this season (-2.6). They are currently just half a game out of a spot in the Play-In Tournament and have a better per-game point differential (-2.7) than the three teams immediately above them in the standings: the Bulls (-4.3), Nets (-4.2), and Pacers (-4.6).

Fading Boston is not for the faint of heart. They finished last season with the best point differential in the league by a wide margin (+11.4, no other team was better than +7.4) and are approaching that number again this year, currently sitting at +10.2. They also have the second-best Net Rating (+10.2), trailing only OKC (+10.8), and their last three victories have all come by at least nine points.

But Detroit played Boston tough early last season (losing 128-122 in OT) and I expect a similarly competitive game on Wednesday, especially with Boston being banged-up. Both Jayson Tatum (28.4 PPG, 8.6 RPG, 5.6 APG) and Jrue Holiday (11.7 PPG, 4.2 RPG, 3.9 AGP) are listed as questionable with knee injuries.

I’m also backing Cade Cunningham (23.5 PPG, 7.1 RPG, 8.8 APG) to go over 22.5 points. The 2021 first-overall pick is having a career-best season and has gone over 22.5 points in four straight. Last time out, he had 23 points in just 33 minutes in a 128-107 loss to Milwaukee.

DET vs BOS Player Props

NBA player props from DraftKings on Dec. 4. Check out SBD’s list of betting apps that accept Venmo. 

With Tatum’s status in question, he is the only Boston player listed in the Pistons/Celtics player props. The C’s leading scorer has a game-high point total of 26.5 while Cunningham leads the Pistons at the aforementioned 22.5.

Best Pistons vs Celtics Odds

The Pistons/Celtics spread is currently Boston -14.5 across the board. The best price on the Celtics to cover is -105 at BetMGM, while Caesars has the best price on the Pistons to cover at -105 as well.

The best Boston moneyline is a hyper-short -1100, which is available at bet365. The longest odds on a Pistons victory (+750) can be found at ESPN Bet and DraftKings.

There is a half-point range in the game total at the moment. Over bettors can get O 221.0 (-110) at best365 while under bettors should take U 221.5 (-110) at Caesars.

Wednesday’s NBA public betting splits show the public hammering the C’s despite the short moneyline/massive spread. Boston is getting 89% of moneyline handle and 74% of ATS handle roughly five hours before tip-off.

The post Pistons vs Celtics Predictions, Player Props & Best Odds (Dec. 4) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

A dream start to the season has suddenly turned sour for the Golden State Warriors (12-7, 7-4 away, 11-8 ATS), who bring a four-game losing streak to the Mile High City on Tuesday night as they prepare to do battle with the underperforming Denver Nuggets (10-8, 5-4 home, 7-10-1 ATS) at Ball Arena at 8:10 pm MT/10:10 pm ET. With the Warriors battling significant injuries, the Nuggets are listed as 4.5 or 5.0-point favorites in Tuesday’s NBA odds.

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

• Nuggets -4.5 (-115) at BetMGM
• Jokic over 12.5 rebounds (-115) at DraftKings
  

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As mediocre as Denver has been so far this season, they will eventually right the ship and battle for top seed in the West yet again. They’re too talented not too. And there is a decent chance that turnaround starts on Tuesday when the Nugs return from a two-game road trip, eager to stem a two-game home losing streak. Aaron Gordon, who returned from a month-long absence in Sunday’s 126-122 loss at the Clippers, is listed as “probable” and will be a big help to a team that sits just 13th in Rebound% a year after finishing sixth in that category.

The Warriors, meanwhile, have dropped four in a row and are likely to be without Draymond Green (8.8 PPG, 6.3 RPG, 5.9 APG) tonight due to calf tightness. Making matter worse, Steph Curry (22.5 PPG, 5.5 RPG, 6.3 APG) is “probable” due to a lingering knee injury. Curry missed the Dubs’ 105-101 loss at home to OKC last Wednesday before returning in their 113-105 road loss at Phoenix, scoring 23 points on just 8-of-21 shooting (38.1%) in 32 minutes.

I’m also betting Jokic to go over 12.5 rebounds at -115. The Warriors play at a fast pace (fifth-fastest in the NBA), have been missing a ton of shots lately, and are likely to be missing their second-leading rebounder in Green (6.3 RPG), leaving Kevon Looney to battle with Jokic in the post.

All the variables point to Jokic having a huge night on the glass.

GSW vs DEN Player Props

NBA player props from DraftKings on Dec. 3. See the full list of DraftKings legal states.

With Curry’s status not set in stone, the Warriors/Nuggets player props are a little on the lighter side, especially for Dubs players. Jokic is listed with the highest point total of the night at 28.5 followed by Curry (24.5) and Murray (18.5). Andrew Wiggins (17.5) is the only other Golden State player on the board.

Jokic, per usual, also has the highest rebound total (12.5) and assist total (9.5) of the night.

Best Warriors vs Nuggets Odds

The Warriors vs Nuggets odds favor Denver by either 4.5 or 5.0 points depending on the sportsbook. The best ATS odds for the Warriors at the moment are at Caesars, where Golden State +5.0 is priced at -105. The best ATS odds on the Nuggets are at BetMGM, where Denver -4.5 is sitting at -115.

The best moneyline on the Warriors is +165 at bet365, while the best moneyline on the Nuggets is -185 at DraftKings. All other books have Denver at -190 or shorter.

There is a one-point range in the game total. FanDuel and BetMGM are on the low end at 237.5 with -110 odds each way. ESPN Bet and bet365 are on the high end at 238.5, again with -110 odds both ways.

The NBA public betting splits for Tuesday are almost evenly split when it comes to the spread (Denver is gettin 51% of ATS handle) but are hammering the Nuggets to win straight-up; Denver is getting 81% of moneyline handle as of 11:35 am ET.

The post Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Predictions, Player Props & Best Odds (Dec. 3) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Two superstar-laden teams mired in mediocrity meet on Monday night in Minneapolis as the Los Angeles Lakers (12-8, 5-5 away, 8-12 ATS) visit the Minnesota Timberwolves (9-10, 6-4 home, 6-13 ATS) at 7:10 pm CT/8:10 pm ET at the Target Center. Minnesota is a big home favorite in Monday’s NBA odds despite a rough start to the season.

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves Predictions

• Lakers moneyline (+275) at BetMGM
• LeBron James under 21.5 points (-105)
  Sascha Paruk’s 2024-25 NBA betting record: 24-24 (-0.14 units). All wagers one unit unless stated otherwise.
  

This is a fade of a Minnesota team that hasn’t found its footing with Julius Randle replacing Karl-Anthony Towns. Minnesota remains a game under .500 even after Friday’s narrow 93-92 home victory over the Clippers, which snapped a four-game losing streak.

Minnesota’s Net Rating is just 13th in the NBA (+0.9) after finishing last year third overall (+6.3). They’re still ahead of the Lakers (-1.6) but the difference is minimal. Yet the odds are still pricing the T-Wolves like they’re the team that finished 30 games over .500 last season. And they’re just not, at least not yet.

The Lakers play has certainly left a lot to be desired in recent weeks. They have just two wins in their last seven games. But they have been playing better on the road, winning four of five away from home (after starting the year just 1-4 on the road). Last time out, they managed a thrilling 105-104 victory at Utah, led by 33 points and 11 rebounds from Anthony Davis.

I’m also backing LeBron to stay under 21.5 points, which he’s done in eight of his last 12 games. On the surface, this looks like a hedge based on my first bet of the Lakers moneyline. But there isn’t really a negative correlation this season with LeBron staying under 21.5 points and the Lakers winning. LeBron has stayed under in seven of LA’s 12 victories.

There isn’t a positive correlation either (he’s stayed under in five of their eight losses, as well). The fact of the matter is that the Lakers have more secondary scoring options this year, which is a big part of why LeBron’s assist average is up from 8.3 APG last season to 9.4 this season.

LAL vs MIN Player Props

NBA player props from DraftKings on Dec, 2. Check out SBD’s updated list of available sports betting payments. 

Anthony Edwards (27.7 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 3.7 APG) has the highest point total on Monday night at 27.5 O/U while Anthony Davis (28.6 PPG, 11.5 RPG, 3.2 APG) leads the Lakers players at 26.5 O/U.

Davis and Rudy Gobert (10.4 PPG, 11.4 RPG) both have rebound totals of 11.5, while LeBron James (22.6 PPG, 8.1 RPG, 9.5 APG) has the highest assist prop at 9.5.

Best Lakers vs Timberwolves Odds

The post Lakers vs Timberwolves Predictions, Best Odds & Player Props (Dec 2) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Sunday’s nightcap in the NBA sees the Denver Nuggets (10-7, 5-3 away, 7-9-1 ATS) visiting the LA Clippers (12-9, 7-4 home, 14-7 ATS) at the Intuit Dome in Inglewood, CA, at 7:10 pm ET. Though the Clippers have won seven straight home games, the Nuggets enter Sunday night as three-point road favorites. Leading scorer Norman Powell (23.3 PPG) is listed as questionable for LAC with a hamstring issue. Powell hasn’t played since Nov. 18 with the Clippers going 4-2 in that stretch.

Nuggets vs Clippers Predictions

• Clippers moneyline (+126) at FanDuel
• Harden over 21.5 points (-125) at DraftKings
  

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Since losing their first four home games in their new arena, the Clippers have rattled off seven straight victories at the Intuit Dome. In their four-game homestand from Nov. 18 to Nov. 24, they rattled off four impressive wins over Golden State (102-99), Orlando (104-93), Sacramento (104-88), and Philadelphia (125-99).

Last time out, LAC fell by a point at Minnesota (93-92) with James Harden scoring a team-high 20 points and Ivica Zubac grabbing a game-high 13 rebounds.

The Nuggets, meanwhile, have been uncharacteristically inconsistent all season. They crushed Utah in their last game on Wednesday (122-103) but haven’t won two in a row since Nov. 8 and 10.

Aaron Gordon (15.4 PPG, 6.7 RPG, 3.1 APG), who hasn’t played since Nov. 4, is doubtful with his lingering calf injury.

DEN vs LAC Player Props

NBA player props from DraftKings on Dec. 1. See the full list of DraftKings legal states.

Jokic (29,7 PPG, 13.1 RPG, 10.6 APG) leads the Nuggets/Clippers player props with a point total of 28.5 O/U. Harden (21.5 PPG, 7.1 RPG, 8.8 APG) is next and the highest Clipper at just 21.5.

Jokic and Zubac both have a rebound total of 11.5 and both are slight favorites to hit the over. Harden is listed with the highest assist total at 9.5.

Best Nuggets vs Clippers Odds

The Nuggets/Clippers odds favor Denver by three points at most books, but the line is as low as DEN -2.5 at ESPN Bet. The best moneyline on the Nuggets is currently -145 at Caesars, while FanDuel has the longest odds on the Clippers to win at +126.

The game total shows a one-point range. Caesars is the best option for under bettors, listing the O/U at 223.0 with -110 odds both ways. FanDuel is the best option for over bettors, listing 222.0 at -110 both ways.

The NBA public-betting percentages for Sunday show the Nuggets getting 61% of ATS handle and 71% of moneyline handle. The public is also betting hard on the over, putting 76% of O/U handle on the over as of 1:26 pm ET.

The post Nuggets vs Clippers Predictions, Player Props & Odds (Dec. 1) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Two Western Conference powerhouses collide in the desert on Saturday night as the Golden State Warriors (12-6) visit the Phoenix Suns (10-8) at Footprint Center. Tip-off is set for 9 PM EST on NBA TV.

This Pacific Division showdown features two teams looking to rebound from recent struggles. The Suns are favored by 2.5 points at home, with the total posted at a lofty 232.5.

Here is our Warriors vs Suns prediction, along with Saturday NBA betting odds and the latest injury updates.

Warriors vs Suns Prediction

The Warriors and Suns have been frequent foes in recent years, with Golden State winning 7 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings. However, Phoenix has held serve at home, taking four straight from the Dubs at Footprint Center since December 2021.

Both teams come limping into this matchup dealing with key injuries. The Warriors have lost three straight games overall and could be without Stephen Curry (knee) for a second consecutive contest. Andrew Wiggins (ankle) is also questionable after appearing on the injury report for the first time this season.

The Suns’ stars are slowly getting healthier, with Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal recently returning to the lineup. However, Phoenix has still dropped six of seven games to fall to 10-8 on the season. Beal (calf) and Jusuf Nurkic (quadriceps) are now questionable again for Saturday.

KD two-hand jam pic.twitter.com/Xp2Lh6p65j

— Phoenix Suns (@Suns) November 28, 2024

Even with Curry in street clothes, the Warriors have enough firepower to keep this game competitive. Jordan Poole erupted for 30 points against the Thunder, while Jonathan Kuminga added 19 points off the bench.

Golden State also ranks 2nd in the NBA in rebounding (50.3) and 3rd in scoring (119.4), so they can attack Phoenix in multiple ways.

The Suns will likely lean heavily on Durant, who is averaging 26.5 points in two games since his return from injury. Devin Booker (24.6 PPG) is always a threat as well, but Phoenix’s depth could be tested if Beal and Nurkic are unavailable or limited.

My prediction is for the Warriors to keep this game close throughout and potentially pull off the road upset. The Suns are shaky right now and vulnerable against an experienced Warriors squad that tends to rise to the occasion in big games.

The lean is slightly to the over 232.5 points, as both teams rank in the top 12 in Offensive Rating and have the star power to put on an offensive show, even if a bit shorthanded.

Saturday NBA Pick:

• Warriors +2.5 (-110)

Warriors vs Suns Odds

The Suns are slight 2.5-point home favorites, which equates to a 59% implied probability of winning straight up. Conversely, the underdog Warriors are +115 on the moneyline, giving them a 46.5% implied probability of an upset.

The total of 232.5 points is one of the highest on Saturday’s slate, pointing to oddsmakers expecting a track meet despite the injuries on both sides. The juice is even on the over/under, with no lean yet from the betting market.

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Golden State vs Phoenix Injury Report

The injury report is once again loaded for this marquee matchup. The Warriors’ fate likely hinges on the status of Curry, who is dealing with a nagging knee issue. Wiggins’ ankle injury is also a new concern for Steve Kerr’s squad.

Phoenix continues to be snakebitten on the health front, with Beal and Nurkic now questionable after returning for just two games. The Suns’ ceiling is extremely high when whole, but that simply hasn’t been the case for most of the season.

Expect both teams to rely more on their depth than usual if any combination of Curry, Wiggins, Beal and Nurkic are ruled out. This could lead to a more wide-open affair and added minutes for role players.

The post Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns Prediction, Odds & Injury Report (Saturday, Nov. 30) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

The return of NBA action on Friday also means the return of NBA Cup Group play for the Western Conference-leading OKC Thunder (14-4, 6-2 away, 10-8 ATS, 1-1 NBA Cup) and Los Angeles Lakers (11-7, 7-2 home, 8-10 ATS, 2-1 NBA Cup). The Thunder and Lakers meet at crypto.com Arena in LA at 7:10 pm PT/10:10 pm ET. The Thunder come in as slight road favorites (either -3 or -3.5 depending on the sportsbook).

Thunder vs Lakers Predictions

• Lakers moneyline (+140) at Caesars
• Anthony Davis over 39.5 points + rebounds (-185) at DraftKings
  

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The Lakers have lost two straight home games since opening the year 7-0 at crypto.com Arena, falling 119-118 to the Magic a week ago, and 127-102 to the Nuggets two days later.

The Thunder, meanwhile, are on a heater, winning three in a row over the Blazers (109-99), Kings (130-99), and Warriors (105-101), the last two on the road. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the second-favorite in the NBA MVP odds, looked the part, dropping 37 against the Kings and 35 against the Dubs.

But if this game had taken place a week ago, back when LA was still perfect at home and the Thunder were a mediocre 4-2 on the road, LA wouldn’t have been catching 3.5 points. LeBron James and Anthony Davis have a pretty decent history of dominating on their home court, going 28-14 last year (compared to just 19-21 on the road).

I expect the Thunder, who are still without Chet Holmgren and Alex Caruso, and are three games into a four-game road trip, to start running out of steam tonight.

And don’t forget that the Lakers have shown a real penchant to show up for in-season games. They went 4-0 in group play last year before cruising to the first ever NBA Cup title. The Suns finally handed Los Angeles its first NBA Cup loss on Nov 26 (127-100), but that only drops LAL’s overall NBA Cup record to 9-1.

I also like the potential for AD to dominate tonight. The Thunder have literally the worst rebound percentage in the NBA (46.8%). The addition of Isaiah Hartenstein is helping but it’s not a panacea.

OKC vs LAL Player Props

NBA player props from DraftKings on Nov 29. Check out SBD’s updated list of available sports betting payments. 

SGA (29.5 PPG, 5.3 RPG, 6.4 APG) leads the point totals on Friday with an O/U of 29.5. AD has the highest point total among the Lakers at 25.5 O/U, and the highest rebound total of the night at a whopping 13.5.

LeBron (22.9 PPG, 8.3 RPG, 9.2 APG) has the highest assist total on the board at 9.5.

Best Thunder vs Lakers Odds

The Thunder vs Lakers spread has a one-point range across sportsbooks. The best line on the Thunder is currently -2.5 (-115) at ESPN Bet, while the best spread for LA bettors is +3.5 (-115) at BetMGM.

On the moneyline, the best price on an OKC victory is currently -152 at FanDuel. If you want to bet on a straight-up Lakers win, head to Caesars where Los Angeles is priced at +140.

There is only a half-point range in the spread, unfortunately. ESPN Bet has the best over option at 230.0 (O -105) while bet365 and BetMGM both have under 230.5 at -110 odds.

The NBA public-betting percentages on Friday show the public all over the Lakers as home underdogs. Los Angeles is getting 75% of moneyline handle and 70% ATS handle. The public is also hammering the over, putting 79% of O/U handle on the over as of 1:50 pm ET.

The post OKC Thunder vs Los Angeles Lakers Predictions, Player Props & Best Odds (Nov 29) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Tied with the Warriors for first place in the Western Conference entering play on Monday, Oklahoma City Thunder (12-4, 4-2 away, 9-7 ATS) visit the sliding Sacramento Kings (8-9, 4-5 home, 6-10-1 ATS) at the Golden 1 Center at 7:10 pm PT/10:10 pm ET tonight. The Thunder, who haven’t lost to a sub-.500 team this season, are listed as 4.5-point road favorites.

Thunder vs Kings Prediction

• Sacramento Kings +4.5 (-110) at Caesars
  

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Coming off a solid 46-36 season, which included a 24-17 record at home, the Kings weren’t expected to regress when they picked up DeMar DeRozan in the offseason. But that’s exactly what’s happened so far. The Kings have sputtered to an 8-9 start and have only beaten one team that’s currently over .500 (Phoenix, twice, both times while Kevin Durant was absent).

The pieces are certainly there, though, and despite having a losing record to date, they Kings have a positive point differential and Net Rating (+1.7, 13th in the NBA). And on Monday, they get to face a banged-up OKC team that’s still without Chet Holmgren and Alex Caruso, and could be missing Isiah Joe, who’s questionable with a calf injury.

The Thunder finally saw Isaiah Hartenstein play his first regular-season game with the team, chipping in with 13 points and a game-high 14 rebounds in 29 minutes off the bench in Wednesday’s 109-99 win at Portland.

But the Thunder have hit a bit off a speedbump, overall, since their immaculate 7-0 start. The team is just 5-4 since and 0-2 on the road, losing at Denver (124-122) and at San Antonio (110-104).

I don’t expect a less-than-full-strength OKC team to dust aside a Sacramento squad that should be squarely in the playoff picture by season’s end.

OKC vs SAC Player Props

NBA player props from FanDuel on Nov. 25

SGA has the highest point total on the board at 30.5, followed by Fox (24.5) and Williams (23.5).

Sabonis has a monstrous rebound total of 13.5. Sabonis is currently second in the league in rebounding, averaging 13.1 RPG, trailing only Denver’s Nikola Jokic (13.9 RPG).

Best Thunder vs Kings Odds

The Thunder/Kings point spread ranges from OKC -4.0 to -4.5. FanDuel currently has the best price on the Thunder to cover, listing OKC -4.0 at -110. Bet365 and Caesars have the best price on the Kings to cover, listing Sacramento -4.5 at -110.

Caesars also has the best Kings moneyline (+158) while ESPN Bet has the longest odds for a Thunder victory at -175.

There is a half-point range in the game total, as well. Bet365 is on the high end at 224 with -110 odds both ways while Caesars is on the low end at 223.5, again with -110 odds both ways.

The NBA public betting splits for Monday show the vast majority of money on OKC, both to win and cover. The Thunder are getting 65% of ATS handle as of 11:30 am ET and 90% of moneyline handle. The public also strongly leans to the over, with 82% of O/U handle on the over so far.

The post Thunder vs Kings Predictions, Odds & Player Props (Nov 25) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

The Denver Nuggets (8-6) are heading to LA to take on the Lakers (10-5) at crypto.com Arena on Saturday night at 10:30 pm ET. Both teams have their eyes on the prize this season, making this early Western Conference matchup worth watching.

Denver’s looking to bounce back after a tough one against Dallas last night, while the Lakers want to shake off a heartbreaker against the Magic. The oddsmakers are giving LeBron and company a slight edge at home.

Let’s dive into our Nuggets vs Lakers prediction for Saturday’s late-night action.

Nuggets vs Lakers Predictions

• Best Bet: Lakers -4 (-110) at FanDuel
• Lean: Over 234.5 (-115) at BetMGM

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The Lakers have been on fire to start the season, jumping out to a 10-5 record. They’ll be looking to shake off a tough last-second loss to the Magic. The offense has been clicking lately, ranking 6th in scoring, with Anthony Davis looking like his old dominant self (31.3 PPG).

Here’s the thing about the Nuggets – even though they’ve got the two-time MVP in Jokic, the Lakers have actually figured out how to slow him down. Remember that playoff series a couple years back? LA held the big man to just 22.8 PPG on 42.5% shooting. Davis is just a nightmare matchup for Jokic with his length and quickness.

Two of the top three scorers in the NBA go head-to-head tonight!

Both off to dominant starts this season, Nikola Jokić (30.0 PPG) and the Nuggets visit Anthony Davis (31.3 PPG) and the Lakers at 10:30pm/et on NBA TV. pic.twitter.com/bN5RtEQtZ6

— NBA (@NBA) November 23, 2024

Let’s be honest – the Nuggets are in a tough spot here. They’re playing their second game in two nights after nearly pulling off a huge comeback against the Mavs. That kind of emotional game takes a lot out of you, especially when you’re facing a rested Lakers squad the next night.

The betting line tells us something, too. It opened at Lakers -3.5 and has moved to -4.5 to some books, meaning the sharp money likes LA in this spot. Makes sense – they’ve been almost unbeatable at home this year with a 7-1 record at crypto.com Arena.

I’m rolling with the Lakers to cover the 4 points here. And while we’re at it, I like the Over too. Both teams play fast (top-7 in pace) and neither team is locking anybody down right now (both bottom-10 in defense). This could be a shootout.

DEN vs LAL Player Props

NBA player props from ESPN Bet on Nov. 23.

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Anthony Davis has the highest points prop of the night at 28.5. The way he’s been scoring lately, we can’t argue with that number.

Meanwhile, LeBron’s rebounding prop of 7.5 looks a bit high. Our data suggests taking the under there, especially given his age and LA’s struggles on the glass.

A few props that caught my eye:

• Dalton Knecht over 2.5 threes made (-105) at ESPN Bet: The impressive Lakers rookie has quickly become a major threat from deep. He’s drained 3+ triples in four straight games and should continue to let it fly in a high-scoring affair.
• LeBron James under 24.5 points (-125) at ESPN Bet: James has gone under this total in three of his last four games. With Davis shouldering more of the scoring load, the under on LeBron’s points is a solid bet.
• Austin Reaves over 5.5 assists (+110) at ESPN Bet: Reaves has emerged as a de facto point guard for the Lakers and is coming off a 9-assist outing against Orlando. The over on his dimes is strong value at plus odds.

Best Denver Nuggets vs LA Lakers Odds

The Lakers are consensus 4.5-point favorites and -180 on the moneyline, which means the books are giving them about a 64.3% chance to win outright. The line has moved in LA’s favor since opening, suggesting the smart money likes the home team.

The Lakers have been dominant at home, going 7-1 at crypto.com Arena. They’ll be eager to bounce back after that heartbreaking loss to the Magic, especially against a Nuggets squad on the second night of a back-to-back.

That 235.5 total is the highest on tonight’s slate, and it’s no surprise why. Both these teams like to run (Nuggets 3rd, Lakers 6th in pace) and have plenty of firepower. The books have even odds on both the over and under.

Here’s something interesting – the NBA public betting data shows just 45% of bets are on the home team to cover. But the line has moved toward the Lake Show, which usually means some sharp bettors are backing JJ Redick’s squad.

For the best odds: FanDuel has Lakers -4 (-110), while BetMGM has Over 234.5 (-115). If you like LA straight up, ESPN Bet offers -180 on the moneyline.

Nuggets backers can get +4.5 (-110) at Caesars or +162 moneyline at the same book. The Over 235.5 is -110 pretty much everywhere aside from MGM.

The post Denver Nuggets vs LA Lakers Predictions, Player Props & Best Odds (Nov. 23) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

The 2024 NBA Cup continues Friday night with a lopsided Western Conference matchup. The Golden State Warriors (11-3) visit the Big Easy to take on the New Orleans Pelicans (4-12) at 7:30 PM EST on ESPN.

This cross-divisional clash features two teams heading in opposite directions early in the season. The Warriors are laying a whopping 9.5 points on the road, with the total set at 222.5.

Here is our Warriors vs Pelicans prediction, along with Friday NBA betting odds and the latest injury updates.

Warriors vs Pelicans Prediction

The Warriors have owned this head-to-head series in recent years, winning 48 of the 76 all-time meetings. They’ve already beaten the Pelicans twice this season, cruising to double-digit victories at home in late October.

Golden State’s dominance over New Orleans is even more impressive, considering Stephen Curry missed both of those games. The two-time MVP is probable to suit up Friday despite dealing with a minor knee issue.

Meanwhile, the Pelicans are one of the most banged-up teams in the league. Zion Williamson, Brandon Ingram, CJ McCollum and Dejounte Murray are among the starters currently sidelined, leaving the roster extremely thin.

https://twitter.com/FantasyLabsNBA/status/1850564692134031362

With Williamson reportedly “not remotely close” to returning from a hamstring injury, the Pelicans will need to lean heavily on the likes of Jordan Hawkins and Antonio Reeves. The young duo has shown flashes but isn’t ready to carry an NBA offense, especially against an elite defense like Golden State’s.

The Warriors rank 5th in the NBA in scoring defense, allowing just 109.1 points per game. They also lead the league in assists (30.5) and rank 3rd in scoring (119.6).

The Pelicans have the talent to compete when healthy, but they simply don’t have the horses to keep up with the Warriors right now. The absence of Williamson and Ingram, in particular, will be too much to overcome against the deeper, more experienced Dubs.

My prediction is for the Warriors to easily cover the 9.5-point spread on the road and hand the Pelicans their fourth straight loss. The lean is narrowly to the under 222.5 points, with New Orleans’ offensive limitations likely leading to a lower-scoring game.

Friday NBA Pick:

• Warriors -9.5 (-120)

Warriors vs Pelicans Odds

The Warriors are massive 9.5-point road favorites, which translates to an 84.6% implied probability of winning straight up. On the flip side, the Pelicans are +380 moneyline underdogs, giving them just a 20.8% implied probability of pulling off the upset at home.

The game total of 222.5 points suggests oddsmakers are expecting a relatively high-scoring contest despite New Orleans’ injuries. However, the juice is shaded slightly to the under at -115, indicating some skepticism about both teams reaching their usual offensive heights.

Early betting action has been all over Golden State, with 84% of spread bets and 90% of the handle backing the road favorites. This one-sided pattern has caused the line to tick up from Warriors -9 to -9.5 since opening.

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Golden State vs New Orleans Injury Report

Injuries will play a major factor in this matchup, especially for the decimated Pelicans. Willie Green’s squad has six players listed as out and two more questionable, leaving them with a MASH unit supporting cast around Jordan Hawkins and Antonio Reeves.

Getting Curry back would be a big boost for the Warriors, even if he’s not 100%. The main concern is the season-ending loss of De’Anthony Melton, who was a key part of the backcourt rotation. Still, Golden State has the depth to withstand his absence much better than New Orleans can handle its myriad of injuries.

The post Warriors vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds & Injury Updates (Nov. 22) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

The Los Angeles Lakers (10-4, 7-0 home, 7-7 ATS) put their perfect home record on the line Thursday night against the Orlando Magic (9-7, 2-7 away, 8-8 ATS), who are also a perfect 7-0 at home but just 2-7 in road games. The Magic and Lakers tip-off at 7:40 pm ET at crypto.com Arena. Los Angeles is a 4.5-point home favorite in Thursday’s Magic vs Lakers odds.

Orlando Magic vs Los Angeles Lakers Predictions

• Lakers -2.5 (-140) at ESPN Bet – two units
• Wagner over 25.5 points (-120) at DraftKings
  
  

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The Magic remain without All-Star forward Paolo Banchero (29.0 PPG, 8.8 RPG, 5.6 APG) due to a torn oblique. They’ve somehow managed to win all seven games at the Kia Center this year but have had almost no success away from home. Their only road wins this season were on opening night against Miami (116-97) and this Monday against an injury-riddled Phoenix Suns team (109-99).

Ugly home/road splits plagued the Magic last year, as well, when they went 29-12 at home but just 18-23 away, which included a 106-103 loss at the Lakers with Banchero in the lineup.

The Lakers, meanwhile, haven’t falthered in the slightest on their home court this year. Not only are they 7-0 straight-up, they’re also an excellent 5-2 against the spread with four of seven wins coming by at least six points. Anthony Davis (30.7 PPG, 11.4 RPG) is having a career-best season so far and has inserted himself squarely into the conversation with respect to the NBA MVP odds (though that conversation is being dominated by Nikola Jokic).

They’ve run into some injury issues of their own with Rui Hachimura (12.7 PPG, 6.1 RPG) listed as questionable with an ankle injury, and Davis listed as probable due to a plantar fasciitis in his left foot. Davis didn’t show any effects from his foot injury on Tuesday, though, dropping 26 points, 14 rebounds, six assists, and two steals in a 124-118 win over the Jazz in NBA Cup group play.

The Magic lost the front-end of their back-to-back games last night against the Clippers (104-93). Anthony Black had a team-high with just 17 points while Franz Wagner () had an off night with just 14 points on 5-of-11 shooting (0-of-4 from three). That broke a streak of four straight games with at least 29 points for the German, who has become the focal point of the Magic offense while Banchero is sidelined.

ORL vs LAL Player Props

NBA player props from DraftKings on Nov 21. Check out SBD’s updated list of available sports betting payments. 

Despite the foot injury, Davis leads the Magic/Lakers player props with a point total of 27.5. He’s followed by Wagner at 25.5 and LeBron James at 24.5.

Davis also has the highest rebound total at 12.5 while LeBron has the highest assist total at 8.5.

Best Magic vs Lakers Odds

There is little variety in the Magic vs Lakers spread. All books have the line at 4.5 currently. Caesars has the best odds on Magic +4.5 (-105) while FanDuel has the best price on Lakers -4.5 (-108).

Sensically, Caesars also has the longest odds on the Magic moneyline at +170, while bet365 has the Lakers at a market-best -190.

The game total shows a half-point range. ESPN Bet, FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365 are on the high end at 216.5 (all with -110 odds both ways) while DraftKings and Caesars have the total at 216.0.

The NBA public betting splits for Thursday show that the public is enamored with the Lakers tonight. Los Angeles is getting 92% of moneyline handle and 82% of ATS handle. The public also loves the over, putting 88% of game-total handle on the over as of 3:10 pm ET.

The post Orlando Magic vs Los Angeles Lakers Predicions, Player Props & Odds (Nov 21) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Perfection is a thing of the past for the Cleveland Cavaliers (15-1, 8-0 home, 12-4 ATS), who suffered their first loss of the season last night to the NBA-champion Celtics in Boston (120-117) but moved to an NBA-best 12-4 against the spread as 5.5-point road underdogs. There’s no rest for the wondrous as the Cavs are back in action on Wednesday night, hosting the struggling New Orleans Pelicans (4-11, 1-6 away, 4-11 ATS) at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse at 7:40 pm ET. The Pelicans also played last night, getting routed by Dallas 132-91.

Pelicans vs Cavaliers Odds

With both teams playing their second game in as many nights, Cleveland is a massive 13.5-point favorite in Wednesday’s Pelicans vs Cavaliers odds. The Cavs are also -1000 moneyline chalk with the Pels at +600 to win straight-up. The game total is sitting at 221.5 in Wednesday’s NBA odds.

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With injuries up and down the lineup, the Pelicans are operating with a skeleton crew of a roster for much of the season. Zion Williamson (22.7 PPG, 8.0 RPG, 5.3 APG) had been limited to just six games and is out indefinitely with a hamstring strain. CJ McCollum (18.8 PPG, 3.5 RPG, 4.0 APG) has played just four and remains sidelined by a thing injury.

Jordan Hawkins, Trey Murphy III, and Dejounte Murray – all among the team’s top-six scorers – have all missed at least seven games. Hawkins and Murray remain out while Murphy (15.5 PPG, 5.0 RPG, 1.5 APG) has played four of the last five and has no injury designation for Wednesday’s game.

With so many key contributors in and out – mostly out – of the lineup, the results have been predictable for the Pels. Since winning their first two games of the season (while still relatively healthy), the Pelicans have dropped 11 of their last 13. Eight of those 11 losses have been by double-digits, including a 132-91 embarrassment against the Mavericks last night.

NOLA vs CLE Player Props

NBA player props from DraftKings on Nov. 20. 

The Pelicans/Cavaliers player props show both teams’ star players – Brandon Ingram and Donovan Mitchell – at 24.5 points O/U. No other Pelicans player on the board has a total higher than 8.5, but there are several NOLA players missing from Wednesday’s props.

Pelicans vs Cavaliers Picks

• Pelicans +13.5 (-115)
• Ingram over 24.5 points (-125)

The Pelicans are a bad team at the moment. Head coach Willie Green doesn’t have a lot left to work with in terms of personnel, and he really hasn’t found a way to make the remaining pieces fit together in any way, shape, or form. But this is still a huge number against a tired team returning home after expending a ton of energy last night. Donovan Mitchell played 40 minutes last night, while Evan Mobley logged 38. And only eight Cavs players even saw the floor in the Celtics game, which saw Cleveland battle back from a 17-point halftime deficit to get within two in the fourth quarter.

Cleveland HC Kenny Atkinson would be wise not to ride his starters too hard tonight in a game the Cavs may have in hand early. I expect the Pelicans to make the score respectable by the end of the night, potentially winning the fourth quarter big against the end of Cleveland’s bench.

Sascha Paruk’s 2024-25 NBA betting record: 21-19 (+3.00 units). All wagers one unit unless stated otherwise. 

The post Pelicans vs Cavaliers Odds, Picks & Player Props (Nov 20) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

The game of the young NBA season takes place tonight in Beantown as the undefeated Cleveland Cavaliers (15-0, 7-0 away, 11-4 ATS) put their perfect record on the line against the reigning NBA-champion Boston Celtics (11-3, 4-2 home, 7-7 ATS) at TD Garden. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:10 pm ET and the Cavaliers vs Celtics odds establish the home team as a sizable 5.5-point favorite in Tuesday’s NBA odds.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Boston Celtics Predictions

• Cavaliers +5.5 (-105) at Caesars
• Jaylen Brown under 24.5 points (-115) at DraftKings

If Cleveland’s 15-game season-opening win streak wasn’t surprising enough, in a development that no one saw coming, it’s been the Cavs offense – not the defense – that’s been the catalyst. Cleveland currently leads the league with a 122.1 Offensive Rating, one season after finishing in the bottom half of the league (114.7, 16th).

Last year, the Celtics lead the league in O-Rating and finished second in D-Rating. This season, they sit just behind Cleveland on offense but a distant ninth on defense.

It’s hard to complain about Boston’s 11-3 record so far, but their schedule has been fairly soft. They’ve only played two teams over .500, beating the Knicks (132-109) on opening night and losing to the Warriors (118-112) on Nov. 6.

Including the playoffs, Cleveland went 2-4 straight-up against the Celtics with Donovan Mitchell in the lineup (and 0-2 without him), and both road losses in the regular season were by single-digits.

Boston’s last game was a terribly unconvincing OT win over the lowly Toronto Raptors (136-133) at home. Maybe Jayson Tatum and company will crank up the intensity tonight with an undefeated team coming to town, but there is no doubt about which team is playing the better basketball right now. There is a good chance the Cavaliers’ win streak continues tonight and I love getting this many points with Cleveland.

CLE vs BOS Player Props

NBA player props from DraftKings on Nov. 19. Check out SBD’s best online sportsbook for payouts. 

Tatum and Mitchell both have point totals of 27.5 O/U tonight. Jaylen Brown (24.5 O/U) is the only other player over the 20-point plateau.

Jarrett Allen has the highest rebound total at 10.5 O/U with the over heavily favored at -135. Tatum leads the C’s at 8.5 O/U.

Best Cavaliers vs Celtics Odds

The Cavaliers/Celtics spread is currently Boston -5.5 across the board. The best price on the Cavaliers to cover is -105 at Caesars while BetMGM and EPN Bet have the best odds on the Celtics to cover at -110.

ESPN Bet also has the best moneyline price on the Celtics at -215. All other books have Boston at -220 or shorter. The longest odds on Cleveland to win are +185 at DraftKings.

There is a half-point range in the total. DraftKings and FanDuel are on the high end at 234.0 while bet365, BetMGM, Caesars, and ESPN Bet have it at 235.5. ESPN Bet has the best price on the over, list O 235.5 at just -105.

The public evidently doesn’t think too much of Cleveland’s 15-game win streak to start the season. The NBA public betting splits show 72% of moneyline handle and 85% of moneyline wagers on Boston to win straight-up.

The post Cavaliers vs Celtics Predictions, Player Props & Best Odds (Nov. 19) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

The post-Klay Thompson era has gotten off to a roaring start for the Golden State Warriors (10-2, 6-1, ATS) while the post-Paul George era has done anything but for the LA Clippers (7-7, 4-4 home, 8-6 ATS). Golden State and LAC will lock horns tonight at the Intuit Dome in Inglewood at 7:10 pm PT/10:10 pm ET and, with the status of Steph Curry (knee) in question, the Warriors remain 4.5-point road favorites.

Golden State Warriors vs LA Clippers Predictions

• Warriors -2.5 (-150) at BetMGM
• Zubac under 11.5 rebounds (+106) at FanDuel
  
  

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The spread for this game has been fluctuating all day due to Steph Curry being listed as questionable due to a knee injury. But I’m backing the Warriors regardless. Golden State is not the top-heavy behemoth it once was. Depth has become a huge strength for the Dubs, who have five players averaging in double-figures and nine players averaging at least 8.0 PPG.

Second-leading scorer Buddy Hield (17.7 PPG) isn’t even in the starting lineup.

Golden State has already played three games without Curry this season, and they’re a perfect 3-0, both straight-up and against the spread. That includes a pair of lopsided wins over New Orleans (124-106, 104-89) and an OT win at Houston (127-121).

Golden State currently has the third-best Net Rating in the league and remains the only team with a top-five D-Rating (107.9, fourth) and O-Rating (118.4, fourth).

The Clippers, on the other hand, are pretty heavily reliant on their top-three scorers: Norman Powell (23.3 PPG), James Harden (20.6 PPG), and Ivica Zubac (15.9 PPG), and all three logged at least 33 minutes in last night’s 116-105 win over Utah. While they don’t have to travel on the tail-end of the back-to-back, Harden and Powell are both on the wrong side of 30, and fatigue will play a factor.

I’m also betting the under on Zubac’s rebounds (11.5) at plus-money. The 27-year-old Croatian is averaging 12.1 RPG this season, fifth-most in the league, but he hasn’t gone over 11.5 rebounds in three straight games. The Warriors, meanwhile, aren’t the biggest team but they are nonetheless top-ten in rebound percentage (51.0%)

GSW vs LAC Player Props

NBA player props from BetMGM Sportsbook on Nov  18. Claim the BetMGM bonus code for Monday’s NBA games.

With Curry’s status in question, the player props are more limited than usual, especially on the Golden State side. Curry, himself, is listed with a game-high point total of 24.5, followed by LAC’s James Harden (22.5) and Norman Powell (19.5).

Warriors vs Clippers Odds

There was still a decent rage in the Warriors vs Clippers odds as of 3 pm ET. The spread was still as low as 4.5 at BetMGM and as high as six at FanDuel.

The best moneyline price on the Warriors is currently -198 at DraftKings while the best odds available on LAC are +180 at FanDuel.

There is shockingly little variety with respect to the game total. Indeed, there’s none: all books have the O/U at 225.5 with -110 odds both ways.

The NBA public betting splits for Monday are all over Golden State. The Warriors are receiving 80% of moneyline handle and 86% of ATS handle roughly seven hours before tip-off.

The post Warriors vs Clippers Predictions, Player Props & Best Odds (Nov. 18) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.