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NFL Player Props Week 14 – Sunday’s Best NFL Prop Bets (Dec. 8)

John Hyslop

By John Hyslop in NFL Football

Published:


Las Vegas Raiders quarterback Aidan O'Connell throws a pass
Nov 29, 2024; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Las Vegas Raiders quarterback Aidan O'Connell (12) throws a pass during the second half against the Kansas City Chiefs at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-Imagn Images
  • It’s time to lock in for the NFL Week 14 slate on December 8th, 2024
  • The best way I know how to get in on the action is by betting NFL player props
  • Getting bets in on Friday is my favorite strategy, and it’s no different for this week

The NFL player props for Week 14 are slowly being released which means it’s time to pounce. My favorite part about betting these on Fridays is, I’ll forget about them by Sunday. Then I’ll see them under my “open” wagers tab and it’ll feel like Christmas. There’s nothing like a banger that has been forgotten about. What’s even better is, the number and price we get on Friday is almost always so much better than what’s available on Sunday. On the streets, that’s called “closing line value” and it’s gold.

This Sunday we’re going to attack two matchup,s and they’re both on the early slate. The first one is the Atlanta Falcons/Minnesota Vikings game. Then at the same time, we’ll be sweating out the Las Vegas Raiders/Tampa Bay Buccaneers matchup. My guess is, both of these moves cash before halftime, giving us plenty of time to get our profits down on the late slate. That’s the plan, at least.

This could easily be the greatest Sunday of our entire lives.

Week 14 NFL Player Props and Odds

Player Receptions Receiving Yards Pick
Ray-Ray McCloud (Falcons) 3.5 (Ov +104 / Un -135) 30.5 (Ov -114 / Un -114) 40+ Receiving Yards (+165)
Player Passing TDs Passing Yards Pick
Aidan O’Connell (Raiders) 1.5 (Ov +136 / Un -178) 227.5 (Ov -114 / Un -114) 250+ Passing Yards (+158)

Odds as of December 6 at FanDuel & DraftKings. Check out the best NFL betting apps for player prop wagering. 

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Ray-Ray McCloud Will Get His

There are a lot of mouths to feed in Atlanta which makes it hard to bet any of their receiving options. That’s just the fact of the matter. We’re talking Drake London, Darnell Mooney, Kyle Pitts and Bijan Robinson, for christ’s sake. These guys are nasty.

The thing is, all that depth makes it easy for an absolute beast like Ray-Ray McCloud to fly under the radar.

I know what the haters are going to say, “Slop, Ray-Ray is like the fifth receiving option on a team that doesn’t throw much.” Just like always, the haters are only part right, and their lack of vision is what’s making them look bad here. Typical haters.

For starters, the Falcons should get forced into throwing the ball on Sunday. They’re in Minnesota taking on a team in the Vikings that stops the run better than almost anyone. We’re talking third-best in the NFL here, people. That fact alone makes them a pass funnel, which is a big reason they’ve allowed the third-most receiving yards to wide receivers this season. Translation, Atlanta should be forced to throw the rock more than they want to on Sunday.

On top of all that, McCloud has seen the third most targets on the team this season. When Captain Kirk drops back to throw, he’ll look for McCloud. I wish his ADOT was a little higher than 6.9, but he’s 25th best in yards after the catch. He doesn’t just catch the ball and go down. Ray-Ray will fight for us.

For that reason, I think it’s safe for us to go with 40+ receiving yards for +165 at FanDuel. Feels right.

  • The Pick: Ray-Ray McCloud 40+ Receiving Yards (+165) – FanDuel

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AOC Might Not Be That Bad

When we hear the letters “AOC”, we don’t think of football. Hell, we don’t even think of a dude. All that is behind us now because after last week, every time I hear the letters “AOC”, I think of Aidan O’Connell.

And after watching him over the last few games, I’m ready to say he might not be that bad.

Here’s the thing: we targeted the Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ pass defense last week with Bryce Young, and it worked out. The guy threw for almost 300 yards. If Bryce can do that, then anything is possible. We’ve all seen Bryce Young play football before.

This week, the Buccaneers will welcome the Las Vegas Raiders to town, which is perfect for us. We’ve got another “who the hell is that guy” playing quarterback against the Buccaneers, which means we’ve got a favorable line. We have to think about the over here. We owe it to ourselves and our families.

The thing with this “who the hell is that guy” is we know who he is. It’s Aidan O’Connell. We just watched him go for 340 yards on Black Friday. Sure, he blew the game at the end, but that just means he’ll be extra focused this week. I think 250+ yards at +158 is a steal.

For those who think I’m being a little soft with this move, feel free to go all the way up to 275+ at +320. Or even 300+ at +520. It’s all deadly.

  • The Pick: Aidan O’Connell 250+ Passing Yards (+158) – FanDuel
  • 2024 SBD Friday Release Results – 10-14 (+0.98 Units)
John Hyslop

John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it.

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