LSU vs Arkansas Predictions & Betting Lines (Oct. 19)

• Arkansas hosts #8 LSU in College Football Week 8
• LSU has beaten Arkansas in seven of the last eight meetings between programs
• See below for the latest LSU vs Arkansas odds and predictions for Saturday, October 19

Fresh off a huge overtime win vs Ole Miss, LSU now travels to Fayetteville to play the 4-2 Arkansas Razorbacks. In Arkansas’s last time out, they pulled off a big upset win over Tennessee and had a bye last week.

LSU has owned this series of late. The Tigers have won seven of their last eight matchups and ten of the last 13. Arkansas’s last win was in 2021 when they won in Baton Rouge 16-13.

Keep reading to see the latest Ole Miss vs LSU betting lines and predictions for Saturday’s SEC showdown in CFB Week 8.

LSU vs Arkansas Odds

The college football odds list LSU as a slight road favorite vs Arkansas. LSU opened at -3 against Arkansas and moved all the way down to -1.5 before moving back to where the line is now. The O/U is set at 56.5. The total opened at 55, so it has moved a point a half towards the over.

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LSU Betting Trends

Thanks to an overtime victory over Ole Miss, LSU covered the spread for just the second time this season. The Tigers did not lead at any point in the game before scoring their game-winning touchdown. They are now 2-4 against the spread and 5-1 straight up.

Quarterback Garrett Nussmeier has been great for LSU. He has thrown for just under 2,000 yards with 18 touchdowns and six interceptions this season. LSU’s offense has turned one-dimensional over the past few weeks as they have struggled to run the ball. The offensive line has still shown promise, especially in pass-pro. Nussmeier has only been sacked four times this season.

The defense still leaves much to be desired. They have struggled against the run and against the pass and are 99th in defensive EPA per play. They blitz much more frequently than they did last year, and their sack total is the lone bright spot for the Tigers’ defense.

Arkansas Betting Trends

Arkansas has been one of the surprise teams in the SEC this year. They sit at 4-2 and are honestly just a few plays away from being 6-0. The Razorbacks are 5-1 against the spread.

Bye week has us thinking Saturdays are lot more fun with our fans!

So let’s do it again next week! 🔥 pic.twitter.com/MXlhh04xfV

— Arkansas Razorback Football (@RazorbackFB) October 12, 2024

Bobby Petrino has helped Arkansas’s offense a lot this season. Arkansas is averaging 33 points per game and has had solid play from their quarterbacks. Even if starter Taylen Green does not play in this game, the Razorbacks are in good shape with Malachi Singleton who led Arkansas to a win over Tennessee. Behind their quarterbacks and runningback Ja’Quinden Jackson, Arkansas is ranked 19th in the country in EPA per rush. They should cause LSU’s defense some fits.

While the offense has been great, Arkansas’s defense has stepped up. They held Tennesee to just 14 points in their last time out. In SEC play, they have allowed under 17 points per game.

LSU vs Arkansas Predictions

This is a difficult spot for LSU. They are coming off a huge win against Ole Miss and have Texas A&M on deck. Reversely, Arkansas is at home and coming off a bye. The betting trends are also pointing to the Razorbacks.

In five seasons under Sam Pittman, Arkansas is 6-4 against the spread as a home underdog, and LSU is just 2-5 ATS as a road favorite in three seasons under Brian Kelly. It only gets better from there for Sam Pittman. Pittman is 22-8 against the spread as an underdog and is 5-1 against the spread when he has had extra rest.

LSU’s defense will have a hard time stopping Arkansas’s rushing attack, and while the Tigers are 5-1, they have not looked great at times this season. How Arkansas is just a couple of plays away from 6-0, LSU is just a couple of plays away from being 3-3. Coming off the bye, I expect Arkansas’s defense to have a good game plan for LSU’s passing attack to keep the game close. Arkansas is a good, well-balanced team, and I like getting points with them at home in Fayetteville in a tough scheduling spot for LSU.

LSU vs Arkansas Pick: Arkansas +2.5 (-110)