NFL Picks Against the Spread for Week 9

• I went 12-3 in my ATS picks in NFL Week 8
• In Week 9, my NFL best bets include three underdogs
• See below for our NFL Week 9 expert picks against the spread

Where has the time gone? It is officially November, and the NFL season is in its ninth week. After Monday Night Football, we will be halfway through the season, and the playoff race will only get tighter. Week 9 features some intriguing matchups that could potentially impact the standings and playoff picture later in the year. There are five divisional games on Sunday, and I am targeting one of the divisional underdogs in my NFL Week 9 best bets.

NFL Week 9 Picks Against the Spread

Odds as of November 1 at ESPN BET. Be sure to claim the best ESPN BET promo code before placing your NFL Week 9 bets.

ESPN BET

Offer

T&Cs

Get a First Bet Reset Up To $1,500 if Your First Bet Loses + 30 Days of ESPN+

Must manually enter promo code DIME to claim offer.

Must be 21+ & physically present in AZ, CO, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, NC, OH, TN, VA

LOCK IN PROMO

CODE: DIME

CODE: DIME

SIGNUP OFFER

USE PROMO CODE
DIME

FIRST BET RESET UP TO $1,500
+ 30 DAYS OF ESPN+

GET OFFER NOW

Week 9 ATS Pick #1: Dolphins +6 vs Bills

Despite a loss to the Cardinals last week, the Dolphins offense looked back to normal with Tua Tagovailoa back under center. Tua threw for 238 yards and a touchdown, while Devon Achane ran for 97 yards on just ten carries. They will look to build off that performance against a team that they know well in the Bills. While the Bills have looked great, the Dolphins are much better than their 2-5 record and six points is too much for this AFC East showdown.

A lot of big underdogs have won outright this season, and I do not see that as the case this time. The Bills are 7-1 straight up against Tua and have won 12 of their last 13 games against the Dolphins. The last couple have been blowouts, including earlier this season when Tua was injured, but I believe this time will be different. This feels like a must-win for the Dolphins if they want to get back into playoff contention. The Bills on the other hand have rattled off three straight wins and have not had to break a sweat in their last two games.

Miami’s defense has been sneaky good and are in the top half of the league in most defensive statistics. While a lot of points are expected to be scored in this one, the Dolphins have a unit that could make some key stops and keep this game close. I will take Miami to cover the six points in a big, divisional game for them.

• Pick: Dolphins +6 (-110)

Week 9 ATS Pick #2: Bears +2 vs Cardinals

The Bears were a hail mary away from 5-2, but now they sit at the bottom of the NFC North with a 4-3 record. I expect them to come out firing on all cylinders to quickly put that loss behind them, and the Cardinals present a favorable matchup for them to do exactly that.

A;FK;JD;KJF;LAKEJFLKJVAL;KEJL;JF;EFJ;LFAKJ

JAYDEN DANIELS HAIL MARY! @COMMANDERS WIN! pic.twitter.com/BsQ0Z84Rko

— NFL (@NFL) October 27, 2024

Arizona’s defense has been lackluster this season. The Cardinals have given up the seventh most rushing yards and the sixth most passing yards this season. Chicago’s rushing attack has improved over the last few weeks, and they just ran for over 200 yards against the Commanders last week. They should be able to run the ball all over this defense, which will only help Caleb Williams and the passing game.

After a slow start to the season, Caleb Williams has looked like the real deal and has been at his best late in games. He gave the Bears the lead late in the game last week and is 7-0 against the second-half spread this season. The NFL odds in Bears vs Cardinals is a 2-point spread, which suggests that this will be a close game, and I trust Caleb Williams and co. to get the job done late if needed.

Chicago has a great defense, and even though the Commanders moved the ball all over them, they stiffened in the red zone and only allowed 12 points before the hail mary touchdown. Arizona has a lot of talent on offense, but they have only scored more than 17 points in two of their last six games. The Bears should win this game or, at the minimum, cover the short spread.

• Pick: Bears +2 (-115)

Week 9 ATS Pick #3: Colts +5.5 vs Vikings

There is one major reason why I love the Colts on Sunday Night Football: Joe Flacco. Indianapolis benched Anthony Richardson after he completed just 44.4% of his passes through six games. With Flacco, this offense becomes a lot more exciting. In the three games where he played the majority of the snaps, Flacco has thrown for 716 yards, seven touchdowns, and just one interception.

Every game the Colts have played this season has been close. Each of them has been decided by six points or less, and I expect this one to be no different.

After their 5-0 start, the Vikings have lost two in a row. They are still a good team, but they have come down to earth, and while Sam Darnold has been effective, I trust Joe Flacco more on Sunday night. Give me the Colts in what should be yet another one-score game.

• Pick: Colts +5.5 (-110)