Oregon vs Michigan Prediction, Odds & Props to Target (Nov. 2)

• #1 Oregon travels to Ann Arbor on Saturday to face the Michigan Wolverines
• The Ducks are 14.5-point favorites
• Keep reading for the latest Oregon vs Michigan prediction, odds, and player props to target

Before the season, this was one of the most anticipated college football matchups of the year. Both programs had their sights on the National Championship, but after three losses for Michigan, Oregon is now favored by more than two touchdowns. That is a big change since Oregon opened as a 2.5-point favorite back when lines opened in May. Oregon is undefeated and has the fourth-best National Championship odds at +850.

After two straight losses, Michigan got back on track last week with a win over in-state rival Michigan State. Oregon got off to a slow start this season but is in a rhythm now as the Ducks have beaten their opponent by at least 21 points in four of their last five games.

Who will win, and more importantly, cover the spread in this Big Ten showdown?

Oregon vs Michigan Prediction

The Ducks are led by the current favorite in the Heisman odds, Dillon Gabriel. Oregon’s offensive has been in a groove as they rank 24th in the country in points per game and 11th in yards per game. While they get all the headlines, Oregon’s defense has also been stellar. The Ducks are allowing under 300 yards per game and have held five of their last six opponents to 14 points or less.

Balled out 🎱 #GoDucks pic.twitter.com/mOKOX7r4gE

— Oregon Football (@oregonfootball) October 26, 2024

At 5-3, it has been a disappointing season for Michigan. The Wolverines are also just 2-6 against the spread this year. Their defense has looked great at times, but when facing explosive offenses, they have been torched through the air.

It’s Week 10 and Michigan’s offense is still trying to figure out how to throw the ball. They are 129th out of 134 FBS teams in passing output and have thrown for over 200 yards just once in their last six games. Michigan wants to run the ball, but this game has a chance of getting ugly quick which would force Davis Warren to throw the ball more.

I do not see how Michigan will be able to score points against Oregon’s defense. The whole world knows that they are going to run the ball, and the Ducks have a good enough rush defense to not let them control the game. Michigan will have to attempt to air it out to stay competitive, and I think that will only lead to turnovers.

Michigan’s defense is supposed to be a strength, and they are at home, but Dillon Gabriel and co. should not have a problem moving the ball and scoring. Running back Jordan James has had a great season, and Tez Johnson will be busy as Gabriel’s favorite target.

Oregon has also had no issues on the road so far this season. They are 3-0 away from Eugene, and while the teams they have played are Oregon State, UCLA, and Purdue, they took care of business. Their road wins have had final scores of 49-14, 34-13, and 35-0.

The Ducks will take the lead from the jump, and this once-exciting matchup will be over quickly.

Prediction: Oregon 34, Michigan 10
Best Bet: Oregon -14.5 (-110)

Oregon vs Michigan Odds

The college football odds have Oregon as a 14.5-point road favorite over Michigan. With moneyline odds at -700, sportsbooks are giving Oregon an 87.5% implied win probability. The O/U in this game is set at 45. The odds have not moved much in the last week. Earlier this week, Michigan was +15.5 before moving to +14.5.

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Odds as of bet365 on November 1. Check out the best bet365 bonus code before locking in your Oregon vs Michigan bets.

Oregon vs Michigan Player Props

College football player props as of November 1 at bet365.

Oregon vs Michigan Player Prop Pick: Tez Johnson Anytime TD (-120)

Tez Johnson has been Dillon Gabriel’s favorite target this season. Johnson has eight touchdowns in as many games and has scored at least one touchdown in five straight. He is averaging 10.4 targets over his last five games and has turned that into 41 receptions. While the total in this game is lower, Johnson should still be able to get in the endzone vs Michigan, whose passing defense has been exposed at times this season vs good offenses.