Colorado vs Texas Tech Prediction, Preview & Odds – CFB Week 11

• Two Top 5 teams in the Big 12 battle in CFB Week 11
• Deion Sanders and #20 Colorado travel to Lubbock to face 6-3 Texas Tech
• See below for the latest Colorado vs Texas Tech odds, preview, and prediction

In Week 11 of the college football season, the Big 12 is wide open. BYU currently sits atop the standings, but Colorado and Texas Tech are not far behind. Colorado is third behind Iowa State with a 6-2 record (4-1 in conference), and Texas Tech is fifth with a 6-3 record (4-2 in Big 12 play).

This is a big game for both programs looking to make the Big 12 Championship game. The conference winner has a shot at a bye-week in the CFP bracket and the chance to host a playoff game. Now a lot would have to happen for either of these teams to get to that point, but a win here is crucial.

Colorado is coming off a bye, while Texas Tech went into Ames and upset #17 Iowa State last week 23-22.

Colorado vs Texas Tech Odds

The college football odds list the Buffaloes as 4.5-point road favorites over Texas Tech. Colorado opened as a 2.5-point favorite in Week 11 but has now moved to 4.5. The O/U is a high one at 62.5 and has not moved since the odds opened last Sunday.

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Odds as of Nov. 8 at BetMGM. Check out BetMGM reviews or browse other top sports betting sites before placing your CFB Week 11 bets. 

Colorado Betting Trends

After failing to cover the spread in their first two games, Colorado has rattled off six straight ATS victories. They won five of their last six and were rolling before their bye week. It took just eight games for the Buffaloes to go over their season win total of 5.5.

Deion Sanders has his team looking great in Year 2. The offensive line play has improved and their defense has stepped up when needed. Colorado’s offense was never the issue with projected Top 5 NFL Draft picks Travis Hunter and Shedeur Sanders, and even they have improved. The over is 4-3-1 this season in Colorado’s games.

Travis Hunter has graded inside the top five at two positions🤯 pic.twitter.com/toKBjN69i5

— PFF College (@PFF_College) November 8, 2024

The duo of Sanders and Hunter have led the Buffs to eighth in the country in passing yards per game averaging over 323. Colorado is not much on the ground, but with Sanders and his plethora of weapons, it has not mattered. The defense has also been impressive. They have been susceptible on the ground, but they are 18th in the country in sacks, and fifth in the nation in red zone defense. They look like a team that has the horses to compete for a Big 12 Title, which is a remarkable feat after their 4-8 finish last season.

Texas Tech Betting Trends

Texas Tech got a huge win last week against Iowa State and snapped their two-game losing streak. The Red Raiders have been unpredictable at times, but when they are on, they are tough to beat. They are 5-3-1 against the spread and have covered the spread in their last three games as underdogs. They are 2-1 straight up in those games as well.

The Red Raiders put up points in bunches as they lead the high-scoring Big 12 in points per game with 36.4. Led by quarterback Behren Morton and runningback Tahj Brooks, Texas Tech can keep up with essentially any team they play with their balanced attack. Morton has thrown for exactly 2,300 yards, 19 touchdowns, and five interceptions on the campaign, while Brooks has over 1,000 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns.

It is a good thing Texas Tech can score because their defense has allowed 35 points or more in three of their last five games and ranks 124th in passing yards allowed.

Colorado vs Texas Tech Prediction

When this line opened at Colorado -2.5, I was ready to hop all over the Buffs, but now that the line has moved so much, I am looking at this game differently. There are two key matchups to watch in this game. It is Colorado’s eighth-ranked passing offense vs Texas Tech’s secondary and Tahj Brooks vs Colorado’s rushing defense.

Brooks has averaged over 133 rushing yards over his last five games and has yet to rush for under 100 yards in a single game this season. Colorado’s defense has been impressive, but the Buffs are still allowing 155.1 rushing yards per game. I believe this matchup is much more indicative of who will cover the spread.

Texas Tech is at home and will be able to run the ball to limit Colorado’s possessions. That means less of Shedeur Sanders and less of Travis Hunter (on offense) making big plays. Colorado has also not faced a team with Texas Tech’s explosiveness yet, so even when those big plays come for Colorado, the Red Raiders will be able to keep up with them. I’ll take Texas Tech to cover the 4.5.

And there is a reason I said when those big plays come and not if. This game will be full of big plays and scoring on both sides of the ball, which is also why I am looking to take the over in this game. This one should be fun to watch.

Colorado vs Texas Tech Picks: 

• Texas Tech +4.5 (-115)
• Over 62.5 (-110)