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Army vs Notre Dame Odds, Prediction & Pick – College Football Week 13

Zach Reger

By Zach Reger in College Football

Published:


Jeremiyah Love runs for a touchdown
Notre Dame running back Jeremiyah Love (4) runs the ball for a touchdown during a NCAA college football game against Virginia at Notre Dame Stadium on Saturday, Nov. 16, 2024, in South Bend.
  • #6 Notre Dame hosts #19 Army in College Football Week 13
  • The Fighting Irish are two-touchdown favorites on Saturday, November 23
  • See below for the latest Army vs Notre Dame picks, odds, and prediction for CFB Week 13

Army has been one of the best stories in college football this season, and now they can add another chapter to that story when they face Notre Dame in CFB Week 13. The Black Knights are 9-0 and are ranked 19th in the country. If they can pull out a win here as an underdog, it would go a long way for their chances to reach the CFP bracket.

Notre Dame owns this series, but the two programs have not played since 2016. The Fighting Irish are 39-8-4 against Army all time and have won the last 15 matchups.

Kickoff for this Top 25 matchup is scheduled for 7:00 pm ET and will be played at Yankee Stadium. Keep reading for the latest Army vs Navy odds and predictions.

Notre Dame vs Army Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Over/Under
Army Black Knights +14 (-105) +425 Over 45.5 (-110)
Notre Dame Fighting Irish -14 (-115) -650 Under 45.5 (-110)

The college football odds have Notre Dame listed as a 14-point favorite over Army. With -650 odds on the moneyline, sportsbooks are giving the Fighting Irish a win probability of 86.67%. The total is set at 45.5. The Notre Dame vs Army lines have not moved much since opening. The spread opened at Notre Dame -14.5 and moved to -15.5 for a little bit before returning to the 14 it is now. The O/U opened at 44.5 and has been bet up one point.

Odds as of Saturday, November 23 at ESPN BET. Claim the best ESPN BET promo code before locking in your CFB Week 13 bets.

Notre Dame Betting Trends

Notre Dame is 9-1 on the season and an impressive 7-2-1 against the spread. The Fighting Irish have covered the spread in five straight games heading into this game. Outside of a loss to Northern Illinois, Notre Dame has looked unstoppable this season. They have won eight in a row and have beaten their last five opponents by 33 points per game.

The addition of Riley Leonard has been great for Notre Dame this season, especially on the ground. Their rushing attack averages 216.7 yards per game, which is good for eleventh in the country. We all know the Fighting Irish want to run the ball, so having a quarterback who can tuck it and run has elevated the offense. On the season, Leonard has been efficient with 1,789 yards passing, 12 passing touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. He leads the team in rushing touchdowns with 13 and is also second on the team in rushing with 641 yards. Running back Jeremiyah Love has the most rushing yards with 720 and is averaging 6.3 yards per carry. Love has 12 rushing touchdowns this season.

The offense has looked great, but the defense has been extremely impressive. They have allowed their opponent to score more than 16 points in only two of their ten games. They enter Week 13 ranked second in defensive success rate. They also lead the nation in takeaways with 25. Simply put, teams have had a difficult time moving the ball against Notre Dame.

Army Betting Trends

Army is undefeated and is an unbelievable 7-1-1 against the spread this season. After covering the spread in six straight games to start the year, the Black Knights failed to cover two in a row. They got back on track last week by covering the spread vs Air Force.

Much like Notre Dame, Army wants to run the ball. They are first in the country in rushing yards per game by a large margin. The Black Knights run for 334.9 yards per game, and for context, the team that ranks second in rushing yards per game is averaging 262.8. The offense runs through quarterback Bryson Daily, who leads the team in both passing and rushing yards. On the ground, Daily has over 1,000 yards and 21 touchdowns. Their triple-option attack has led them to second in the country in offensive success rate.

The Black Knights are as disciplined as any team in college football. They rarely commit penalties or turnovers, and even though they do not throw the ball much, they are still first in the country in passing efficiency. Army has only turned the ball over three times this season and is second in the nation in time of possession. That is a winning combination that is tough to stop.

Notre Dame vs Army Prediction

Army has been a fun team to watch (and bet on) this season, but unfortunately, this will be where their winning streak ends. Both teams want to run the ball and have done it well this year, but I trust Notre Dame’s playmakers over Army’s. I feel like we watched this game a few weeks ago when Notre Dame played Navy. The spread in that game was similar to this one, and while the Black Knights are a better team and do not turn the ball over as much, I believe we could see a similar outcome as that 51-14 rout.

Notre Dame’s defense is just too strong and talented. Army’s best chance to keep this game close is to control the time of possession, and I am not sure they will be able to do that against a team that has already locked down a good triple-option team this season. I will take Notre Dame to cover the spread.

Army vs Notre Dame Pick: Notre Dame -14 (-115)

Zach Reger
Zach Reger

Social Media Manager; Sports Betting Personality & Handicapper

Zach has been involved in the sports betting industry for three years. After starting to bet on sports in college, Zach was interested in how it can make any game interesting. The trends, line movement, and finding unique angles to predict the outcomes of games captivated Zach to get more involved.

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