National Bank Open Odds & Picks for Aug 10 – Women’s Singles Round of 16

• All top four seeds are still alive in Round of 16 action at the National Bank Open
• Top seeded Iga Swiatek and 3rd-seeded Elena Rybakina had struggles in their last match
• Take a look below for odds, analysis and best bets for Round of 16 play at the National Bank Open

It’s a busy Thursday at the National Bank Open in Montreal, as the race to the quarterfinals are on.

All Round of 16 matches are scheduled, and feature the top four seeds of the tournament, with seven of the first 10 seeds still in the mix.

Let’s share the odds of the available matches below, and share some of our favorite bets.

National Bank Open Round of 16 Odds

Action gets underway at 11am, when 4th-seeded Jessica Pegula battles Jasmine Paolini, as a hefty -700 favorite.

Top-seeded Iga Swiatek is also an overwhelming -600 favorite as she battles 14-seed Karolina Muchova. Second-seeded Aryna Sabalenka takes on no. 15 Liudmilla Samsonova as a -270 favorite to advance, while the third seed, Elena Rybakina is a -380 favorite over American Sloane Stephens.

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Odds as of Aug 9th at DraftKings. Use a DraftKings promo code to bet on the National Bank Open.

Swiatek vs Muchova Prediction

It wasn’t exactly smooth sailing for Swiatek in her first match at Montreal. Fresh off a tourney win in Poland, the top-ranked woman in the world had her serve broken twice in the the first set against Czechia’s Karolina Pliskova, in a set that went to tiebreak.

Swiatek prevailed, then went on to finish the match in a breeze, winning 7-6 (6), 6-2 on Wednesday.

She’ll be going up against 14th seed Karolina Muchova, who topped Sorana Cirstea 7-5, 6-4 in Round 2 play. Muchova opened the tournament with a 7-6 (6), 6-2 win over Anastasia Potapova.

One set down ✅@iga_swiatek edges an hour-long opener in a tiebreak over Pliskova, 7-6(6).#NBO23 pic.twitter.com/5AvSB7qMZb

— wta (@WTA) August 9, 2023

This will be the third meeting between these two, who each have a win, with both matches on clay.

The most recent was at the final of this year’s French Open, with Swiatek taking the major in a match that went the distance, 6-2, 5-7, 6-4. Muchova won the first meeting in Prague in 2019, winning a First Round match in three sets, 4-6, 6-1, 6-4.

With both already having played a tiebreak in this tourney, and their (short) history of going the distance, that’s an awfully generous total of just 19.5 games.

Pick: Over 19.5 (-125)

Stephens vs Rybakina Prediction

If Swiatek suffered a scare, it was full on red alert for the 3rd-ranked Rybakina in her first match of the tourney. Rybakina dropped a first-set tiebrak, then needed to win a second-set tiebreak to eventually put away Jennifer Brady 6-7 (3), 7-6 (5), 6-3.

Stephens has also just played a single match, after opponent Victoria Azarenka was forced to withdraw from their Round 2 match due to injury.

The American did top Anhelina Kalininina 6-4, 7-6 (2) in her Round 1 matchup.

This will be the first meeting between Rybakina and Stephens, but the Kazakhstani star has a distinct advantage when it comes to surface. Rybakina is an impressive 22-5 in her hard court matches this year, while Stephens is just 5-8.

However, with Rybakina’s slow start, and the fact that three of Stephens’ last four matches have gone the distance, I’m again targeting the total.

Pick: Over 20.5 (-120)

Bouzkova vs Kasatkina Prediction

We finish with 10th-seeded Daria Kasatkina, who’s played two clean matches, topping Elise Martens and Anna Blinkova in straight sets.

She now draws unseeded Marie Bouzkova, who upended 5th-seeded Carolina Garcia in three sets: 6-4, 4-6, 6-2.

When the commentator isn't expecting the ball to come back 😅@MarieBouzkova | #NBO23 pic.twitter.com/RdpVBoPNz7

— wta (@WTA) August 9, 2023

It was just Bouzkova’s third win against a tournament seed this year, and two of them have come against Garcia.

Kasatkina has the first two wins in this head-to-head, winning in the 2021 final of the Phillip Island Trophy Melbourne event 4-6, 6-2, 6-2. She also bested Bouzkova in Ostrava in 2020, winning 6-4, 5-7, 7-5.

Both have losing records on hard court this season, though, with Bouzkova at 8-10 and Kasatkina at 8-9. I don’t know if Bouzkova wins, but I think she plays Kasatkina tough.

Pick: Bouzkova +2.5 (-105)