Less than 24 hours after the Donald Trump/JD Vance ticket swept to a massive Electoral College victory in the 2024 election, sportsbooks have opened the odds for the 2028 presidential election. With Trump at his two-term limit, his Vice President, Vance, has opened as the betting favorite to win the White House in four years’ time.

2028 Presidential Election Odds

Vance, the current junior senator from Ohio, has opened at +300, which amounts to a 25% implied probability.

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Michelle Obama Leads Democratic Candidates

After Vice President Kamala Harris’ crushing defeat in the 2024 election, the Democrats are left with a serious leadership vacuum. That’s evidenced by the fact that the Democrat with the best odds to win the 2028 election, former First Lady Michelle Obama, has never held, or even run for, public office.

Obama (+500) is followed closely by California governor Gavin Newsom (+550) but then there’s a steep drop-off to failed 2016 candidate Hillary Clinton (+1400), talk-show host Oprah Winfrey, who would presumably run for the Dems, and Harris (both +2500).

DeSantis Seen as Main Challenger for GOP Nomination

When it comes to potential Republican candidates, Florida governor Ron DeSantis (+800) is seen as the main challenger. DeSantis was briefly the favorite to win GOP nomination in 2024 before Trump big-brothered him out of the way. His official 2024 campaign got off to a rocky start when his official launch on Twitter was plagued with malfunctions, and it never recovered thereafter.

Also high-ish on the list for potential GOP candidates are former Hawaii representative Tulsi Gabbard (+1000), pundit Tucker Carlson (+1400), and former South Carolina governor and ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley (+2500), who was the last person to abandon the fight against Trump for the 2024 Republican nomination.

The post JD Vance Opens as Favorite in 2028 Election Odds; Michelle Obama Second appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Four years in the making, election day has arrived. Americans head to the ballot box on Tuesday, November 5, with the race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump extremely close according to all polls. The first table below displays the latest Presidential Election odds at bet365 and William Hill. The graph underneath the table shows the average odds, and how the odds have moved over the course of election day. On the morning of Nov. 5, Trump was a -149 favorite on average (59.84% implied win probability) with Harris a +133 underdog (42.92% implied win probability).

Live Presidential Election Odds

Odds updated 10:47 pm ET, November 5. Read SBD’s political betting sites FAQ. 

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In a surprise move, DraftKings has re-posted its election futures as of Tuesday morning. DK was one of several books to remove election odds after the assassination attempt on Trump in Butler, PA, on July 13.

Presidential Election Odds Timeline:

• 10:33 pm ET: As early returns continue to favor Trump, he has improved to a staggering -947 (90.45% implied win probability). Harris has dropped all the way to +603. Barring a massive Harris comeback, that will be the last update for the night.
• 10:09 pm ET: If the odds were the deciding factor, this race would be all but over. Trump has improved to -776 on average (88.58% implied win probability). Harris is way back at +514 (16.29% implied win probability).
• 9:31 pm ET: Trump is back to -293, just short of his best odds of the day. Harris has faded to +247 in the last 20 minutes.
• 9:10 pm ET: The Trump momentum has halted and slightly reversed. In the last 25 minutes, Trump has moved from -299 to -267, while Harris has improved from +248 to +222.
• 8:52 pm ET: Trump continues to shorten as initial results come trickling in. Trump is now a -299 favorite, on average, while Harris has faded to +248, by far the longest odds of the day.
• 7:45 pm ET: The first big shift in the odds just took place. Trump moved from -158 to -210 over the last half hour. Harris faded from +134 to +177.
• 7:17 pm ET: Trump is now just a -158 favorite. Harris has improved to +134.
• 6:12 pm ET: Half an hour before the first polls close, Trump has dropped from -164 to -163, while Harris has improved from +143 to +138.
• 4:04 pm ET: There has been very little movement over the last 45 minutes. Trump went from -166 to -164, while Harris improved from +144 to +143
• 3:23 pm ET: The odds have stayed the same over the past hour: Trump -166 / Harris +144.
• 2:16 pm ET: Trump’s lead is growing again. He’s now -166 on average. Harris has dropped to +144.
• 1:19 pm ET: Harris moved back from +134 to +136 over the last hour. Trump went from -155 to -156.
• 12:09 pm ET: More good news for the Harris camp: the VEEP has shortened from +138 to +134 in the last few minutes. Trump has moved from -157 to -155.
• 11:45 am ET: The odds are narrowing again, with Harris improving from +143 to +138 over the past 45 minutes and Trump fading from -160 to -157.
• 10:58 am ET: Trump improved incrementally over the last hour, going from -159 to -160 with Harris fading from +142 to +143.
• 9:59 am ET: The odds are narrowing once again, with Trump falling from -162 to -159 on average. Harris has improved from +145 to +142 over the last hour.
• 8:37 am ET: The betting odds have moved a little further to Trump over night: he is now the -162 chalk, on average, compared to Harris at +145.
• 1:05 am ET: Trump has shortened ever so slightly to -151 over the last hour or so, with Harris dropping from +133 to +135.
• 12:25 am ET: In the wee hours of the morning on Nov. 5, Trump is a -149 favorite on average with Harris a +133 underdog. That represents a slight improvement for Trump compared to Monday, when he closed at -131. Harris has faded from +115 on Nov. 4.

Harris vs Trump Odds (Nov. 5 Timeline)

The table below lists the same information in the graph above (i.e. the odds for both Harris and Trump at various points on Nov. 5) in table-format.

Election Day Trends

Notably, fivethirtyeight.com contradicts the betting odds and says that Harris is the slight favorite. In their simulations, Harris wins the 2024 election 50 times out of 100 while Trump takes back the White House in 49 instances.

The post Presidential Election Live Odds & Updates – Trump as Short as -1000 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

In just 24 hours, the world will know – or at least have a good indication – whether Vice President Kamala Harris or former President Donald Trump will sit in the White House come January. The 2024 Presidential Election odds have undergone half a dozen seismic shifts since Joe Biden took office nearly four years ago. Where do they stand on the eve of election day?

Presidential Election Odds – Harris vs Trump

Trump, who was a heavy -278 favorite (73.54% implied probability) to win days before aging incumbent Joe Biden announced he would not seek re-election, is a -166 (62.41% IP) favorite at bet365 as of Monday, Nov. 4. Other sportsbooks and prediction sites have the gap even narrower.

At Kalshi, a prediction market that was only just permitted to offer election outcomes by a federal court in September 2024, a Trump victory is trading at 55 cents with a Harris victory at 45 cents. In sports-betting terms, that would make Trump a -122 favorite and Harris a +122 underdog.

UK betting giant William Hill has the odds at -150 (60% IP) for Trump and +130 (43.48%) for Harris.

Why Is Trump Favored?

Why is Trump favored at basically all political betting sites? The short answer is: the polls. While Harris still has a decent lead nationally and is -400 to win the popular vote (80% implied probability), the Electoral College map, and the relevant polls alongside it, suggest enough states will turn red to get Trump to the 270 electoral votes he needs to retake the White House.

At 270t0win.com, 226 electoral votes are safely blue while 219 are safely red. Seven states – and 93 electoral votes – are too close to call based on polling data. The latest polls from NateSilver.net have Trump leading in five of those seven states (Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania) and Harris in just two (Michigan and Wisconsin).

If Trump is able to carry all five and there isn’t a big upset with any of the other 219 electoral votes already penciled into the GOP column, he would end up with 287, more than enough to earn a second, non-consecutive term in the White House.

The table below shows the seven battleground states, along with their number of electoral votes, and the margin in the latest polls from Nate Silver.

Battleground States & Latest Polls

Outside of these seven primary battleground states, the closest races are likely to be in Iowa (six EVs, GOP +3.4%) and New Hampshire (four EVs, DEM +4.6%).

Does Harris Have a Shot?

Yes, consensus is that this election is still far too close to call. Trump’s lead in Pennsylvania and Nevada is less than half a percent. If the Keystone State goes blue and Harris holds onto Michigan and Wisconsin (which both went Democrat in 2020), she would add 44 electoral votes to the 226 penciled into the blue column and land exactly on 270. And it’s no secret that the derogatory remarks about Puerto Ricans at a recent Trump rally could have a big benefit for Democrats in the state.

Also, if Harris takes any combination of Nevada and North Carolina/Georgia, the path to the White House for Trump becomes very narrow.

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The post Final 2024 Election Odds – Trump vs Harris Odds Heading Into Election Day appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

The first and so far only scheduled debate between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump took place in Philadelphia on Tuesday night, moderated by David Muir and Linsey Davis on ABC.

Heading into Tuesday’s debate, Trump was slightly favored in the presidential election odds at bet365, sitting at -125 with VP Harris at even money.

After the debate, the two are now in a dead-heat, both sitting at -110 as of 10:43 pm ET on Tuesday night.

2024 Presidential Election Odds

Trump had been as short as -278 in the 2024 presidential election odds back in mid-July when incumbent Joe Biden was still seeking re-election. Harris has made (mostly) steady gains in the election markets since becoming the presumptive nominee when Biden abandoned his re-election campaign, reaching as short as -125 odds, on average, on August 21.

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Odds as of September 10, 2024, at bet365. Note that American betting sites do not currently accept wagers on political markets.

Harris Wins Debate, Overcoming Low Bar

The beginning of the end of Biden’s re-election bid was the first presidential debate on June 27 when he appeared confused and incoherent at times. Expectations were certainly higher for the 59-year-old Vice President on Tuesday night, but with Biden’s performance still the backdrop, Harris had a much lower bar to clear than most recent Democratic nominees.

The official polls on who won the debate won’t be out for a day or two at least, but pundits are predicting a fairly resounding debate victory for Harris.

“Not everybody got handed 400 million dollars on a silver platter and then filed bankruptcy six times.”

— Kamala Harris on Donald Trump during the debate. pic.twitter.com/bUny2e7lDJ

— Pop Base (@PopBase) September 11, 2024

The most amicable part of the debate was the introductory handshake. The two candidates verbally sparred over every topic, finding little to no common ground, not that any was expected.

The general feeling on Elon Musk-owned X was that the ABC moderators – Linsey Davis and David Muir – were pro-Kamala Harris throughout the course of the debate.

Donald Trump gets fact-checked after claiming that immigrants in Springfield, Ohio, are eating pets.

Kamala Harris is yet to be fact checked. pic.twitter.com/cEUYT8rII1

— FearBuck (@FearedBuck) September 11, 2024

Vice-Presidential Debate Scheduled for October 1 on CBS

Harris and Trump do not have a second presidential debate on the books at the moment and time is running out to schedule one. However, on October 1, their running-mates Tim Walz and JD Vance will debate on CBS with Margaret Brennan and Norah O’Donnell moderating.

The odds at UK bookmaker William Hill strongly favor Minnesota Governor Tim Walz, Harris’ VP nominee, winning the debate. He is currently priced at -300 with Trump’s running-mate, Ohio Senator JD Vance, a +225 longshot at Will Hill.

The post Presidential Election Odds Pre and Post-Debate – Harris Gets a Bump appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

A betting market that Donald Trump had been dominating for the better part of the last six months has been turned on its head in the last few weeks. Since incumbent Joe Biden dropped his re-election campaign and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris as the Democratic nominee, the latter has been on a one-way trip to the top of the board, recently surpassing former President Trump as the betting favorite to win the White House on Tuesday, Nov. 5.

Updated 2024 Presidential Election Odds

Harris, who was still as long as +110 at this time last week, continued to rise up the board after naming Minnesota Governor Tim Walz as her running-mate.

Odds as of August 11 at bet365. Check out the top political betting sites.

Trump’s Odds Sagging

In the wake of the failed assassination attempt on Donald Trump in Butler, Pennsylvania, on July 13, Trump’s odds to win a second, non-consecutive term in the White House moved to a startling short -278, on average. At that point, aging incumbent Joe Biden was still in the race and looked intent on seeing through his re-election bid, for better or worse.

But since Biden’s stunning-yet-inevitable announcement that he was dropping his re-election campaign – and endorsing VP Harris in one fell swoop – Trump’s odds have been on a one-way train in the opposite direction. The day after Biden’s announcement, Trump faded to -200 in the 2024 election odds and, when all the Democratic ducks lined up behind Harris, he faded further to -188.

Over the last two weeks, he’s moved all the way to plus-money, currently sitting at +100.

Harris Rise Supported by Polling Numbers

Kamala Harris’ rise up the odds board isn’t just a response to betting handle. The most-up-to-date polling numbers show the current VEEP with a lead both nationally and in most of the key battleground states that will decide the 2024 presidential election.

Nate Silver’s most-recent polling averages showed Harris with a 2.5% lead nationally and at least a 1.3% lead in all of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.

If she carries those three states, she’s all but guaranteed of an Electoral College victory. The interactive map at 270towin has 226 Electoral College votes solidly blue; adding Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin equals exactly 270 with Arizona (11 votes), Georgia (16 votes), and Nevada (6 votes) still in neutral territory.

Trump holds a slight lead in Georgia (46.0% to 45.1%) but Harris is ahead out west in both Arizona (44.6% to 44.0%) and Nevada (44.6% to 42.9%) in Silver’s latest polls.

The post New 2024 Presidential Election Odds Show Harris Favored Over Trump appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Kamala Harris continues to gain traction in the 2024 Election odds, this time following a perceived racial identity attack from Donald Trump at a convention in Chicago.

Harris is now listed at +11- to win the election at popular betting site Bet365, which is nearly a 50% chance. Meanwhile, New Zealand-based online prediction market PredictIt actually shows Harris with better odds now.

Here is a rundown of the latest Trump controversy and 2024 Election odds aftermath.

US Presidential Election Odds 2024

In the updated US Election odds for 2024, Kamala Harris has improved to +110, which is a 47.6% implied win probability.

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Odds as of August 1, 2024, at Bet365 Sportsbook. Claim the Bet365 bonus to bet on the US Election.

Trump’s Attack at Chicago Convention

On Wednesday, former President Donald Trump questioned Vice President Kamala Harris’s racial identity while speaking at the National Association of Black Journalists convention in Chicago. Trump claimed that Harris emphasized her Indian heritage until recently when she “became a Black person.”

Harris, who is of Indian and Jamaican descent, has reportedly long identified as both Black and South Asian throughout her career. She responded to Trump’s comments, calling them “the same old show” of “divisiveness and disrespect.”

Former President Trump on Vice President Kamala Harris: "She was Indian all the way and then all of a sudden she made a turn and she went, she became a Black person. I think somebody should look into that." pic.twitter.com/RpEuRq6p5m

— CSPAN (@cspan) July 31, 2024

“The American people deserve better,” Harris said of Trump’s remarks. “We deserve a leader who understands that our differences do not divide us – they are an essential source of our strength.”

Trump’s remarks drew criticism and gasps from the mostly Black audience of journalists. Some called the comments insulting and divisive. The White House press secretary condemned the statements, saying no one has the right to tell someone how to identify.

This incident continues a pattern of Trump attacking opponents based on race, including falsely claiming President Obama was not born in the US and saying GOP rival Nikki Haley could not be president because her parents immigrated from India.

Kamala Harris’ Improved Election Odds

While most Republicans seemingly were amused with Trump’s interview in Chicago, oddsmakers believe Harris is the one who will benefit in the polls. Harris’ odds to win the 2024 election have been improving following Trump’s Chicago convention.

For the first time since launching her presidential campaign, betting odds on PredictIt showed Harris leading Trump on Wednesday afternoon.

BREAKING: Kamala Harris is now the favorite to win the presidency in 2024 according to Predictit betting odds:

Just over a week ago she was at 32% and Trump was at 62%

This has been there greatest comeback I have ever seen. pic.twitter.com/4k292Lung1

— Brian Krassenstein (@krassenstein) August 1, 2024

However, it’s worth noting that at American sportsbooks such as BetMGM and Bet365, Trump is still the notable favorite over Harris. But our election tracker doesn’t hide that his lead has shrunk significantly since Harris became the presumptive Democratic nominee.

A Morning Consult poll conducted after Biden withdrew found Trump leading Harris by just 2%, compared to a 4% lead over Biden in their prior poll. Furthermore, several state polls have Harris tied or ahead of Trump in crucial battlegrounds like Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, and Arizona.

Michigan, in particular, is a crucial swing state. A Morning Consult poll conducted from July 24 to July 28 found Harris leading Trump 53% to 42% in the Great Lake State.

Verdict on Latest Election Odds 2024

What does Harris’s improvement in the US Election odds 2024 actually mean? Well, firstly, it’s important to note that betting odds do not always predict the ultimate winner, especially this far before Election Day.

Polls can vary significantly based on methodology and are a snapshot in time rather than a definite forecast. Trump overcame betting odds and most polls to defeat Hillary Clinton in 2016, while in 2020, Biden remained the betting favorite over Trump and went on to win.

Hey guys, remember when Hillary Clinton beat Trump in 2016? pic.twitter.com/XKrTd24GOG

— Rasputin Polls (@AlvinIpswitch) July 31, 2024

We do know that Harris is 20 years younger than Trump, and her relative youth is an asset. She also embodies diversity in an increasingly multicultural America.

However, the Democrats are trying to avoid the mistakes of 1968 when Johnson’s withdrawal led to party disunity and social unrest.

This will be a very close race, and predicting the winner at this point is fool’s gold. However, if we had to place a wager, we’d lean toward Harris due to her plus-money value and growing momentum.

It’s intriguing that a veteran forecaster who has correctly predicted every presidential winner for the past 40 years is projecting a Harris win. However, this is an outlier to many models that are predicting a close Trump victory.

The post Kamala Harris’ Election Odds Rise After Trump’s Racial Identity Remarks appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

After incumbent Joe Biden dropped his re-election campaign and threw his support behind Vice President Kamala  Harris, it didn’t take long for the bulk of Democratic delegates to fall in line, rendering Harris the presumptive nominee ahead of the Democratic National Convention in Chicago on August 19-22.

With Harris shortening to -3300 in the Democratic nomination odds, her odds of winning the presidency have also dramatically improved in recent days.

Presidential Election Odds

Harris, who was a +800 longshot on July 14, is now neck-and-neck with former President Donald Trump (-188). No one else on the board is shorter than +2500 (Michelle Obama).

Odds as of July 25 at bet365. See the full list of election betting sites. Wagering on the 2024 presidential election is not available to US residents. 

Harris Already Has Backing of Majority of Democratic Delegates

Though the Democratic nomination is far from official, Harris already has the support of more than enough delegates to claim the nomination at August’s convention in Chicago.

Joe Biden had already secured 3,904 of the 3,951 delegates in the Democratic primary process before dropping out. When he left the race, those delegates were free move their support to a new candidate. As of Monday, Harris had already secured the support of 2,668, well over the 50% she needs to secure the nomination.

She worked the phones. Her team worked the delegates. When it was over, Kamala Harris had locked down the Democratic nomination in 48 hours. https://t.co/9JzkZii3Ys

— The New York Times (@nytimes) July 25, 2024

Harris’ odds to be the nominee changed drastically this week, as a result. She initially became the -200 favorite to win the nomination when it was announced last week that Biden had contracted COVID. When he officially dropped out of the race that Sunday, Harris improved to -400. And once Biden’s delegates started lining up behind the VEEP, her odds progressed to -900 and then -3300 when she was over the 50% threshold.

Harris has also been highly successful in her early fundraising efforts.

Trump Losing Ground as Harris Gains

The necessary corollary of Harris gaining ground in the election odds is Trump dropping down.

While most of the shift is due to Harris’ ascension, some of it can be chalked up to his Vice Presidential pick of JD Vance, who was the most Trump-ish of the main GOP VP contenders.

The junior senator from Ohio is in lockstep with the most extreme MAGA idealogues. Many political pundits expected Trump to pick a more centrist running mate in order to appease voters weary of “Project 2025“. But Trump doubled-down on his extremist tendencies, and may now be reliant on his most-arden base expanding in order to find victory in the 2024 electoral college.

Stay tuned to the 2024 presidential election odds tracker for the latest odds movement in the race.

The post Trump vs Harris Odds – Kamala Closing the Gap in 2024 Election Odds appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

A tumultuous 48 hours has led to complete upheaval in the odds to win the Democratic nomination for the 2024 Presidential Election. On Sunday, incumbent Joe Biden announced he was leaving the race and endorsing his Vice President, Kamala Harris, as his replacement on the ticket.

Biden had already secured enough delegates in the Democratic primary process to win the nomination, but those delegates are not automatically pledged to Harris. Regardless of the endorsement, Biden’s withdrawal from the race frees his delegates to support anyone who gains enough delegate signatures at the Democratic National Convention (300) to appear on the nomination ballot.

That said, oddsmakers are signalling that the result is all but certain. CNN reported on Tuesday that more than half of the delegates have already signalled their support for Harris.

Updated Democratic Nomination Odds

Odds as of July 23 at bet365. US residents are not permitted to bet on the American political markets at bet365. 

Harris became a heavy favorite the day Biden announced he had contracted COVID, shortening to -200 in the 2024 Democratic nominee odds. She improved to -400 when Biden officially dropped out on Sunday, then to -900 on Monday.

As of Tuesday morning, she was a stunningly short -3300 to lead the Democratic ticket against Donald Trump and JD Vance on Nov. 5. Her odds to win the presidential election have also shortened to +175, while Trump, who was as short as -275 less than a week ago, has faded to -188.

The big question now becomes: who will the current VP choose as her own running mate?

Democratic Vice President Nominee Odds 2024

The early odds to be (presumably) Harris’ running mate show three clear favorites at the top of the board: Arizona Senator Mark Kelly, a former Navy captain and astronaut, who is favored at +137; Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro, who is the +250 second-favorite; and North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper, who is listed as the +450 third-favorite.

The other legitimate contenders, at least according to oddsmakers, are Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear at +1000, and Secretary of Transportation and former South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg at +1200.

No one else on the list is shorter than +3300.

The post Kamala Harris Heavily Favored in Democratic Nomination Odds; Kelly, Shapiro Early Favorites in VP Odds appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

After weeks of speculation and mounting pressure from high-ranking Democrats, Joe Biden made it official on Sunday afternoon: he is dropping out of the 2024 Presidential Election, despite winning more than enough delegates during the Democratic primaries to represent the Dems on the 2024 ticket.

Biden vociferously endorsed his Vice-President, Kamala Harris, as his replacement as the Democratic nominee.

In the wake of the stunning – yet seemingly inevitable – announcement, the odds to win the 2024 Presidential Election changed drastically.

2024 Presidential Election Odds

Odds as of July 21 at bet365. The bet365 political futures are not available to US residents but new users can still check out the bet365 promotions. 

Biden announced his decision on X at 2:13 pm ET on Sunday afternoon.

My fellow Democrats, I have decided not to accept the nomination and to focus all my energies on my duties as President for the remainder of my term. My very first decision as the party nominee in 2020 was to pick Kamala Harris as my Vice President. And it’s been the best… pic.twitter.com/x8DnvuImJV

— Joe Biden (@JoeBiden) July 21, 2024

Odds Move Towards Harris, Democrats After Biden Drops Out

Donald Trump had been a -225 favorite to win a second, non-consecutive term before Biden dropped out of the race. As of Sunday morning, the former President is -200 to win. Harris’ odds had faded to +800 early last week when Biden was adamant he was going to stay in the race despite obvious mental-health issues. But on Sunday, her odds took a gigantic leap to +225 (which is much shorter than Biden’s most-recent price of +525).

The Democrats also received a big shot in the arm in terms of the winning-party odds. They were listed at +225 at bet365 on July 14, and now are only slight +150 underdogs (40% implied win probability).

When Will Democratic Nominee Become Official?

This is an unprecedented situation for the Democrats to be in. The party’s official nominee for the 2024 election won’t be decided until the Democratic National Convention on Aug. 19th to 22nd. Biden’s endorsement of Harris does not automatically pledge the delegates he won during the primaries to her nascent campaign. That said, in the immediate aftermath of Biden’s exit, Harris’ odds to win the Democratic nomination shortened to -400 (80% implied win probability).

In the coming days and weeks, it will become more clear whether any other Democrats intend to make a serious challenge for the nomination.

In the view of oddsmakers, Hillary Clinton (+1800) is seen as the most-likely challenger, though it’s difficult to see the Democratic Party nominating the very same person who lost to Trump in 2016. Former First Lady Michelle Obama (+2000) is currently fourth in the 2024 Presidential Election odds. Obama has never stated any intention to seek public office.

At the Republican National Convention last week, a Trump accepted the GOP nomination and named Ohio Senator JD Vance as his running mate.

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The post 2024 Presidential Election Odds After Biden Exits Race – Trump Favored Over Harris appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Incumbent President Joe Biden, already a divisive choice to run for re-election in 2024 at 81 years of age and in declining mental acuity, has seen his odds to win the 2024 Democratic Nomination sink dramatically after a positive COVID test on Thursday.

Biden had become the odds-on favorite (again) in the last week as he insisted he was staying in the race barring health issues. But health issues arose on Thursday when he revealed he tested positive for COVID.

2024 Democratic Nomination Odds

Biden’s odds to win the Democratic nomination were close to -300 earlier in the week and now sit at +250. Harris, meanwhile, has shortened to -200 to lead the Democratic ticket on Nov. 5. Harris already made history as the first female and black Vice-President when she and Biden defeated incumbent Donald Trump and Mike Pence in 2020.

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Odds as of July 18 at bet365. 

Biden Also Massive Longshot in 2024 Presidential Election Odds

As Biden’s odds to be the Democratic nominee sunk, so too did his odds to win the next general election on Nov. 5. He had been trailing Trump by a wide margin before Thursday’s COVID news. Trump was -275 and Biden was at +450.

As of Thursday morning, Biden’s odds to win re-election had faded all the way to +1100.

Biden is vaccinated and reportedly feeling “good”.

Trump’s Odds Fade Slightly as Harris Improves

Thursday’s news was not a welcome sight for Republican nominee Donald Trump and running-mate JD Vance. The former president was sitting at -275 in the 2024 Presidential Election odds on Wednesday, but his odds have faded to -225 as of Thursday morning.

Biden was seen as one of the weakest and most-vulnerable incumbents in US history as he stumbled his way through the first debate and several public appearances thereafter. Harris is considered a much stronger challenger.

The post Updated Democratic Nomination Odds – Biden’s Odds Plummet After Positive COVID Test appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

The last two weeks have been a windfall for Donald Trump. Following a brutal debate performance from incumbent Joe Biden and a failed assassination attempt against Trump in Pennsylvania on the weekend, Trump’s 2024 elections odds soared to -278, on average. But that wave of momentum may be breaking on the first day of the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee on Monday.

Trump selected Ohio Senator JD Vance as his running mate in November, and it didn’t lead to the odds boost many were expecting.

Vance was widely seen as the most MAGA-friendly of the potential VP candidates, which is why many pundits thought Trump – who already has that vote in the bag – would go in a different direction.

Updated 2024 Presidential Election Odds (July 15)

Trump’s odds remained at -275 at bet365 as of Monday afternoon following the Vance announcement. His (likely) challenger, Joe Biden, improved to +450 from +525 just two days ago.

Biden’s most-likely replacement, VP Kamala Harris, has faded to +1100 as the incumbent remains insistent that he’ll remain on the Democratic ticket.

Odds as of July 15 at bet365. Claim a bet365 bonus code today. 

Was Vance an Unwise Pick for VP?

The selection of Vance as his running mate may be an indication that former President Trump is feeling invincible after surviving a bullet to the head. Vance and Trump will see eye to eye on most issues, and should make excellent travelling buddies on the election trail. But Trump is running the risk of alienating anyone with the slightest hint of moderation in their political leanings.

BREAKING: Donald Trump chooses JD Vance as his Vice President pic.twitter.com/FO2KBSjmvj

— Benny Johnson (@bennyjohnson) July 15, 2024

Vance underperformed against most other Republicans in the 2022 midterms, narrowly beating out Democrat Tim Ryan (53.1 vs 46.9%) and retaining the seat vacated Rob Portman for the GOP. He’s a vocal endorser of the claim that the 2020 election was “stolen” from Trump.

Can Biden Recover?

It’s hard to argue that any incumbent has had a worse fortnight than Joe Biden in the build up to his re-election effort. Biden has appeared discombobulated and borderline incompetent while floundering in last month’s debate and, more recently, calling Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy by the name “President Putin”.

According to fivethirtyeight, Biden’s approval rating had dropped from 39.9% on June 20 to just 37.9 at last check.

His odds to win re-election were approaching even money late in 2023 and then faded all the way to +600 in early July when calls for him to step down were at their loudest.

Over the last ten days, though, Biden has improved from +600 to +450, and as the political reality of Vance sinks in, it’s likely he’ll grow even shorter as long as he doesn’t drop out of the race.

The post Trump’s 2024 Presidential Election Odds Stagnate After Vance Added to Ticket as VP; Biden’s Odds Improve appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Just days after being shot in the head by a would-be assassin, former President Donald Trump is expected to announce his running mate for the 2024 Presidential Election on November 5th.

The latest odds show a close two-horse race between North Dakota Governor Doug Burgum and Ohio Senator JD Vance, with Marco Rubio, Glenn Youngkin, Tim Scott, and Ben Carson also in the conversation.

Donald Trump’s Vice-President Odds

At last count, Burgum was the +187 favorite at bet365, with Vance just behind him at +200. After the top-two favorites, there was a sizable gap to Marco Rubio at +550 and Ben Carson at +800.

Trump is reported to have met with Burgum, Vance, and Rubio at Mar-a-Lago in the last 48 hours.

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Trump is expected to announce his running mate at the Republican National Convention on Monday afternoon, with Donald Trump Jr formally introducing the VP pick to the stage in Milwaukee.

Former President Donald Trump will reportedly announce his choice for vice president on Monday, the first day of the Republican National Convention.https://t.co/fVtKXj3Q9x

— KSHB 41 News (@KSHB41) July 15, 2024

Would Vance Be Redundant?

While Vance is a perfect pairing for Trump in many ways, many political strategists have opined that he’s unnecessary. The Ohio Senator bleeds MAGA and would be massively popular with Trump’s base, but he’s not going to pull in any moderates.

Burgum and Rubio would both be better suited to assuaging fears of an extreme MAGA ticket.

Trump may not particularly care, though. In the latest Presidential Election odds – in the wake of Saturday’s assassination attempt – Trump had shortened to -275 to win a second, non-consecutive term in the White House. Biden’s odds have faded to +450 as calls remain for him to step down as the Democratic nominee due to decline health and mental acuity.

Sportsbooks in non-North American jurisdictions were showing Vance shorten in the early hours of Monday morning.

Live Updates:

• 3:09 pm ET: Reports indicate JD Vance has received Trump’s VP nomination.
• 2:40 pm ET: Sites that still have VP odds up list Vance as a heavy favorite, but in a surprising turn of events, former Democratic primary challenger-turned-independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr is listed among the top-three favorites.
• 2:38 pm ET: Marco Rubio and Doug Burgum have reportedly been told they are not Trump’s VP pick.

The post Trump’s Vice-President Odds – Vance Now Heavily Favored; RFK Jr in the Running? appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Oddsmakers now say Kamala Harris has a better chance than Joe Biden at winning the 2024 US Election. Harris’s odds have surged following Biden’s lackluster performance in the presidential debate against former President Donald Trump.

Despite Harris now having better odds to be president than Biden, oddsmakers are listing the current president as the favorite to be the Democrats’ nominee. This interesting dynamic can offer insight into what might transpire leading up to November.

Let’s dive into the latest US Election odds and analyze what they mean for this all-important race.

US Election Odds 2024

In the updated US Election odds for 2024, Donald Trump is the heavy -175 favorite to return to office. This is a 63.6% chance of the 78-year-old being elected.

Odds as of July 4th, at Bet365 Sportsbook. Register with the Bet365 promo code to wager on the 2024 US Election.

Harris Overtakes Biden in Election Odds

Kamala Harris has surpassed Joe Biden in the 2024 Election odds following a lackluster performance from the 81-year-old in the presidential debate against Trump. A CNN snap poll showed viewers thought Trump decisively won the debate, 67% to 33%.

Concerns about Biden’s age, cognitive abilities, and overall fitness for office have fueled speculation that he may withdraw from the race before the Democratic convention. A leaked video on social media shows Trump saying Harris will be the Democrats’ nominee.

BREAKING: Leaked video shows Donald Trump saying he thinks Kamala Harris will be the Democrat nominee, says she is "so f**king bad."

"She's so bad. She's so pathetic. She's just so f**king bad."

"How did I do with the debate the other night? I kicked that old, broken down pile… pic.twitter.com/8OKxd1hHc6

— Collin Rugg (@CollinRugg) July 4, 2024

While nothing is official at the time of publishing, sportsbooks believe there is a strong possibility of Harris becoming the Dems’ presidential nominee. So much so, that they are listing her with superior odds than Biden to win the election.

Harris’s implied chance at winning the election is 20%, while Biden’s is 13.3%. Despite the upheaval on the Democratic side, Donald Trump remains the overall favorite to win back the White House in November.

Odds to Be 2024 Democratic Candidate

Joe Biden remains favored to be the Democratic nomination with odds of +125, which is 44.4% implied probability.

Biden Remains Favored in Democrat Odds

While Harris has better odds to win the election than Biden, the Democratic party nominee odds still show “Sleepy Joe” as the Dems’ presidential candidate’s favorite. Harris briefly overtook Biden as the betting favorite to be the Democrats’ candidate on Wednesday but is back to being the underdog.

Biden remaining favored to be the Democrats’ candidate but having worse overall election odds than Harris tells us something. Oddsmakers believe the Dems have to make the change to have the best chance of taking down Trump in November.

If Harris were to become the nominee, she would likely have access to Biden’s substantial campaign war chest, which experts say can only be transferred to her as the presidential nominee, not the vice-presidential pick.

However, Harris would also face scrutiny over her own disappointing approval ratings as VP. Some Democrats privately worry she lacks the political skills to defeat Trump. Still, a CNN/SSRS poll found Harris losing to Trump by only 2 points (45% to 47%), while Biden was trailing by 6 points (43% to 49%).

So, as calls for Biden’s exit grow louder, Kamala Harris has clearly emerged as the Democrat with the best odds of defeating Donald Trump if a change at the top of the ticket occurs.

The post Sportsbooks Give Kamala Harris Better Odds than Joe Biden to Win 2024 Election appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Primary season is fast approaching with the Republican Party’s Iowa caucuses now only 140 days away (Jan. 15, 2024). Last Wednesday, the GOP held its first of two primary debates and the two main challengers to former President Donald Trump – Ron DeSantis and Vivek Ramaswamy – both witnessed a boost in the polls and their odds to win the 2024 Republican Party nomination for president.

Republican Nomination Odds 2024

Ramaswamy is now a +500 second-favorite in the Republican nominee odds while DeSantis is close behind at +700. Trump continues to lead the odds at a -280 price tag at DraftKings Sportsbook. Largely seen as a three-person race at this point, no other candidate is shorter than +2500.

Odds as of Aug. 28, 2023, at DraftKings Ontario. Note that US political markets are not open to Americans. But US bettors can still claim a DraftKings promo code to wager on sports.  

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Ramaswamy Overtakes DeSantis as Second-Favorite in GOP Nomination Odds

Earlier this year, DeSantis was challenging Trump for the mantle of betting favorite. The Florida Governor was sitting at +168 odds in mid-February 2023, while Trump was only narrowly ahead at +123. But DeSantis lost considerable momentum in May when his official campaign launch via Twitter went off the rails.

Folks: We can now all relive Ron DeSantis' humiliating failure to launch! Watch as DeSantis, Elon Musk, and David Sacks struggle to get Twitter Spaces to work in their initial 20+ minute attempt. pic.twitter.com/MyiX1yVKyb

— MeidasTouch (@MeidasTouch) May 24, 2023

By May 30, the 44-year-old’s odds to win the nomination had faded to +255 and he has yet to recapture his previous momentum. He did see a modest improvement in his odds after last week’s debate – from +750 to +700 – but his numbers remain a depressing indication of his campaign’s trajectory.

Vivek Ramaswamy, on the other hand, surged onto the political scene in early 2023 and has continued to gain traction. The 37-year-old businessman has never held elected office but that hasn’t stopped oddsmakers from positioning him as the biggest threat to Trump’s stranglehold on the GOP. Ramaswamy’s odds opened in the neighborhood of +1000 when he first announced his candidacy and have improved two-fold in the interim. He overtook DeSantis as second-favorite in early August and moved from +550 to +500 after the first GOP debate.

Trump Remains Odds-On Favorite in 2024 Republican Nomination Odds

Despite sitting out of the first Republican Party primary debate – and being mired in a deluge of legal trouble – Trump continues to lead the 2024 Republican nomination odds by a considerable margin. When this betting market first opened (shortly after Trump lost the 2020 presidential election to Joe Biden), oddsmakers assumed Trump’s time as a presidential candidate were in the past. He was listed as a +1000 longshot to earn the 2024 GOP nomination, behind the likes of former Vice-President Mike Pence, Nikki Haley, Ted Cruz, Josh Hawley, and even John Kasich.

But Trump’s odds have steadily improved over the past three years, taking over the role of betting favorite by March 2021 and never ceding it back – at least not yet. Between Feb. 2023 and Apr. 2023, his odds improved from +123 to -130 – making him the odds-on favorite with an implied probability well over 50% – and they haven’t dipped back into plus-money since.

Arrested in Atlanta last Thursday on charges of trying to overturn the 2020 election results in the state of Georgia, Trump is doing his best to use his arrest – and subsequent mugshot – as a building block for his 2024 candidacy. Less than a day after the mugshot was released, Trump’s campaign had already posted a litany of themed merchandise to help raise funds.

Trump campaign is selling mugshot merchandise under the brand line of 'Never Surrender'. pic.twitter.com/WyV0vWKS91

— The Spectator Index (@spectatorindex) August 26, 2023

The second Republican Party primary debate is scheduled for Sep. 27 and will air on FOX. Trump has already stated on Twitter that he will not participate.

Trump (+225) narrowly trails incumbent Joe Biden (+160) in the odds to win the 2024 presidential election.

The post Updated Republican Nomination Odds: Trump’s Odds Fading, But Still Leads DeSantis, Ramaswamy appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Immediately after Joe Biden won the 2020 presidential election, a certain subset of international sportsbooks posted odds to win both the 2024 election and the nominations for both the Democratic and Republican parties.

The opening odds, particularly for the Democrats, were unlike anything ever seen in this relatively nascent betting market. The President-Elect, Biden, was a +700 longshot to be his party’s nominee in just four years’ time.

Three years later, the situations is starkly different, and now-80-year-old Biden is the presumptive nominee.

2024 Democratic Nomination Odds

The odds above come from DraftKings Sportsbook Ontario, with the exception of Marianne Williamson, who is not listed at DraftKings but is listed at Bet365 Ontario. The current landscape shows that Biden has become the presumptive nominee, at least as far as bettors are concerned.

The incumbent sits at -500 in the Democratic nominee odds as of late May. Names listed in bold have announced they are seeking the Democratic Party nomination for the 2024 presidential election.

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Biden’s Odds Steadily Improve

Biden has, for the most part, seen his odds consistently improve since November 2020. The opening odds, which positioned Vice-President Kamala Harris as a +250 favorite, didn’t even list Biden second. That honor went jointly to Michelle Obama and Stacey Abrams at +600, with Biden fourth at +700, narrowly ahead of Andrew Yang (+800), Pete Buttiegege (+900), and Beto O’Rourke (+1000).

Essentially, the early 2024 Democratic nominee odds predicted a wide-open race, with then-55-year-old VEEP Harris the tepid favorite.

While Biden’s polling numbers have been far from ideal in the interim, his odds show a steady trajectory. By December 2020, he had already improved to +375, only narrowly behind Harris, who had dropped to +300.

Early in 2021, Biden took over favorite status – albeit modestly at +238 – and he hasn’t looked back.  By the end of 2021, he was approaching even money. By the start of 2023, his odds carried an implied win probability well over 50%. Now in May, at -425 on average, his implied win probability is over 80% (80.95).

The major motivating factor for the recent movement came in April 2023, when Biden officially announced that he would be seeking re-election in the 2024 election.

Biden is also a modest favorite in the current 2024 presidential election odds, sitting at an average of +195 at the start of April and improving slightly after announcing his re-election bid.

No Other Viable Candidates for Democrats?

When Harris opened as the favorite, it had everything to do with the possibility that Biden – who will be 81 by election day – would not run again, for one reason or another. But POTUS has thwarted Father Time long enough to seek re-election, and the list of challengers is short and undistinguished.

His chief opponent as of May 2023 is conspiracy theorist and anti-vaxxer Robert Kennedy Jr, the son of former US attorney general Robert Francis Kennedy. Kennedy Jr, an environmental lawyer and author by trade, has never held public office and does not appear to possess the political savvy of so many Kennedys before him.

After announcing his candidacy for the Democratic nomination in April, RFK Jr opened at +800 to win.

The most-recent CNN poll showed that, among Democratic-leaning voters, 60% favored Biden, 20% Kennedy, and 8% Williamson, with another 8% effectively siding with anyone else.

Williamson, a self-help author often described as “Oprah’s spiritual advisor”, announced her bid for the 2024 Democratic nomination in February 2023. Williamson also sought the 2020 nomination but only qualified for the first two debates and abandoned her run in January 2020 after garnering little support.

The post Joe Biden’s Odds to Be 2024 Democratic Nominee Continue to Improve; Anti-Vaxxer Robert Kennedy Sits Distant Second appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

The more Donald Trump gets into trouble, the more his chances of making another run for the White House are improving.

The 45th President of the United States was recently found guilty of sexual assault and defamation against writer E. Jean Carroll and ordered to pay $5 million in damages. At the same time, his betting line to be the 2024 Republican Presidential nominee has shortened from -130 on April 2 to -215 today.

Meanwhile, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, thought to be a real challenger for the nomination, is being distanced by Trump. The odds of DeSantis winning the nomination lengthened from +193 to +250.

2024 Republican Presidential Nominee Odds

Odds as of May 30 at DraftKings Sportsbook Ontario.

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Trump Train Can’t Be Derailed

Even though his list of legal troubles are massive, it only seems to be emboldening Trump’s supporters to double down in their backing of him for the Republican Presidential nod. He’s already been convicted in the case involving Carroll. Trump will be the first former US President to face criminal charges. He was indicted in New York following an investigation into a $130,000 payment to former adult film star Stormy Daniels. He’s facing 34 counts of falsifying business records.

There are separate criminal and civil investigations ongoing to determine whether Trump’s company committed fraud. The US Department of Justice is looking into the removal of government documents from the White House. Trump took several documents, including a number that were classified as top secret, to his Mar A Lago Florida home.

Kayleigh was one of the only voices defending Trump on CNN when he ran in 16. I often disagreed with her, but she was prepared, relentless & unafraid of being heavily outnumbered. She then served Trump as chief spokesperson when he was president. She also likes DeSantis. Result: pic.twitter.com/ZwToHGOvpm

— Guy Benson (@guypbenson) May 31, 2023

There’s also a special counsel currently investigating Trump. A possibility exists that the could be charged under the Espionage Act for the removal of these top secret documents. It’s also not know whether Trump could be facing any legal issues over his role in the January 6, 2021 insurrection at the US Capitol Building.

Yet the support for Trump among the MAGA loyalists never wavers. He’s utilizing his Save America political action committee (PAC) to raise funds for his legal defense. Already, more than $1 million in donations has been collected.

Disastrous Debut for DeSantis

Once thought to be the likely 2024 Republican nominee, a persistent series of missteps, stumbles and downright foolhardy decisions have left the DeSantis campaign in a state of failure to launch.

Failure to Launch Crashed #DeSaster pic.twitter.com/DYDGkM3NNB

— David Wolf (@DavidWolf777) May 24, 2023

His official announcement of his candidacy took place last week on Twitter, with DeSantis accompanied by Twitter owner Elon Musk. There were Three Stooges shorts filmed with less chaos and mayhem than this event.

Technical glitches delayed the start for 25 minutes. The live stream later cut out. The hashtag #DeSaster was how Twitter users were describing the DeSantis launch. It was just another fumble for a campaign that can’t seem to get out of its own way.

Will Any Of It Matter?

Trump may indeed earn the Republican Presidential nod, and that could be the best thing to happen to the re-election bid of Democrat incumbent Joe Biden. Most polls have Biden again beating Trump in the 2024 US Presidential election.

Currently, Biden is the +195 favorite in the 2024 US Presidential election odds. Trump is at +275, while DeSantis is a distant +360.

Trump could join Thomas Dewey (1944, 1948) as the only Republican candidate to lose two Presidential elections.

The post Latest 2024 Republican Nomination Odds Strongly Favor Trump Over DeSantis, Haley appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Let go by Fox News on Monday, could Tucker Carlson be exchanging his seat behind a news desk for one in the Oval Office?

As of today, oddsmakers are of the opinion that there’s a much better chance of his happening.

Prior to Monday’s departure from Fox, the right-wing TV icon was seen as having a +10500 chance of winning the GOP Presidential nomination for 2024 and a +14000 chance of winning in the 2024 Presidential election odds.

Today, those betting lines have shortened. Carlson is now +6000 to earn the nod in the Republican Presidential nomination odds and +8000 to win the general election in November of 2024.

2024 US Presidential Election Odds

Odds as of April 24 at DraftKings Sportsbook Ontario.

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Fox Is Tuckered Out

Even though Fox was forced to reach an out-of-court settlement of $787.5 million last week with voting machine company Dominion, no one was forecasting Monday’s news that Carlson and the network would be parting company. He was, after all the #1 ratings bonanza for the network.

Multiple sources tell Mediaite Tucker Carlson’s departure from Fox News was not voluntary, “It was a firing”. Carlson was shocked by the news, “He was totally surprised. He had no idea”, and “was informed today”. pic.twitter.com/1UdiS43GqI

— Mike Sington (@MikeSington) April 24, 2023

Even though on-air falsehoods presented by Carlson and Fox co-hosts Sean Hannity and Laura Ingraham about Dominion’s voting machines were at the basis of the lawsuit, during depositions it was revealed that Fox knowingly purported these lies to drive ratings. Since Carlson was still driving ratings for the network, it didn’t seem likely he’d be made a scapegoat.

Carlson an Unlikely GOP Nominee

Could Carlson be a serious Presidential candidate? On the one hand, there’s certainly disruption afoot in the Republican ranks. Donald Trump is already indicted in New York, and is expected to be facing charges going forward in further states, perhaps even federally.

The campaigns of Ron DeSantis, Mike Pence and Nikki Haley are all flagging. Each of them has seen their odds to be the GOP nominee lengthen. Is there an opening for a dark-horse candidate to make a serious run at the Republican nod?

Perhaps, but it’s unlikely that Carlson is going to be that guy. Even with his improving numbers, Carlson remains the co-18th betting choice for President. He’s the 11th pick in the Republican nomination odds.

Among those with shorter odds than him are a pro wrestler-turned actor (Dwayne Johnson, +5000) and even Hillary Clinton (+6500). Carlson is sharing his +8000 betting line with such past Presidential candidate also rans as Amy Klobuchar, Tulsi Gabbard and Ted Cruz.

Will Tucker Board the Trump Train?

There’s hot speculation making the rounds at the moment that Carlson is in line to be Trump’s running mate for 2024. Considering the revelations during the Dominion discovery of how much Carlson can’t stand Trump, that might not seem plausible. Then again, he wouldn’t be the first Republican to swallow his pride and kiss Trump’s ring.

WOW – you won't believe what words have penetrated my ears.

I just had an intimate conversation with a top GOP confidant who told me, on the condition of anonymity, that Tucker Carlson is "deep" in talks to become President Trump's running mate.

This would be a brilliant…

— Nick Adams (Alpha Male) (@NickAdamsinUSA) April 24, 2023

The bottom line is that Carlson really doesn’t need to get into politics. He’ll certainly be offered another pundit gig by some organization, be it online or in podcast form. And he can make himself a fortune by going on a nationwide speaking tour and telling the right-wing echo chamber how he was canceled by the woke mob.

Heck, he can even lead that attack on Canada he’s been preaching to his followers in recent months. But run for the White House? No, Carlson won’t want any part of that. It’s way too much work.

The post Tucker Carlson’s 2024 Presidential Election Odds & GOP Nominee Odds Improve After Leaving Fox appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Not even an indictment can derail the Presidential aspirations of Donald Trump. The Donald once made a boast that he could shoot somebody in the middle of Fifth Avenue in New York City and it wouldn’t cost him any voters. Give the man credit, because it appears that in this case, he knows what he’s talking about.

Even though the former US President has been indicted in New York on campaign finance charges, Trump is still charging his way toward what appears to be a third straight nomination as the GOP candidate for the Presidency.

Across the leading online sportsbooks, Trump was the +123 favorite to win the nomination prior to those charges being laid. However, since the Grand Jury in New York put forth the indictment, the betting line on Trump to be the Presidential nominee for the Republican Party in 2024 Republican nominee odds has shortened to -130, making him the odds-on chalk to have a third go at winning the White House.

2024 US Presidential Election Odds

No Republican has ever won the party’s Presidential nomination in three successive election cycles. Grover Cleveland is the only President in US history to serve a term, suffer defeat in his reelection bid and then regain the White House four years later. Cleveland served as both the 22nd and 24th President of the United States.

At favorite’s odds of -130, Trump is offering an implied probability of victory of 56.52%. Wager $10 on Trump and if he wins the election, you’ll earn a payout of $17.70.

Odds as of April 3 at DraftKings Sportsbook Ontario.

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Trump Facing Tuesday Arraignment

Arraignment of Trump on the charges he’s facing will be taking place on Tuesday. He arrived in New York on Monday. While the indictment remains sealed, speculation is that the 45th US President will be looking at more than 30 charges.

I'm flipping stations and shaking my head. It's no wonder we can't recover from this Trump infection because the media continues to feed Trump's thirst to be everything everywhere all at once! On the plane, off the plane, in the car. Y'all know the actual @POTUS travelled today? pic.twitter.com/TToDv3FUHI

— Michael Steele (@MichaelSteele) April 3, 2023

Expectations are that the charges will be to do with campaign finance violations in relation to hush money payments Trump made ahead of the 2016 election to two women who claimed to have had affairs with Trump. The former President is denying that the affairs actually took place, or that he’s guilty of any wrongdoing.

Already the only sitting President to be impeached twice, Trump is also the first US president to ever be facing indictment for a crime.

The Donald’s Troubles Figure To Get Worse

Things could soon be growing much worse for Trump on the legal front. He might find himself facing at least three more indictments.

In Georgia, the Fulton Country DA is weighing separate political indictments on allegations that Trump attempted to alter the outcome of the 2020 Presidential election. Currently, Trump is sitting as the +275 second betting choice in the 2024 US Presidential election odds. Current President Joe Biden is the +190 chalk.

There’s a separate Justice Department investigation into the Georgia allegations. As well, special counsel Jack Smith is investigating Trump’s mishandling of classified national security documents, some of which were categorized as top secret.

A Fool And His Money Are Soon Parted

If there’s one trick that Tump has performed masterfully over the years, it’s separating fools from their hard-earned money.

A bet on Trump at this point would be peak foolishness. In simple terms, at -130 you’d be giving the sportsbook odds. With all the uncertainty surrounding Trump’s future, that’s just not a wise decision.

It’s entirely possible Trump will find himself simultaneously on the stand at trail and on the political stump campaigning. It isn’t going to be a good look and even as far as the GOP has fallen, it’s difficult to imagine it’s going to one they’ll want associated with their party.

Don’t bet on Trump. Save your money.

The post Donald Trump’s 2024 Republican Nominee Odds Actually Improving Amid Indictment appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

It could be debated with merit that Nikki Haley is the Presidential nominee that the Republican Party needs. The question, though is whether she is the nominee that the Republican Party wants.

The former South Carolina Governor and UN Ambassador officially announced her candidacy for the 2024 Republican Presidential nomination on Wednesday. She’s the second Republican to officially declare. The first was former President Donald Trump.

Haley was at odds of +2800 to be the Republican nominee prior to her declaration. Since she made it official, her line in this betting market has shortened. She’s now +2000 in the 2024 US Presidential odds. Online sportsbooks are reporting more than 60% of the action in this betting market over the past 24 hours has been on Haley.

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Odds as of February 15 at DraftKings Sportsbook Ontario.

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Americans cannot bet on US politics markets. European books have been offering odds on the 2024 US Presidential election since the 2020 race reached a conclusion. Odds are also available to Ontario sports bettors. It’s the first place where North American sportsbooks are offering betting lines on the 2024 US Presidential election.

Haley remains the co-fifth betting choice along with Democrat and California Governor Gavin Newsom. She’s the third pick in the Republican nomination odds at +1000.

Don’t Underestimate Haley As Candidate

In her political career, Haley is undefeated. She’s never lost in a run for office. At the age of 51, Haley is selling herself as the future of the Republican Party. Certainly, her platform is to move away from divisive rhetoric. While popular with much of the Republican Party’s base, it doesn’t resonate at all with those who aren’t hard-core MAGA types.

While not saying his name, it was abundantly clear in the announcement of his candidacy that Haley is selling herself as the anti-Trump. That could prove a strong selling point moving forward. Evidence is suggesting that Trump’s star is fading. He was the +200 chalk to win the 2024 Presidential election in November. Today. Trump is sitting third overall in this betting market at +350.

I have a particular message for my fellow Republicans: We’ve lost the popular vote in seven of the last eight presidential elections.

Our cause is right—but we have failed to win the confidence of a majority of Americans.

Well—that ends today.

If you’re tired of losing,…

— Nikki Haley (@NikkiHaley) February 15, 2023

Haley was ultimately a Trump supporter once he won the Republican nomination in 2016. However, Haley’s track record isn’t anything like Trump or Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. The latter is anticipated to be the other strong 2024 Republican Presidential candidate.

While both of them wade deeply into the perceived culture war that’s such a popular talking point with many Republicans and right-wing pundits, Haley often goes the other way. In fact, as Governor of South Carolina in 2015, she successfully led the charge to remove the Confederate Flag from the state capitol. In the past, she’s even cited Hillary Clinton as someone who inspired her to enter politics.

Is She Too Far Removed From Republican Base To Be Successful?

Certainly, Haley offers the potential to resonate with fence sitters and moderate Democrats. But is she drifting too far from the Republican base to ultimate succeed in this run for the Presidency?

Although critical of Trump’s false accusations of the 2020 election being rigged, Haley also insisted later that she wouldn’t run for the Presidency against Trump. Clearly, she’s viewing his perch as vulnernable, or she wouldn’t be making this announcement. Politicians, after all, are nothing if not opportunists.

.@NikkiHaley's announcement speech is nothing but tired, recycled cliches, masquerading her MAGA light agenda.
Zero charisma.
Zero originality.
Heavy on the faux "folksy" act.
Who does this actually appeal to?
Certainly not the GOP base.
Bless her heart.

— Tara Setmayer (@TaraSetmayer) February 15, 2023

Haley’s biggest problem could be that she doesn’t poll well with hard-core Republicans. She doesn’t have a current political position to use as a pulpit and isn’t awash in cash like the Trump and DeSantis camps are.

Suppose Trump and DeSantis get into an ugly tong war while campaigning. The Republican leadership may decide that they can’t win the big race with either of them. That’s when Haley might have a chance to slip in under the radar.

She could be viewed as a breath of fresh air. After all, this is a party whose message is quickly growing tiresome and stale with the masses. But it’s a long shot at best. It will truly be an uphill battle for her to win the nomination.

The post Nikki Haley’s Odds to Win 2024 Election Improve to +2000 After Announcement She’s Running for President appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Is Donald Trump going to be a candidate in the 2024 US Presidential election? That answer isn’t yet known. However, should the 45th President of the United States decided to throw hit hat in the win for 2024, oddsmakers are really liking Trump’s chances of moving back into the White House.

Even though all of the results from the US midterm elections aren’t official, what is known is that Trump’s betting line to be the next President grew shorter.

Bettors can now access +200 favorite’s betting line on Trump in the 2024 US Presidential election odds. As for his chances of winning the Republican Party’s nomination in the next run for President, that betting line is holding steady at -110.

2024 US Presidential Election Odds

Odds as of November 9 at DraftKings Sportsbook Ontario.

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Americans cannot bet on US politics markets. European books have been offering odds on the 2024 US Presidential election since the 2020 race reached a conclusion. Odds are also available to Ontario sports bettors. It’s the first place where North American sportsbooks are offering betting lines on the 2024 US Presidential election.

Trump Channeling Grover Cleveland?

Democrats have won three of the past four US Presidential elections. The last Democrat incumbent to be defeated was Jimmy Carter in 1980. Grover Cleveland is the only President in US history to serve a term, suffer defeat in his reelection bid and then regain the White House four years later. Cleveland served as both the 22nd and 24th President of the United States.

At favorite’s odds of +200, Trump is offering an implied probability of victory of 33.30%. Wager $10 on Trump and if he wins the election, you’ll win a payout of $30.

Trump Will Be Making Intentions Known Soon

The midterms so far aren’t moving the needle in the Republican nominee odds in favor of Trump. Oh, he’s still the chalk in this betting market. However, he was at -110 entering election night and was still at -110 come the morning.

All these wishful Republican power brokers and Republican thinkers & talkers don’t get it: Trump won’t allow the Republican Party to move on from him.

— Joe Walsh (@WalshFreedom) November 9, 2022

Lately, Trump is dropping strong hints that he will making a determination later this month on whether he’ll be running for the Oval Office in 2024. He’s telling people to mark Nov. 15 on their calendars as the day of a big announcement.

Prominent Trump advisors have been floating trial balloons suggesting Trump will be running, perhaps with intentions to gauge what the reaction will be from the Republican leadership.

Do Republicans Want Trump?

The real issue might not be whether or not Trump wants to run. It could be that the party hierarchy would much prefer that he’d just go away.

With Trump in the White House, the Republicans steadily lost ground in the House and Senate, and ultimately also lost the Presidency. In 2020, he was the first President to lose the Presidency, House and Senate in the same election since Republican Herbert Hoover in 1932.

The Republicans are making gains in these midterm elections, the first without Trump in an official position within the party, but nowhere near the increase in seats they were anticipating. Indeed, several Trump-backed Republicans were going down to defeat in Tuesday’s elections.

We need a Republican overhaul. Trump pushed a bunch of candidates that SUCK and everyone knew it but we have no choice but to go along. We had everything on our side and missed the mark. DeSantis is the new head of the party, not a 76 year old man.

— Caleb Hull (@CalebJHull) November 9, 2022

There’s certainly a groundswell of support within the party ranks that would much prefer to see Florida Governor Ron DeSantis as the 2024 Republican nominee.  Trump seems to be recognizing this threat.

He’s already going scorched earth policy on DeSantis, handing him the nickname Ron DeSanctimonious. However, the attack by Trump on DeSantis was not well received behind the scenes among the Republican leadership.

The post Trump’s 2024 Presidential Election Odds Improve to +200 After Midterm Elections appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.