UFC Paris Odds, Predictions & Props: Moicano vs Saint Dennis, Imavov vs Allen

• UFC Paris takes place this Saturday, September 28, at the Accor Arena in Paris, France
• Lightweight contenders Renato Moicano and Benoit Saint Dennis clash in the main event
• Read below for UFC Paris odds, predictions, and props for the main card

The UFC heads to the City of Light this Saturday, September 28 for a stacked Fight Night card. UFC Paris goes down at the Accor Arena, with the prelims kicking off at 12 p.m. ET before the main card starts at 3 p.m. ET. You can catch all the action streaming live on ESPN+.

In the main event, we’ve got a good one at 155 pounds. No. 11 ranked Renato Moicano takes on No. 12 Benoit Saint Dennis in a lightweight clash. Both guys have a knack for putting dudes away, so don’t blink.

Here is a look at the UFC Paris odds, along with our betting picks, predictions and props.

How to Watch UFC Paris

• What: UFC Paris: Moicano vs. Saint Dennis
• When: Saturday, September 28, 2024
• Where: Accor Arena in Paris, France
• TV: ESPN+
• Start Times: 12 p.m. ET (Prelims) | 3 p.m. ET (Main Card)

UFC Paris Odds

The main event between Renato Moicano (+230) and Benoit Saint-Denis (-285) is expected to end inside the distance, with the Under 2.5 rounds heavily favored at -210.

In the co-main event, Nassourdine Imavov is a -205 favorite over Brendan Allen (+170). The Over 2.5 rounds is slightly favored at -145.

Other notable fights include Joanderson Brito (-340) as a sizable favorite over William Gomis (+270), Bryan Battle (-166) favored over Kevin Jousset (+140), and Morgan Charriere (-700) as a huge favorite against Gabriel Miranda (+500).

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UFC Fight Night odds as of Sept. 27, at DraftKings Sportsbook. If you’ve already registered at DK, check out ESPN Bet for a UFC Fight Night promo. 

Moicano vs Saint Dennis Odds & Prediction

This main event has Fight of the Night potential written all over it. In one corner, you have Brazilian jiu-jitsu ace Renato Moicano. I’m not surprised to see him as the -290 favorite.

Moicano, boasts ten submission victories, including a recent win over Jalin Turner. He remains a constant ground threat, and a win here would propel him into the top 10.

But he faces a stiff test in French powerhouse Benoit Saint Dennis. “God of War” is riding a five-fight win streak, all by stoppage. With the fight taking place in Paris, Saint Dennis gets to showcase his skills in front of a hometown crowd.

The Frenchman is the definition of a physical force. He packs serious power in his strikes and has the grappling skills to neutralize Moicano’s submissions. If Dennis can defend the takedowns and let his hands go, it could be a short night.

I’m siding with the hometown guy here. His size, strength, and the added motivation of fighting at home give him the edge. Look for Benoit Saint Dennis to score a TKO victory in an absolute war.

• Pick: Benoit Saint Dennis by KO/TKO (+120)

Imavov vs Allen Odds & Prediction

The co-main event is a true toss-up at middleweight between No. 4 ranked Nassourdine Imavov and No. 8 Brendan Allen.

Imavov is a lethal striker with excellent takedown defense. He’s coming off a controversial win over Jared Cannonier and is looking to solidify his place at the top of the division.

But Allen is no pushover. This guy has won seven in a row, with four of those coming by way of his signature rear-naked choke. His grappling could be the great equalizer here.

This fight likely comes down to where it takes place. If Allen can drag Imavov into his world and make it a grappling match, the upset is there for the taking. He’s a live dog at +170.

But Imavov’s defensive wrestling and striking advantage can’t be overlooked. I think he keeps it standing and outpoints Allen to take a close decision. It won’t be easy, but Imavov should get his hand raised.

• Pick: Nassourdine Imavov by decision (+123)

Gomis vs Brito Odds & Prediction

Rising French featherweight William Gomis gets a tough test in Brazilian finisher Joanderson Brito. The UFC Paris odds price the Brazilian as a notable underdog, and I can’t argue it.

Gomis is a perfect 3-0 in the UFC with some sharp striking skills. But he’s never faced anyone with Brito’s power. This dude has finished his last five, all in the first two rounds.

Tomorrow ought to be… Interesting…

🇫🇷 @WilliamGomisMMA vs Joanderson Brito

[ #UFCParis LIVE on @ESPNPlus | SAT | 3pmET/12pmPT ] pic.twitter.com/0EI0AQIsuo

— UFC (@ufc) September 27, 2024

It’s a classic striker vs. brawler matchup here. Gomis has the technique to potshot Brito from the outside and rack up points. But Brito only needs one clean look to end the night.

Brito’s relentless pressure and fight-ending power will be too much. Once he closes the distance and unloads, it’s lights out. Give me Joanderson Brito by 2nd round knockout.

• Pick: Joanderson Brito by KO/TKO (+330)

Other UFC Paris Best Bets

Fares Ziam vs. Matt Frevola:

Battle of lightweights as technical striker Ziam meets gritty grappler Frevola. Frevola’s wrestling could steal rounds in a dog fight. The pick is Frevola via decision at +110.

Oumar Sy vs. Da Woon Jung:

Undefeated light heavyweight prospect Sy should destroy Jung. At 6’5″ with an 83″ reach, look for him to demolish the shopworn Jung early. The pick is Sy via submission in round 1 at -550.

Nora Cornolle vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti:

Cornolle has the home crowd on her side against short-notice replacement Cavalcanti. Riding an 8-fight win streak with 6 KOs, the pick is Cornolle at +180 in an upset.