NFL Player Props Week 11 – Sunday’s Best Prop Bets (Nov. 17)

• We’re getting way too many bangers for NFL Week 11 on November 17th
• My favorite way to get in on the action is by betting NFL player props
• Getting bets in on Friday is a great strategy, and it’s no different for this week

We made it back to Friday and I couldn’t be happier. I’m so glad we did! For those of you who don’t know, Fridays are by far the best day to bet NFL player props. The books start sprinkling them out around Thursday but no one seems to remember to bet them until Friday. Probably because of the Thursday night game but who really knows? All we really know is, getting down on Friday feels right.

This week I feel like we should go back to a market that we know we can dominate. Like dominate, dominate. The last two Friday releases have been tough so we need to go back to our roots. Lucky for us, we’ve got the Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday. Then after they’re done, we’re going to see the Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills. Both of these games feature moves in a market we know we can trust. It’s going to be glorious.

This could easily be the greatest Sunday of our entire lives.

Week 11 NFL Player Props and Odds

Odds as of November 15 at Caesars & FanDuel. Check out the best NFL betting apps for player prop wagering. 

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Russell Wilson Drops Bombs

I don’t know what happened to Russell Wilson but something happened. He looks nothing like the guy we saw in Denver. Nothing at all. It could be because he didn’t have the talent around him or the coaching staff. Who really knows? But one thing we do know is that he has dawgs on his side in Pittsburgh.

On top of that, it appears that Russ also has the Lord on his side. It’s hard to diminish that kind of advantage.

For HIS glory! @Steelers

The heart of man plans his way, but the Lord establishes his steps.
Proverbs 16:9 pic.twitter.com/3AKuX1podL

— Russell Wilson (@DangeRussWilson) November 13, 2024

Russell Wilson has started three games for the Steelers this season and he’s thrown for at least two touchdowns in two of them. In the other game, he only threw one but it wasn’t his fault. That game was against the New York Giants and there was no need for Russ to show out. Plus a guy ran back a punt which stole a possession from Russ. He could have easily thrown a TD on that drive.

This week, the Steelers will need all of the touchdowns they can get because they’re hosting the Baltimore Ravens. But here’s the thing, you can’t just run for touchdowns against the Ravens. They’ve only given up five rushing touchdowns all season. That shouldn’t discourage us though.

While they’ve been good at stopping the run, they’ve been equally bad at stopping the pass. Like really bad. Like worst in the NFL. We’re talking 21 passing touchdowns against them bad. So when Russ gets the Steelers near the goal line, we’re looking at a passing TD not a rushing TD. All we need is two.

Sports betting is so easy sometimes.

• The Pick: Russell Wilson 2+ Passing TDs (+109) – Caesars

Josh Allen Also Drops Bombs

The best game Sunday is the Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills. It legit doesn’t get better than that. We’ve got an undefeated team that is an underdog. I for one, have to see how that plays out.

And while everyone seems to be scratching their heads about the point spread, it actually makes sense when you look at the quarterback matchup.

Patrick Mahomes vs. Josh Allen ahead of their Week 11 match-up 🔥 pic.twitter.com/vUHFYDR5hi

— FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) November 13, 2024

Here’s the thing with this game, we don’t care about the spread. We’re player prop people. But it is nice to know that the linemakers respect the great Josh Allen. As they should.

Do you know what I like about this one? It’s the exact same situation we have with our Russell Wilson bet. We’ve got a quarterback that likes to get loose against a defense that won’t allow teams to run the ball into the end zone. In fact, the Chiefs are even better at keeping guys out than Baltimore since they’ve only given up three rushing touchdowns.

Push is going to come to shove on Sunday and Buffalo is going to score. I doubt it’s on the ground so by process of elimination, it’s going to be Josh Allen throws. Just like Russ, we only need two out of this stud. He could easily do that in the first half. Maybe even in the first quarter.

Feels right.

• The Pick: Josh Allen 2+ Passing TDs (+108) – FanDuel
• 2024 SBD Friday Release Results – 9-11 (+2.28 Units)