We’ve got one more shot at greatness in Week 14 and dammit, I’m taking it. Especially since we’re talking about the Cincinnati Bengals vs Dallas Cowboys. Good/decent offenses taking on bad defenses. It’s the gold standard in player prop betting. All we have to do is find the matchup we like and bam, we’re all getting Juan Soto money. Lucky for us, I’ve already done the mental simulations on this thing. What I found was shocking. We’re looking at two bets with a combined chance of losing hovering around 0.0%. We’re on the verge of greatness here people. Feels good.

Bengals vs Cowboys Player Prop Picks

Both of today’s props focus on Cowboys going over their totals at plus-money, starting with tight end Jake Ferguson, who’s returning from injury, and ending with QB Cooper Rush.

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Jake Ferguson Is Back

It’s been a tough couple weeks for Jake Ferguson. Our guy suffered a concussion against the Houston Texans on November 18th and hasn’t played since. Lucky for us, he has been cleared by doctors to give it a go against the Cincinnati Bengals tonight.

I’m sure Jake is also happy to have this thing behind him. Concussions are not a joke.

Jake Ferguson said the concussion he suffered had him so chemically imbalanced that he woke up one night and burst into tears because he couldn’t find his phone.

“I hadn’t cried like that since my dog died in middle school. I stopped like, ‘wth is wrong with me’?’”

The…

— Patrik [No C] Walker (@VoiceOfTheStar) December 6, 2024

People don’t realize how good Jake Ferguson has been this season. Dude has really only played eight games yet he has caught 43 passes. It’s obviously a lost season for the Dallas Cowboys given their record and injury situation but Jake has been a bright spot. He’s like a discount Rob Gronkowski.

Tonight the Cowboys will see Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals which should be fun. For us, not the Cowboys. My guess is Dallas will have no shot of stopping the Bengals’ offense so they’ll be put in spots where they have to throw the ball more than they’d like to keep up. That’s where Jake comes in.

On the season, only six teams in the entire NFL have given up more receiving yards to the tight end position. Every single one of those teams has played more games than the Bengals. By the end of tonight, after Jake baptizes these guys, the Bengals will be a bottom-three team at defending the tight end position. Feels right.

• The Pick: Jake Ferguson 40+ Receiving Yards (+105) at DraftKings

Cooper Rush Might Not Stink

Everyone is saying “Cooper Rush stinks” and I’m here to tell you, I don’t he think he does. He’s the kid who went down 49-14 in the 2014 Bahamas Bowl to Western Kentucky. Instead of just giving up, he brought his team all the way back and was a two-point conversion away from winning that game. The guy is a winner.

I mean, just look at the balls he throwing these days. Kid has moxie. Can’t teach moxie.

Cooper Rush during the Cowboys two-game win streak:

442 yards
3 TD
0 INT

Cowboys vs. Bengals tonight on NFL Game Pass on DAZNpic.twitter.com/7Z5mwgRFrh

— NFL on DAZN (@NFLonDAZN) December 9, 2024

Cooper has only been starting for three games and has had mixed results. I know the haters are going to say that his yardage total has gone down every game since taking over for Dak Prescott but as usual, the haters have no idea what they’re talking about. Silly haters.

For starters, he went 350+ against the Houston Texans. That’s impressive. Guys who stink don’t do that. They just don’t. Then the next week he threw two touchdown passes against the Washington Commanders. After that, he had a dud against the New York Giants on Thanksgiving Day but in his defense, it looked like the Cowboys thought they could just run the ball all day against New York. It worked.

Tonight, the Cowboys will likely have to keep pace with one of the NFL’s best offenses in the Cincinnati Bengals. Lucky for us, teams have been able to do that so far this season and it’s mostly been through the air. In fact, each of the last three quarterbacks that have matched up with the Bengals have thrown at least two touchdowns. I think Cooper Rush makes it four straight tonight. Feels right.

• The Pick: Cooper Rush Over 1.5 Passing TDs (+136) at FanDuel
• 2024 SBD MNF Results – 12-13 (+3.03 Units)

Also see: Bengals vs Cowboys Prediction

The post Cincinnati Bengals vs Dallas Cowboys Player Props – Best Prop Bets for MNF Week 14 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

The first thing I thought when I woke up today was Caesars Sportsbook. If we’re being honest, I’m not playing there enough these days. In my defense, it’s not always easy to spread the love as there are so many great books out there. We’ve all seen them. Still, it’s no excuse and I’m making good with Caesar himself as we speak. The funny part is, they’ve got great lines for the Los Angeles Chargers/Kansas City Chiefs matchup tonight. We’re talking the kind of lines you can’t get anywhere else. I was able to build a Guaranteed Parlay at plus-money that I wasn’t able to do anywhere else. We’re living the dream right now. Feels good.

Chargers vs Chiefs Same-Game Parlay Picks

All three legs of this Chargers/Chiefs SGP come add up to +107 odds.

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Time to Buy Low on Will Dissly

Some bettors like to make “banned” lists. What that means is, if they bet on a guy and he has a bad night, then that player is banned. I’m not saying it’s right, I’m just saying I don’t do it because at some point, we’ll run out of guys to bet on.

One thing we do know is, the fantasy community did NOT give up on Will Dissly after one bad game.

Fantasy Football Start em, Sit em: Jameis Winston, Gus Edwards, Will Dissly (2024) https://t.co/CU0ThRC24R

— FantasyPros (@FantasyProsNFL) December 7, 2024

Last week, I was all over Will “The Thrill” Dissly. The guy had a decent matchup in a game that I thought would see some passing volume. The passing volume did not materialize and our boy Will embarrassed himself, his friends, his family and the entire city of Los Angeles. It was bad. He didn’t even catch one pass.

Fast forward one week and I’m ready to give Will another shot. It takes a special man to do something like that but at the end of the day, it’s the right thing to do. Especially since the Kansas City Chiefs should score some points on the Chargers. We should be looking at a negative game script for Los Angeles.

When that happens, Will takes over. Why? Because the Kansas City Chiefs can’t stop the tight end position. On the season, no team has given up more receptions or receiving yards to the position. It’s become a thing. My guess is the Chargers force-feed Will and he goes for at least four receptions and 30 yards. Feels right.

Justin Herbert Can Sling It

Here’s the thing with Justin Herbert. Given the way the Los Angeles Chargers operate on offense, we really don’t know how good he is. It looks like Los Angeles wants to run the ball all the time so there are games where Herbert barely throws the ball. Last wee he only threw the rock 23 times.

One thing we know about Herbert is, he doesn’t throw picks.

Justin Herbert’s interception percentage of 0.29% is currently the best in NFL history.
Passing Aaron Rodgers in 2018 with an interception percentage of 0.33%. pic.twitter.com/cdQdcSqFdL

— ChargersMuse (@ChargersMuse) December 7, 2024

Our guy Justin is going to keep the Chargers in this game tonight. He doesn’t make a ton of mistakes and as we already know, he has Will Dissly working with him. When push comes to shove, Justin is going to get his.

I think push is going to come to shove tonight because the Chiefs are very good against the run. In fact, no team in the entire NFL has allowed fewer rushing yards to the running back position. That’s pretty good. So when the Chargers run into a brick wall, they’ll be forced to adjust and start throwing the ball.

We already know the tight ends eat versus the Chiefs but wide receivers can too. Kansas City is not the worst at allowing receptions to wideouts but they are far from the best. I’m thinking we throw Herbert’s 200+ passing yards into this parlay as well. It’s correlated so we get dinged on price but whatever. It’s fine.

• The SGP (+107): Justin Herbert 200+ Passing Yards (-320) + Will Dissly 4+ Receptions (-185) + Will Dissly 30+ Receiving Yards (-185)
• Wager: 1 Unit to win 1.07 Units
• 2024 SBD SNF SGP Results – 6-6 (+9.15 Units)

The post Chargers vs Chiefs Same-Game Parlay for Sunday Night Football (Week 14) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Do you people want some honesty? I hope so because I’m about to say the truest stuff of all time. I’ve been piss-poor all season long in College Football. Maybe worse than piss-poor. I know what you’re going to say, “but Slop, you’ve demolished every other sport you’ve written about for SBD. My kids have a future because of you.” That may be true, but it doesn’t change the fact that we’re down roughly four units on the season in College Football. We can’t have that.

I can’t say it any better than Crowded House in the smash hit, “Don’t Dream It’s Over”. “There’s a battle ahead, many battles are lost, but you’ll never see the end of the road, while you’re traveling with me. Hey now, hey now, don’t dream it’s over”. Now, that means a lot of things to a lot of people, but for me, it’s about gambling. And the fact that we have a battle ahead of us this Saturday. And if we play our cards right, we could turn this season into a profitable one. My plan is to find one banger from the Penn State/Oregon matchup and another banger from the Clemson/SMU game. Feels easy.

This could easily be the most important Saturday of our lives.

Championship Saturday College Football Odds

All odds as of Dec. 7 from ESPNBet & FanDuel. Claim the FanDuel promo code to sign up and tail our picks. 

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Drew Allar Is An Animal

We’re not looking for a good bet this weekend. We’re looking for the greatest bet of all time. Maybe better. Lucky for us, I may have uncovered such a bet. It involves the Penn State Nittany Lions and Oregon Ducks. But we’re skipping teams here and going straight to the players.

Not just any player, though, but Penn State quarterback Drew Allar. The guy could legit play in the NFL. It says so right in this tweet.

You do not know ball if you watch Drew Allar play and say that he is not an NFL QB. pic.twitter.com/rKEq1J6boA

— Zach Seyko (@zach_seyko) November 30, 2024

This could easily be the greatest bet we ever make. On anything. I’m literally going to drive to Connecticut to make this bet since we can’t bet College Football player props in Massachusetts. It’s that good.

The thing with Drew is that he could easily be a 300+ guy, but Penn State’s defense is just too good. Combine that with the fact that Penn State has only really seen high school offenses, and we have the perfect storm. We’re talking paradise here.

This Saturday, the Nittany Lions are taking on the Oregon Ducks, who are likely to hang some points. When that happens, our guy Drew is going to get loose. We saw this same situation with Will Howard when he went 325+ on the Ducks. It’s just one of those things. This is the easiest money we’ll ever make gambling.

(If you can’t do NCAAF Player Props, just take the Penn State Team Total Over 22.5. That’s hitting, too.)

The Pick: Drew Allar 225+ Passing Yards (+158) – FanDuel

Kevin Jennings Is A Man Amongst Boys

SMU has been a great story all season long. Now, all that fun is culminating into a trip to Charlotte to play for the ACC Championship on Saturday. Still, even with all he’s done, their quarterback, Kevin Jennings, is still not getting the respect he deserves. Not in my opinion, at least.

We’re talking about an undefeated quarterback here, people. Have some respect.

SMU is undefeated with kevin jennings as starter, got it?

— Peruna (@iheartsports5) December 3, 2024

Here’s the thing about our guy Kevin. The kid would have so many more passing yards if his defense wasn’t so good. Look it up. This SMU defense just shuts everyone down. Kevin is out there doing his thing, then all of the sudden, his coach makes him stop laying the pipe because they’re up so much. It happens almost every week, and it’s disgusting.

Now, many people would look at that as a negative, but not us. We’re smarter than that. We’ve just been waiting for the right opponent, and guess what? Our wait is over. Kevin is getting the Clemson Tigers, which is perfect for all of us Kevin-a-maniacs.

Clemson is just good enough on offense to push SMU for four quarters. That’s great for Kevin because his passing yards number is 250+ for even money. This kid has done that in seven of his last eight games. The only time he didn’t was last week when he went for 225 in three quarters. He’ll probably have this in the first half. Maybe sooner.

(If you can’t do NCAAF Player Props, just take the SMU Team Total Over 28.5. That’s hitting, too.)

• • The Pick: Kevin Jennings 250+ Passing Yards (+100) – FanDuel
  • 2024 NCAAF SBD Release Results – 9-15 (-4.62 Units)

The post College Football Picks Today: Best Bets for Conference Championships appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

The NFL player props for Week 14 are slowly being released which means it’s time to pounce. My favorite part about betting these on Fridays is, I’ll forget about them by Sunday. Then I’ll see them under my “open” wagers tab and it’ll feel like Christmas. There’s nothing like a banger that has been forgotten about. What’s even better is, the number and price we get on Friday is almost always so much better than what’s available on Sunday. On the streets, that’s called “closing line value” and it’s gold.

This Sunday we’re going to attack two matchup,s and they’re both on the early slate. The first one is the Atlanta Falcons/Minnesota Vikings game. Then at the same time, we’ll be sweating out the Las Vegas Raiders/Tampa Bay Buccaneers matchup. My guess is, both of these moves cash before halftime, giving us plenty of time to get our profits down on the late slate. That’s the plan, at least.

This could easily be the greatest Sunday of our entire lives.

Week 14 NFL Player Props and Odds

Odds as of December 6 at FanDuel & DraftKings. Check out the best NFL betting apps for player prop wagering. 

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Ray-Ray McCloud Will Get His

There are a lot of mouths to feed in Atlanta which makes it hard to bet any of their receiving options. That’s just the fact of the matter. We’re talking Drake London, Darnell Mooney, Kyle Pitts and Bijan Robinson, for christ’s sake. These guys are nasty.

The thing is, all that depth makes it easy for an absolute beast like Ray-Ray McCloud to fly under the radar.

Ray Ray McCloud dances down the sideline for 60 yards!

: #LACvsATL on CBS/Paramount+
: https://t.co/waVpO909ge pic.twitter.com/LAPgHaDMtY

— NFL (@NFL) December 1, 2024

I know what the haters are going to say, “Slop, Ray-Ray is like the fifth receiving option on a team that doesn’t throw much.” Just like always, the haters are only part right, and their lack of vision is what’s making them look bad here. Typical haters.

For starters, the Falcons should get forced into throwing the ball on Sunday. They’re in Minnesota taking on a team in the Vikings that stops the run better than almost anyone. We’re talking third-best in the NFL here, people. That fact alone makes them a pass funnel, which is a big reason they’ve allowed the third-most receiving yards to wide receivers this season. Translation, Atlanta should be forced to throw the rock more than they want to on Sunday.

On top of all that, McCloud has seen the third most targets on the team this season. When Captain Kirk drops back to throw, he’ll look for McCloud. I wish his ADOT was a little higher than 6.9, but he’s 25th best in yards after the catch. He doesn’t just catch the ball and go down. Ray-Ray will fight for us.

For that reason, I think it’s safe for us to go with 40+ receiving yards for +165 at FanDuel. Feels right.

• The Pick: Ray-Ray McCloud 40+ Receiving Yards (+165) – FanDuel

AOC Might Not Be That Bad

When we hear the letters “AOC”, we don’t think of football. Hell, we don’t even think of a dude. All that is behind us now because after last week, every time I hear the letters “AOC”, I think of Aidan O’Connell.

And after watching him over the last few games, I’m ready to say he might not be that bad.

Raiders QB Aidan O’Connell is back at it after one of his best career games in a loss to the Chiefs.

Solid zip on these passes from AOC.

: By @Sean_Zittel, Vegas Sports Today#RaiderNation pic.twitter.com/2eaqx9Zoz4

— Vegas Sports Today (@VegasSportsTD) December 4, 2024

Here’s the thing: we targeted the Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ pass defense last week with Bryce Young, and it worked out. The guy threw for almost 300 yards. If Bryce can do that, then anything is possible. We’ve all seen Bryce Young play football before.

This week, the Buccaneers will welcome the Las Vegas Raiders to town, which is perfect for us. We’ve got another “who the hell is that guy” playing quarterback against the Buccaneers, which means we’ve got a favorable line. We have to think about the over here. We owe it to ourselves and our families.

The thing with this “who the hell is that guy” is we know who he is. It’s Aidan O’Connell. We just watched him go for 340 yards on Black Friday. Sure, he blew the game at the end, but that just means he’ll be extra focused this week. I think 250+ yards at +158 is a steal.

For those who think I’m being a little soft with this move, feel free to go all the way up to 275+ at +320. Or even 300+ at +520. It’s all deadly.

• The Pick: Aidan O’Connell 250+ Passing Yards (+158) – FanDuel
• 2024 SBD Friday Release Results – 10-14 (+0.98 Units)

The post NFL Player Props Week 14 – Sunday’s Best NFL Prop Bets (Dec. 8) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

It’s Monday night so that means one thing; betting on Monday Night Football. It’s an activity as old as time. A right of passage really. I’ve been doing it myself since 1987. But none of that is important now. What’s important is that we find something we can be proud of in the Cleveland Browns/Denver Broncos matchup. Lucky for us, I’ve been thinking about this game all week. We’re talking mental simulation after mental simulation here people. Through it all, I’ve found two NFL player props where we can get as loose as we want. Keep reading.

Browns vs Broncos Player Prop Picks

Odds as of December 2 at FanDuel, Caesars, and ESPN. Claim the FanDuel promo code to bet on Monday Night Football in Week 13.

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Elijah Moore Catches Everything

Here’s the thing about wide receivers, we need them to catch the ball. I’m not going to name names, but last week we got burned by Quentin Johnston simply because he couldn’t catch. We can’t make that same mistake again this week. We have to go with a guy who can catch.

Lucky for us, Elijah Moore could catch a BB in the dark. I’ve seen him do it.

Beautiful footwork on this one from Elijah Moore

Moore Anytime TD +350

(via @NFL)pic.twitter.com/EHDiOoN8ia

— ESPN BET (@ESPNBET) November 17, 2024

I’ve been following this guy since college so I know he’s legit. He’s the kid who pretended to be a dog taking a piss in the Egg Bowl. The guy has spunk. Not just any spunk either, the exact type of spunk we need to cash a bet like this.

I’m not the only one who has noticed Elijah’s spunk either. Browns quarterback, Jameis Winston, has noticed it too. I four games with Jameis at the helm, Moore has been targeted 34 times. In the seven previous games, he’d only been looked to 30 times. That’s crazy.

Tonight should be a game where Moore sees at least 10 targets. The Browns are underdogs and the Broncos should stick Patrick Surtain II on Jerry Jeudy. Cedric Tillman is out with a concussion which is another reason we’ll see Moore lapping up targets. At the end of the day, all roads lead to an Elijah Moore legacy game. Feels right.

• The Pick: Elijah Moore 5+ Receptions (+128) at FanDuel

Courtland Sutton Is a Star

Here’s the everything I know about stars in the NFL. People are only considered stars when everyone already knows about them. That’s just basic stardom. First day stuff right there.

By my calculations, we only have another 12 hours or so before Courtland Sutton is a bonafide star.

Nix to Sutton x2! The @Broncos extend their lead in Vegas.

: #DENvsLV on CBS/Paramount+
: https://t.co/waVpO8ZBqG pic.twitter.com/tF3ZT9MdwT

— NFL (@NFL) November 24, 2024

In Courtland’s defense, people should already know about him. The man is an SMU legend who as also done work in the NFL since 2018. Still, it takes time and the right situation to break through to full fledge stardom in the NFL. Lucky for Sutton, his time is now.

The Denver Broncos have a new look and a new attitude with Sean Peyton running things. He went out and got quarterback, Bo Nix, in the draft last offseason and the whole thing is finally starting to work. It took some time, but no one can deny what the Sutton-Nix combo has been doing recently.

Over the last five games, Sutton has been targeted 48 times. Bo Nix loves him. In all five of those games, Sutton has eclipsed 70 receiving yards. It’s only natural that he has another 10+ target, 70+ receiving yard game against a team like the Cleveland Browns. We don’t make the rules, we just make the bets. Feels easy.

• The Pick: Courtland Sutton 70+ Receiving Yards (+116) at Caesars
• 2024 SBD MNF Results – 10-13 (+0.59 Units)

Also see:

• Browns vs Broncos Prediction

The post Cleveland Browns vs Denver Broncos Player Props – Best Prop Bets for MNF Week 13 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

The Sunday Night Football SGP is something that should always be done. I don’t know if it’s just me, but there’s nothing better than sitting down with an SGP slip in my pocket after a long day of gambling. It really hits the spot. And lucky for us, we’ve got a great one tonight. We’re talking the San Francisco 49ers vs Buffalo Bills here people. We literally have to bet this thing. And as fate would have it, I’ve got the perfect way to play it. Keep reading.

49ers vs Bills Same-Game Parlay Picks

All three legs of this 49ers/Bills SGP come add up to +168 odds.

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The Bills Will Run the Ball

When we think about the Buffalo Bills, we think Josh Allen and his laser, rocket arm. It’s hard not to. But here’s the thing, they like to run the ball. They’re in the top 10 in the NFL in rushing attempts per game for Christ’s sake. They’re going to run the ball.

And on Sunday night, they might not have a choice.

A look tonight at Buffalo, which is hosting the Sunday night game vs. the 49ers:

pic.twitter.com/gi4A0337gZ

— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) December 1, 2024

As far as the snow goes, it should stop by the time the game rolls around. We may be looking at scattered snow flurries but the heavy stuff should be done by the time this thing kicks off. Still, there will be a little wind so I’m calling this a weather game.

Lucky for us, no matter what kind of game this is, Josh Allen and James Cook should both run all over the San Francisco 49ers. Allen has gone for 25+ rushing yards in three of his last four games so that feels like a good number for him. It’s the time of the year where he calls his own number so we can just watch the magic with no worries.

As for Cook, he’s getting the 49ers at the right time. They are coming off of a game where they allowed Josh Jacobs to baptize them. The ran 26 times for 100+ yards. It’s not just Jacobs though, Kenneth Walker broke them off for 50+ rushing yards on just 14 attempts the week before. The week before that, Bucky Irving hit them for 70+ rushing yards.

I think we’re safe to throw James Cook 40+ rushing yards in this thing too. Feels right.

The 49ers Can Run The Ball Too

The Bills aren’t the only team in this game that like to run the ball. They do so 28+ times per game. That’s good for eighth most in the NFL this season.

When you have Christian McCaffrey, it makes sense. The guy has been doing it since he was a kid.

A young Christian McCaffrey juking out mascots pic.twitter.com/CTMhduXRoN

— Football’s Greatest Moments (@FBGreatMoments) November 30, 2024

The fantasy community hates this guy for the injury stuff he pulled at the beginning of the season. I don’t really blame them. He was legit the first-overall pick, and then all of the sudden he was on IR. That’s crap.

What’s worse is, since he’s been back, he hasn’t lived up the number one billing. He has only topped 50 rushing yards once which is not going to get it done. But before we write the guy off, we have to give him a chance against a generous defense. It’s only fair and we’re nothing if we’re not fair.

That opportunity will come Sunday Night against the Bills. On the season, only four teams in the entire NFL have allowed more yards per rush attempts to their enemies. My guess is, Christian gets loose against these guys Sunday night. Even if he doesn’t, he’ll still get us 50+. Feels easy.

• The SGP (+168): Josh Allen 25+ Rushing Yards (-265) + James Cook 40+ Rushing Yards (-370) + Christian McCaffrey 50+ Rushing Yards (-230)
• Wager: 1 Unit to win 1.68 Units
• 2024 SBD SNF SGP Results – 6-5 (+10.15 Units)

The post 49ers vs Bills Same-Game Parlay for Sunday Night Football (Week 13) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

We have to get loose on Saturday’s College Football slate. For starters, a lot of the teams have played already so we’re not looking at the biggest slate. That means we can really hone in on these matchups and figure out everything we need to figure out. That’s just how figuring stuff out works.

Lucky for us, I’ve already identified two matchups for us to get loose with. It all starts at 3:30 pm ET with the Arkansas Razorbacks/Missouri Tigers game. When they finish, we can switch the channel to the Texas Longhorns/Texas A&M Aggies game. Talk about a solid plan.

This could easily be the greatest Saturday of our lives.

College Football Odds

All odds as of Nov. 29 from ESPNBet & FanDuel. Claim the FanDuel promo code to sign up and tail our picks. 

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Luther Burden Might Score 30 By Himself

The Missouri Tigers aren’t that bad. Are they going to win the National Championship? No. Of course not. But they are the type of team that can hang 30+ points on just about anyone.

All they have to do is be motivated enough to do it. Being that this is likely Luthern Burden’s last game, I’d say they are going to be motivated.

LUTHER BURDEN pic.twitter.com/StWCAlq6Jq

— Unnecessary Roughness (@UnnecRoughness) November 23, 2024

Here’s the thing, College Football is about more than just one guy. Obviously. But in the case of Luther Burden, it’s crazy to not think he has a lot to do with outcomes. He’s playing his best football of the season at the moment too. We’re talking 15 receptions on 16 targets over the last two weeks.

That’s important because when Luther is being force-fed, the Missouri Tigers score points. In fact, in the last two games where Burden was targeted more than he has been all season, the Tigers hung 30+ both times. I’m thinking Burden is force-fed again in his last game as a Missouri Tiger. When that happens, Missouri is dropping a 30-burger. Feels right.

The Pick: Missouri Team Total Over 29.5 (+106) – FanDuel

Texas A&M Will Not Lay Down

It’s been over a decade since Texas and Texas A&M have played each other. It was a legit rivalry that just stopped once Texas A&M joined the SEC. But the tides have turned, Texas is now in the SEC, and the rivalry has been renewed. All is well in Texas again.

We’re talking about a big ass game here people.

Texas A&M vs Texas tickets are 20 times more expensive than the Cowboys vs Giants on Thanksgiving pic.twitter.com/d2kKnyGX4d

— Texas Football Life (@txfblife) November 20, 2024

Here’s the thing about this one, both teams will be ready. I get that Texas has one of the best run defenses in the country, but that could actually help Texas A&M. They may not even try to run the ball much. They know it won’t work.

The thing about the Aggies is, they’re averaging 8 yards per pass attempt over the last three games. Marcel Reed has gone for 208+ passing yards in all three games. Throw in the fact that Texas A&M has dropped at least 38 points in each of their last three home games and we have a move.

They’re definitely going to hang at least 23 points on the Texas Longhorns.

• • The Pick: Texas A&M Team Total Over 22.5 (+118) – FanDuel (With Boost)
  • 2024 NCAAF SBD Release Results – 9-13 (-2.62 Units)

The post College Football Picks Today: Best Bets for Nov. 30 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

We were on pace to shatter every sports betting record in the books just a few short weeks ago. Now, we’re struggling to breathe. That’s what sports betting is all about. That’s why we do it. Some people jump out of airplanes for this high. We don’t even have to get off of our couches. Shout to us for cracking the code.

With all that being said, it’s time to lock in and take what’s rightfully ours from the books. It’s the only way. Lucky for us, we’ve got two of the most exploitable matchups I’ve ever seen in my life this Sunday. The first one is in the early slate and it’s the Pittsburgh Steelers/Cincinnati Bengals game. Then once they’re finished, we’ll turn our attention to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers/Carolina Panthers matchup.

This could easily be the greatest Sunday of our entire lives.

Week 13 NFL Player Props and Odds

Odds as of November 29 at FanDuel & DraftKings. Check out the best NFL betting apps for player prop wagering. 

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Darnell Washington Is a Beast

When I used to play video games, I’d always do the “create a player” option. It was the best thing in the world. What made it the most fun was the fact that we were free to create 6’7″ tall, 300+ pound guys that could run like the wind. It was total domination.

Now years later, we get to bet on guys that look like some kid made them on Madden.

DARNELL. WASHINGTON.

The @GeorgiaFootball TE is 6’6″, 264 pounds and clocked a 4.65u.

: #NFLCombine on @nflnetwork
: Stream on NFL+ pic.twitter.com/fIlcB2WFf6

— NFL (@NFL) March 4, 2023

Here’s the thing, this is Darnell Washington’s second year in the league but this is the first time he’s actually being used as a receiving option thanks to Russell Wilson. Look it up. The guy was only targeted 10 times last season. That’s brutal.

With his new friend Russell, Darnell has looked like a “create a player” from Madden. The beast has been targeted 15 times in just five games including 10 over the last three outings. Russell loves Darnell and it’s hard to blame him. There’s a lot to love.

This week, the Steelers will need all the help they can get in the pass game since they’re visiting the Cincinnati Bengals. The Bengals are sure to hang points so the Steelers can’t just sit on the ball. Luckily, only five teams in the entire NFL have given up more receptions to the tight end position this season than the Bengals.

When the Steelers need to play “catch up”, Darnell is highly likely to be involved. In fact, I feel kind of weak for not going 4+ Receptions at +400. Feels right.

• The Pick: Darnell Washington 3+ Receptions (+188) – FanDuel

Bryce Young Might Not Be That Bad

I’ll be the first person to say that I thought Bryce Young stunk. It’s not my fault though. I watched him play last season and he was terrible. Like not good at all. What the hell were we supposed think?

But after watching him over the last few games, I’m ready to say he might not be that bad.

Bryce Young among QBs over his past three games:

84.5 PFF grade (4th)
7 Big Time Throws (T-3rd) pic.twitter.com/GnbWILlLq9

— PFF CAR Panthers (@PFF_Panthers) November 26, 2024

Here’s the thing, much of this all comes down to matchups. That’s just a little reality. Whether or not a guy throws for a ton of yards generally depends on the defense in front of him and the game script. We can all agree on that.

Since that’s the case, I think we can unleash Bryce this week. His matchup is fantastic. First of all, we can expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to score on the Carolina Panthers. Why does that matter? Because that’s going to put Bryce in a situation where he has to throw the ball. On top of that, Tampa’s run defense isn’t that bad. The Panthers might already have plans to unleash the Bryce.

When the Bryce is unleashed, he should have success. He’ll be facing a Tampa defense that has allowed more passing yards to the quarterback position than every other team in the NFL except for two. They just gave up almost 200 to Tommy Devito last week. Case closed.

We have to do this. We could even go 250+ at +340 if we really wanted to stick it to the books.

• The Pick: Bryce Young 225+ Passing Yards (+170) – DraftKings
• 2024 SBD Friday Release Results – 9-13 (+0.28 Units)

The post NFL Player Props Week 13 – Sunday’s Best NFL Prop Bets (Dec. 1) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

It’s Monday so that means it’s Monday Night Football time. Honestly, I can’t think of a better thing to do on Monday night than bet on Monday Night Football. I’ve been doing it since birth and the habit has served me well. One reason is because we generally get good games on Monday night. That’s just how the NFL rolls and tonight is no different. We’re talking the Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Chargers. There are a million ways to attack this game and I’ve narrowed that million down to two moves that have no chance of losing. Feels good.

Ravens vs Chargers Player Prop Picks

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Ladd Mcconkey Is For Real

We always knew Ladd Mcconkey was special. If you ever saw him play at Georgia, you knew that he was going to be an NFL stud at some point. He literally has every attribute an NFL receiver could possibly have. Hands, feet, speed, etc.

On top of that, he went to the Chargers and he’s caught the eye of Justin Herbert.

Ladd McConkey has 7+ targets in 5 of his last 7 games, Justin Herbert is cooking right now and the Ravens have allowed more fantasy points to opposing WR than any other defense in the NFL.

Monday Night McConkey pic.twitter.com/3Hn3CPKhVQ

— Field Yates (@FieldYates) November 23, 2024

The fantasy community is all over Ladd tonight as they should be. Over the last four games, he’s caught at least five balls in three of them. The kid is being asked to produce and he’s stepping up big time.

The only thing that has really stopped Mcconkey this season is game script. The Chargers have the horses on defense and offense to keep the ball on the ground. They seem to be content with running the ball and playing the possession game. That might not be the case tonight.

For starters, the Baltimore Ravens should be able to hang points on the Chargers defense. When that happens, quarterback, Justin Herbert, will have to throw the ball. Lucky for him, he’ll be working against the defense that has given up the most passing yards to quarterbacks this season. We are very likely to get a scenario where Ladd Mcconkey is needed for a 10-100+ line.

I think I speak for all of us when I say “I’m here for it”.

• The Pick: Ladd Mcconkey 90+ Receiving Yards (+220) at FanDuel

Will Dissly Is Back For More This Week

Another face in the Chargers receiving room crowd is Will Dissly. People forget about him because he’s a tight end. Not only is he a tight end, but he’s also one that was barely used in his first six years in the league.

That’s all behind him now because he’s being used now and everyone seems to be noticing.

Anyone pick up and start Will Dissly this week?!pic.twitter.com/Nj4mRA70VJ

— Yahoo Fantasy Sports (@YahooFantasy) November 18, 2024

During his time with the Seattle Seahawks, Dissly was never targeted more than 38 times in a season. Through 10 games with the Chargers, he’s already been looked to 48 times. People simply can’t hold a good man down.

Over the last five weeks, his usage has been turned all the way up. The highest it can go. We’re talking at least six targets in four of his last five outings. All this guy needs is the right game script and he’ll turn up.

As we already talked about, that game script is what we’re looking at tonight. And as bad as the Ravens are against the wide receiver position, they are just as vulnerable against tight ends. We’re talking second worst in the entire NFL in terms of receiving yards per game to the tight end position. Dissly could cover on the first drive.

• The Pick: Will Dissly 50+ Receiving Yards (+144) at FanDuel
• 2024 SBD MNF Results – 10-11 (+2.59 Units)

Also see:

• Ravens vs Chargers Predictions

The post Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Chargers Player Props – Best Prop Bets for MNF Week 12 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Week 12 in the NFL is g0ing to be a special one. I can feel it. But here’s the thing. There is a way this could take a turn to negative town. What if, and this is a big if, we forgot to get a bet in the on the Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams game? I’ve seen that happen to people before. They’re hanging out eating and drinking with their friends all day watching the early games, and then they just forget to get a bet in for Sunday Night Football. That would be a tragedy and we’re not going down that road. Lucky for us, I’ve already done close to 2,500 mental simulations on this game. There are three bets we can go ahead and parlay right now. There is no way we’ll forget to bet on this game if we bet on it right now. Feels like the move.

Eagles vs Rams Same-Game Parlay Picks

All three legs of this Eagles/Rams SGP come add up to +166 odds using FanDuel’s 15% parlay profit boost.

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AJ Brown Legacy Game Is Coming

People forget about AJ Brown. I don’t know how but they do. I get the fact that he is in a crowded offense but he’s still AJ Brown. The man is capable of video game numbers. All he needs is the right situation and he could go nuclear.

Don’t tell anyone, but the right situation could come as early as tonight.

Eagles WR DeVonta Smith (hamstring) out for Week 12 vs. Rams pic.twitter.com/5y5Ib6TMAt

— NFL (@NFL) November 22, 2024

One man’s injury is another man’s opportunity and that’s exactly what we have happening tonight. With DeVonta Smith missing, there is a huge void in the Eagles receiving game. I know he doesn’t have eye-popping numbers this season but the Eagles’ target tree is pretty small. It’s more like a target branch. Anyone missing is a big deal.

Even if Brown only sees one or two extra targets, that is huge for us Brown backers. Opponents matter in the NFL and the Eagles are looking at a fun one Sunday night. On the season, only two teams in the entire NFL have allowed more yards per attempt than the Los Angeles Rams. We’re talking 7.5 yards every time the opposing quarterback throws the ball. That’s terrible.

Given the nature of the type of receiver AJ Brown is, as well as the extra target or two he’ll see in this thing, it’s hard to imagine he doesn’t finish with at least 60 receiving yards. I’d be shocked if he didn’t go over this number in the first half. Maybe even in the first quarter.

The Rams Have Legit Receivers Too

Here’s what makes the NFL fun. Every team seems to have multiple superstars. For every AJ Brown, there is another receiver on another team that might not be exactly the same, but they’re still nasty.

In the case of the Los Angeles Rams, they have two guys that fit the “nasty” description.

Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp against the Patriots:

13 receptions
229 yards
3 touchdowns
53.9 PPR points pic.twitter.com/iKvmJtkRwE

— PFF Fantasy & Betting (@PFF_Fantasy) November 17, 2024

Taking two receivers on the same team to go over a yardage total feels dumb. Like why would we do that? But the beauty of this move is, Rams Quarterback, Matthew Stafford, only seems to have eyes for Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua. Stafford only threw the ball 27 times last week and 19 of those targets went to Kupp and Nacua. That’s wild.

What I think happens tonight is the Eagles play with a lead. When that happens, the Rams will be forced to move the ball through the air in the second half. I know the Eagles have been good against the receiver position all season long, but we’re talking Kupp and Nacua here. These guys aren’t just any receivers.

The good thing is, I don’t even think we need the Rams to play from behind. If they happen to build a lead and play from ahead, it will be because Kupp and Nacua were involved. Feels right.

• The SGP (+166): AJ Brown 60+ Receiving Yards (-360) + Cooper Kupp 50+ Receiving Yards (-245) + Puka Nacua 50+ Receiving Yards (-310)
• Wager: 1 Unit to win 1.66 Units using FanDuel Boost
• 2024 SBD SNF SGP Results – 5-5 (+8.49 Units)

The post Eagles vs Rams Same-Game Parlay for Sunday Night Football (Week 12) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

The slate for Saturday is huge. It almost feels illegal. What we need to do in a situation like this is, find two games at noon, and hammer both of them into oblivion. Doing that clears a path for us to have action for every single minute of the entire slate. My uncle always said, “you can’t gamble all day if you don’t start early.” It’s still as true today as it was when I was eight.

Lucky for us, we have two of the best games of the day starting at noon, so we’re good. The obvious one we have to bet is the Indiana Hoosiers/Ohio State Buckeyes matchup. The other one is a low-key one. People don’t even know about it, but the SMU Mustangs/Virginia Cavaliers game could be the best game of the day. Lucky for us, I have the perfect way to bet both of these games.

This could easily be the greatest Saturday of our lives.

College Football Odds

All odds as of Nov. 22 from ESPNBet & FanDuel. Claim the FanDuel promo code to sign up and tail our picks. 

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Points in Columbus?

The game everyone is talking about is obviously the matchup between Indiana and Ohio State. For that reason, we have to bet it. There’s no chance we can hit the group chat without at least one bet on this thing. It wouldn’t be right.

This is a true David vs Goliath fight that demands our attention.

Indiana has proven this season they can have no problem doing more with less

How will they show up vs Ohio State this weekend? pic.twitter.com/qamz8IW579

— FOX College Football (@CFBONFOX) November 21, 2024

Do you want some truth? I’m torn about who is going to win this thing. My head says Ohio State, but my heart says Indiana. I’m a David guy. Always have been. Fortunately, we don’t have to pick a side in this thing. In fact, there is a way that we can cheer on both teams, and that’s the way I’m going.

It’s called the over, and it’s the greatest bet in sports. Luckily, in this game, it seems like the play. I know the haters are going to say that both teams rank in the top seven in opponent points per game, but who have they really played? The only time Ohio State played a top-flight offense, they allowed 32 points to Oregon. Indiana still hasn’t seen a “real” offense.

At the end of the day, both teams sport a legit run defense which sounds bad for an over, but it’s not. What happens is, both teams are forced to go to the air, and in this case, we’re looking at two quarterbacks that can make things happen. If we’re being honest, we could be looking at a 60-burger out of these two teams. Feels right.

The Pick: Indiana/Ohio State Over 53.5 (+100) – ESPN

It’s Kevin Time

I know some people are going to be pissed, but this one is a player prop. Most of us live in prison states that simply don’t allow us to take this wager. I will have to drive to Connecticut to get this down, but I think it’s worth the ride. (If you can’t take the player prop, then consider the SMU Team Total Over.)

We’re talking about the most underrated quarterback in the country here, people.

Is Kevin Jennings one of the most underrated quarterback in the country?

Nick Saban breaks down his film pic.twitter.com/Hym8wl0bBi

— College GameDay (@CollegeGameDay) November 16, 2024

I don’t even know how I learned about Kevin Jennings. I just did. This kid was just whipping the ball all over the field, and I was like, “Who the hell is that guy?” I’m glad I noticed him, though, because he’s been a pot of gold ever since. The thing is, we still haven’t really seen him go “full Kevin” yet.

The problem with Kevin is, SMU has been rolling people so we don’t always see everything Kevin can do. The coaches shut him down before things get too crazy. I think this Saturday could be different. Obviously, SMU is a 10-point favorite, but there is a legit chance they could get into a dogfight with Virginia. The same Virginia that is 122nd in the country in pass defense.

Kevin could get 250+ in the first half. Maybe even the first quarter.

• • The Pick: Kevin Jennings 250+ Passing Yards (+104) – FanDuel (Alt Line)
  • 2024 NCAAF SBD Release Results – 8-12 (-2.66 Units)

The post College Football Picks Today: Best Bets for Nov. 23 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Another Friday means another set of bangers. That’s just how Fridays work. The great part about Week 12 is, it wasn’t easy to narrow down the field of props to only two. There are so many options, that, honestly, I’m not sure how the books stay in business after this weekend. They could easily go down on just the two games I found.

We’re talking the Tampa Bay Buccaneers/New York Giants matchup and the Minnesota Vikings/Chicago Bears game here. There are a million opportunities in those games alone. Luckily, after thousands of mental simulations, I was able to settle on two that have no chance of losing (as of right now).

This could easily be the greatest Sunday of our entire lives.

Week 12 NFL Player Props and Odds

Odds as of November 22 at FanDuel. Check out the best NFL betting apps for player prop wagering. 

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Tommy DeVito is Back

Football is tough, and that was never more apparent this week when the New York Giants benched, then outright released Daniel Jones. But one man’s benching, is another man’s opportunity. That was true the first time a guy got benched, and it’s still true today.

The man who benefits most from the Daniel Jones benching, is Circle of Trust member, Touchdown Tommy DeVito.

Sterling Shepard has been telling his Buccaneers teammates that Tommy DeVito is not someone that they can take lightly this Sunday

“I love Tommy…he’s a great dude” pic.twitter.com/5X0SPn81w4

— Giants Videos (@SNYGiants) November 21, 2024

Here’s the thing about Tommy DeVito, he’s been here before. Last season, he played when Jones got hurt and was a national hero. Is he a good quarterback? Probably not. But, he’s got moxy and his prop numbers are incredibly low. That’s where our opportunity comes into play.

Now, I get that betting on a bad quarterback isn’t fun, but hear me out. For starters, 225+ yards for +320 is crazy. I don’t care how bad the quarterback is. In today’s NFL, 225 yards is an incredibly low bar. Watch a game.

A low bar is only part of this equation since we need a ripe opponent as well. Guess what? We have one in the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. On the season, only three teams in the entire NFL have given up more passing yards to the quarterback position than Tampa. Spencer Rattler went 240+ against these guys. All I’m saying is, this could easily be the greatest bet of all time.

• The Pick: Tommy DeVito 225+ Passing Yards (+320) – FanDuel

Rome Odunze Time in Chicago

When a team fires their offensive coordinator in the middle of the season, it’s usually a bad thing. I’d generally agree, but it’s not exactly bad for everyone. Some guys actually do better after a move like that.

One guy from the Chicago Bears that I can think of is Rome Odunze.

ROME ODUNZE pic.twitter.com/cAweD5w6ud

— Chicago Bears (@ChicagoBears) November 17, 2024

One thing that was very noticeable last week was Odunze looks to be a “real” part of the Chicago Bears offense. I don’t know if that had anything to do with Shane Waldron not calling plays but whatever. Rome was targeted 10 times the first time we saw Thomas Brown call plays so there is that.

This week we’ve got the perfect opponent for Odunze and the Bears in the Minnesota Vikings. Like perfect, perfect. For starters, the Bears could easily play this thing from behind. If that happens, we’re looking at Odunze working against a team that has given up the sixth most receptions to wide receivers this season. Even if the Bears don’t play this thing from behind, Odunze could easily catch six balls. This should not be priced at +350.

Feels right.

• The Pick: Rome Odunze 6+ Receptions (+350) – FanDuel
• 2024 SBD Friday Release Results – 9-11 (+2.28 Units)

The post NFL Player Props Week 12 – Sunday’s Best Prop Bets (Nov. 24) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Monday Night Football is a rite of passage for many gamblers. The fate of an entire week comes down to one final game. It’s literally like a weekly Super Bowl. Now it’s not always the best game, like tonight’s Houston Texans vs Dallas Cowboys matchup, but at the end of the day, it’s all we’ve got. And sometimes, games like tonight feature the best opportunities for moonshots. Lucky for us, I’ve thought about everything that could possibly happen tonight. The list of moves was long, but I was able to narrow it down to just two bets. If I had to guess, I’d say that both of these bets could easily go down as the greatest bets anyone has ever seen.

Texans vs Cowboys Player Prop Picks

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Rico Uses His Hands

I get that running backs run the football but we entered the receiving back era a long time ago. If you can’t catch, then you can’t be a running back in the NFL anymore. That’s just the way it is.

Lucky for Rico Dowdle, he can catch and he was recently named the “lead back” in Dallas.

It’s officially the Rico Dowdle era in Dallas pic.twitter.com/Rp6btAElew

— NFL on ESPN (@ESPNNFL) November 14, 2024

Here’s the thing, we may have caught the books sleeping at the wheel with this one. Like bad sleeping at the wheel. Like drive the car off the road bad. Running back receptions are more about environment than anything else. With that being said, we’ve got the perfect environment tonight.

For starters, Rico plays for the Dallas Cowboys who are 7-point underdogs at home. Translation, they are expected to get their asses kicked. When teams trail, they throw to get back into the game. That’s just how football works. But that’s not even the best part.

The best part of this is, Cooper Rush is the quarterback for the Dallas Cowboys. His ADOT is 6.5 yards. That is incredibly low. It’s indicative of a quarterback that is likely to dump the ball off basically all the time. In fact, Dowdle, has been targeted in the passing game 15 times in the last three weeks. Rush is responsible for nine of those targets and he only played five quarters of those three games.

If we’re being honest, this could easily be the greatest bet of all time. Maybe even better. Feels easy.

• The Pick: Rico Dowdle 5+ Receptions (+270) at Caesars

John Metchie Proves Last Week Was No Fluke

It’s been a tough road for John Metchie III but the future looks bright for this guy. He’s finally healthy on top of getting playing time. Last week, he turned in his best game as a pro posting a 5-74-1 line against the Detroit Lions.

The thing is, last week was no fluke.

Nick Caserio on John Metchie’s breakout game:

Points out that “he’s actually been open a lot when he’s played”

Shows that sometimes it’s just about opportunity. He was open all Jets game but CJ missed him & OL couldn’t hold up pic.twitter.com/3VGUd3wEwB

— Houston Stressans (@TexansCommenter) November 16, 2024

As a man who bet Metchie against the Jets on Halloween, the wide receiver situation in Houston is frustrating. But honestly, it isn’t Metchie’s fault. The guy is filthy and he proved it last week. I get it was a plus matchup but whatever.

This week the receiver situation in Houston is even more cloudy with the return of Nico Collins. Obviously he’s going to command attention and time snaps away from the other guys. The thing is, I think he takes snaps away from Xavier Hutchinson. Metchie started getting most of his playing time when Stefon Diggs went down.

Even if Metchie does lose snaps and targets, it’s hard to imagine it’s so bad that he can’t gain 25+ yards. The +210 price tag is just the cherry on top at this point. This feels like child’s play.

• The Pick: John Metchie 25+ Receiving Yards (+210) at ESPN
• 2024 SBD MNF Results – 9-10 (+1.49 Units)

Also see:

• Texans vs Cowboys Prediction
• Best Texans vs Cowboys Same-Game Parlay

The post Houston Texans vs Dallas Cowboys Player Props – Best Prop Bets for MNF Week 11 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

We’ve got a long day of NFL football to bet on but it’s never too early to start thinking about the Sunday Night game. This week, we’ve got a low-key sweet one with the Cincinnati Bengals vs Los Angeles Chargers. It’s a top-ten offense playing the NFL’s top scoring defense. Who even knows what we’re about to see? One thing we do know is, we need to get a same-game parlay down for this thing. The smartest thing we can do is get it in early in the day so we won’t have to use our brains again. We deserve a brainless Sunday. Lucky for us, I’ve got the perfect way to play this thing.

Bengals vs Chargers Same-Game Parlay Picks

Odds as of Nov. 17 at FanDuel using 30% SNF profit boost. Get a bonus for SNF using SBD’s top sports betting apps. Check out SBD’s guide on SGP betting for NFL if you’re new to same-game parlays.

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Chase Brown Can’t Be Stopped

One man’s injury is another man’s opportunity. That has been the way the NFL has worked since the first guy got hurt. So it should be no surprise when a guy like Chase Brown steps up after the guy in front of him went down.

Still, it is a little jarring to see Brown dominate the way he has since getting full-time work.

Chase Brown finished as a Top-5 scorer at the RB position for the second consecutive week.

This is the first time a Bengals RB finished as a weekly Top-5 scorer at the position since Joe Mixon did it four times in a row in 2021.

Brown is locked in

pic.twitter.com/CEMQ41Qm8w

— TheOGfantasyfootball (@TheOGfantasy) November 15, 2024

Here’s the thing with Brown, the entire fantasy community knew he was legit. Like everyone. We all saw the tweets touting him as the best running back on Cincinnati’s roster. Turns out, they were right. Brown looks like he got shot out of a cannon every time he touches the ball.

Where Brown excels the most is in the passing game. The guy could catch a bb in the dark (probably). Over the last two weeks in a full-time role, the guy has been catching passes all over the place. He has become a Circle of Trust guy for Joe Burrow and even with the return of Tee Higgins, we can still expect him to continue to eat in this offense.

What’s even better is, the Chargers are a good matchup for Brown. Despite being the top defense in the NFL in terms of opponent points per game, they still give it up to running backs in the passing game. Only seven teams in the entire NFL have given up more receptions to the running back position. All of those teams have played more games than the Chargers. Simply put, Brown will have this by halftime.

Will the Thrill Is a Dawg

Obviously, we need to run back a guy on the other side and that guy is Will Dissly. He’s slowly becoming a security blanket for Justin Herbert. If we’re being honest, the Chargers needed that to happen. They just don’t have a ton of receiving options.

This development shouldn’t surprise anyone though. Will the Thrill has been a dawg for years.

Seahawks found a gem in Will Dissly

(via @NFL)pic.twitter.com/GAZVNoW6K4

— B/R Gridiron (@brgridiron) October 4, 2019

Here’s the thing, even though the Chargers are favored, I still think they could play this game from behind. The Bengals literally have to win this game. At the very worst, we should be looking at a neutral game script. What that means is the Chargers could be forced into throwing the ball more than they would like to.

When that happens, this game could turn into the Will Dissly show. Only three teams in the entire NFL have allowed more receptions to the tight end position than the Bengals. The big guys eat. We just saw Mark Andrews go 6-68 against these guys last week. Surly we can get 4-25 out of Dissly tonight. Feels right.

• The SGP (+153): Chase Brown 3+ Receptions (-320) + Will Dissly 4+ Receptions (-188) + Will Dissly 25+ Receiving Yards (-245)
• Wager: 1 Unit to win 1.53 Units using FanDuel Boost
• 2024 SBD SNF SGP Results – 4-5 (+6.96 Units)

The post Cincinnati Bengals vs Los Angeles Chargers Same-Game Parlay for Sunday Night Football (Week 11) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

Last week, we had the time of our lives, and that was mostly due to gambling. We were smart about it. We bet one game at 7:00 pm ET, and then we bet another game at 10:30 pm ET. When all was said and done, we had action for our entire Saturday night. I legit didn’t even make it to the end of the second game because I fell asleep. It was glorious.

I’m thinking we do the same thing again this week. Here’s the good part. We have the perfect early game with the Tennessee Volunteers vs Georgia Bulldogs matchup. It literally doesn’t get any better. But that’s not all. Right after that game, we’re getting the Kansas Jayhawks vs BYU Cougars. We’re going past midnight again, people.

This could easily be the greatest Saturday of our lives.

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Tennessee Will Score on Georgia

Sometimes, in life, we get lucky. We’ve all been lucky and unlucky before, so we know what I’m talking about. This week, we got really lucky. The idea that somehow, some way, Georgia and Tennessee happen to be playing football against each other on Saturday night, is crazy.

It’s hard to understate just how important this football game is.

A very important football game will be played here tomorrow.

Tennessee vs. Georgia

Let’s ride. pic.twitter.com/LlRwTSMxO6

— Trey Wallace (@TreyWallace_) November 15, 2024

Since this is such a big game, we’re going to need to bet it. Our hands are tied. The notion that we’re going to be watching this thing without any cash on the line is absurd. We have to know better by now.

Lucky for us, FanDuel made a gigantic mistake. They gave us a 50% profit boost. On top of that, they hung Tennessee’s team total at 17.5. All we have to do is ladder that number up to 19.5, and we’re gold. Like, who the hell is going to land on 18 or 19 in a football game anyway?

There are football reasons to bet this, though. Tennessee Quarterback Nico Iamaleava looks like he’ll play. That’s huge. He’ll see a Georgia defense that has given up 20+ points to far worse teams. Florida & Mississippi State anyone? Even if Nico can’t get it done, the Tennessee defense could easily hang points on turnover-prone Carson Beck. Simply put, the Volunteers are scoring 20+ points in this game. Feels right.

• The Pick: Tennessee Volunteers Team Total Over 19.5 (+162) – FanDuel (With Boost)

We’re Getting Points in Provo

The only thing better than having the over in the early game is knowing you have the over in the late game as well. Happiness is literally having something to look forward to. Everyone knows that. Look at us; we have something to look forward to.

In terms of what we’re looking forward to, it’s an over bet in a place where weird stuff happens.

The last time BYU played a team from Kansas in Provo at 8:15 #GoCougs #BYUFootball pic.twitter.com/U7LpXMjxRN

— Aullie CFB Report (@BYUFanA) November 13, 2024

BYU came through for us last Saturday. Everyone saw them do it. It was a bigger sweat than it had to be, but it is what it is. They played a tough Utah defense and still went for 20+. On the other side of the ball, their defense gave up almost 20 to a terrible Utah offense. That got me thinking: what would happen if they played a bad defense/good offense team?

We’re about to find out the answer to that question because the Kansas Jayhawks are in Provo Saturday night. We’re talking about a team that just gave up 36 points to Iowa State but also hung 45. That’s a ton of points.

After watching the Cougars offense last week, I’m not kidding when I say I expect BYU to hang 40+ on these Kansas kids. That’s not crazy. And when that happens, all we will need from Kansas is 20+. That’s just how math works. If I had to guess the final score, I’d say we’re looking at a 45-34 type game. All we need is 60+. Feels right.

• • The Pick: Kansas/BYU Over 59.5 (+124) – FanDuel (Alt Line)
  • 2024 NCAAF SBD Release Results – 8-12 (-2.66 Units)

The post College Football Picks Today: Best Bets for Nov. 16 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

We made it back to Friday and I couldn’t be happier. I’m so glad we did! For those of you who don’t know, Fridays are by far the best day to bet NFL player props. The books start sprinkling them out around Thursday but no one seems to remember to bet them until Friday. Probably because of the Thursday night game but who really knows? All we really know is, getting down on Friday feels right.

This week I feel like we should go back to a market that we know we can dominate. Like dominate, dominate. The last two Friday releases have been tough so we need to go back to our roots. Lucky for us, we’ve got the Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday. Then after they’re done, we’re going to see the Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills. Both of these games feature moves in a market we know we can trust. It’s going to be glorious.

This could easily be the greatest Sunday of our entire lives.

Week 11 NFL Player Props and Odds

Odds as of November 15 at Caesars & FanDuel. Check out the best NFL betting apps for player prop wagering. 

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Russell Wilson Drops Bombs

I don’t know what happened to Russell Wilson but something happened. He looks nothing like the guy we saw in Denver. Nothing at all. It could be because he didn’t have the talent around him or the coaching staff. Who really knows? But one thing we do know is that he has dawgs on his side in Pittsburgh.

On top of that, it appears that Russ also has the Lord on his side. It’s hard to diminish that kind of advantage.

For HIS glory! @Steelers

The heart of man plans his way, but the Lord establishes his steps.
Proverbs 16:9 pic.twitter.com/3AKuX1podL

— Russell Wilson (@DangeRussWilson) November 13, 2024

Russell Wilson has started three games for the Steelers this season and he’s thrown for at least two touchdowns in two of them. In the other game, he only threw one but it wasn’t his fault. That game was against the New York Giants and there was no need for Russ to show out. Plus a guy ran back a punt which stole a possession from Russ. He could have easily thrown a TD on that drive.

This week, the Steelers will need all of the touchdowns they can get because they’re hosting the Baltimore Ravens. But here’s the thing, you can’t just run for touchdowns against the Ravens. They’ve only given up five rushing touchdowns all season. That shouldn’t discourage us though.

While they’ve been good at stopping the run, they’ve been equally bad at stopping the pass. Like really bad. Like worst in the NFL. We’re talking 21 passing touchdowns against them bad. So when Russ gets the Steelers near the goal line, we’re looking at a passing TD not a rushing TD. All we need is two.

Sports betting is so easy sometimes.

• The Pick: Russell Wilson 2+ Passing TDs (+109) – Caesars

Josh Allen Also Drops Bombs

The best game Sunday is the Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills. It legit doesn’t get better than that. We’ve got an undefeated team that is an underdog. I for one, have to see how that plays out.

And while everyone seems to be scratching their heads about the point spread, it actually makes sense when you look at the quarterback matchup.

Patrick Mahomes vs. Josh Allen ahead of their Week 11 match-up pic.twitter.com/vUHFYDR5hi

— FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) November 13, 2024

Here’s the thing with this game, we don’t care about the spread. We’re player prop people. But it is nice to know that the linemakers respect the great Josh Allen. As they should.

Do you know what I like about this one? It’s the exact same situation we have with our Russell Wilson bet. We’ve got a quarterback that likes to get loose against a defense that won’t allow teams to run the ball into the end zone. In fact, the Chiefs are even better at keeping guys out than Baltimore since they’ve only given up three rushing touchdowns.

Push is going to come to shove on Sunday and Buffalo is going to score. I doubt it’s on the ground so by process of elimination, it’s going to be Josh Allen throws. Just like Russ, we only need two out of this stud. He could easily do that in the first half. Maybe even in the first quarter.

Feels right.

• The Pick: Josh Allen 2+ Passing TDs (+108) – FanDuel
• 2024 SBD Friday Release Results – 9-11 (+2.28 Units)

The post NFL Player Props Week 11 – Sunday’s Best Prop Bets (Nov. 17) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

I’m going to be honest with you all, we need to fire off some bets in this game tonight. Not only is it a Monday Night Football game, but it’s also a pretty good one. We’re talking about the Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Rams here people. These aren’t two bulls**t teams. Both have the firepower to make any game interesting. On top of that, both teams seem to be coming back to health after missing key guys. Luckily, I saw this as a great game to bet earlier in the week. I went through every possible line and considered every possible thing that could happen. We’re talking thousands of mental simulations here. What I found was shocking. Keep reading.

Dolphins vs Rams Player Prop Picks

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Jonnu Smith Is Old Reliable

The Miami Dolphins’ pass game is nice but a little too flashy for my taste. I’m a receptions guy and when you look through the Miami Dolphins’ receiving options, all we see are a bunch of burners. None of these guys could ever pass as the “possession” type.

Lucky for us, Jonnu Smith has stepped into this role for Miami and it makes sense since he’s been doing it for years.

The Patriots paid Jonnu Smith for exactly this reasonpic.twitter.com/lflhzSq1XL

— PFF NE Patriots (@PFF_Patriots) September 7, 2021

In a game like tonight’s, I need receptions on the Dolphins’ side and I think our receptions guy is Jonnu Smith. It just is. For starters, the Dolphins seem to be trying to get the ball out of Tua’s hands as soon as possible these days. The guy’s ADOT is less than six yards. That’s crazy short.

Since that’s the case, tight ends and running backs in the receiving game are in play. Since we don’t want to play De’Von Achane at 5.5 for -130, we have to look to the tight ends. Jonnu is our guy in that room.

Over the last four games, Jonnu Smith has been targeted at least six ties in every game. That’s a lot. On top of that, these passes are all underneath stuff that has a high catch percentage. We can’t be wasting any targets here people and with Jonnu, we’re not.

I’m thinking he gets this by halftime. Maybe sooner. Feels easy.

• The Pick: Jonnu Smith 4+ Receptions (+102) at Bally Bet

Tua Will Drop Bombs Tonight

It’s been tough for Tua Tagovailoa. He came into the league touted as the man who will save the Miami Dolphins franchise only to keep suffering concussion after concussion. It’s sad really because the guy can play.

The league is actually a better place with him playing.

Entering Week 10, Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa graded out as the third best QB in our QB+ Rankings.

Tua ranks in the top five in clutch-situation performance so far this season, and his 55.6% third-down conversion rate leads the league among qualified QBs. pic.twitter.com/ntz3a5WS4l

— Pro Football Network (@PFN365) November 11, 2024

After watching Tua over the last two weeks, I’m ready to say he’s back. The Dolphins have him playing the type of game that should keep him healthy. He’s getting the ball out quick which is evidenced by his crazy low ADOT. That is a good thing.

Tonight, Tua will see the Los Angeles Rams who are ripe for passing touchdowns. For starters, they’re 4th best in the NFL at home in the opponent rushing yards per attempt metric. That means balls need to fly which is good for us because the Rams have allowed 15 passing touchdowns this season. They’ve only played eight games so 15 is a big number.

These Rams give up the big play which is what we’re looking for tonight. A little Jaylen Waddle or Tyreek Hill screen that goes for 80+ would be perfect. Still, even if we don’t get one of those, we are still in play for red zone TD passes. We only need two people. Tua just did that last week. Feels easy.

• The Pick: Tua Tagovailoa Over 1.5 Passing TDs (-105) at BetMGM
• 2024 SBD MNF Results – 9-8 (+3.49 Units)

The post Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Rams Player Props – Best Prop Bets for MNF Week 10 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

By the time this game hits, we’ll know exactly how good or bad the day has been. The smoke will have cleared and the winners will be separated from the losers. If we want to move to or stay on the “winners” side, we’ll have to nail our Sunday Night Football move. It’s just that simple. Lucky for us, we’ve got a great SGP opportunity in the Detroit Lions vs Houston Texans matchup. Both of these teams can and should get loose tonight, so we can just slam a bunch of overs. The only thing left to do know is figure out exactly which ones to hit. Lucky for us, I’ve gone over every single thing that can possibly happen so we’re good. This could easily be the greatest night of our lives.

Lions vs Texans Same-Game Parlay Picks

All three legs of tonight’s Lions/Texans SGP are overs on the Houston side, and the final price comes out to a massive +637 using the odds boost available at Caesars Sportsbook, meaning a $100 bet will net a profit of $637 if all three legs hit.

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CJ Stroud Should Get Loose

The Houston Texans are 6-3 and in first place in the AFC South. We know that division isn’t the toughest, but still, first place is first place. They just need their franchise quarterback to keep looking like their franchise quarterback even though his receivers are dropping like flies.

Lucky for them, Tank Dell is starting to “get back” after being hurt last season.

CJ Stroud was asked today if he believes Texans WR Tank Dell (@Tankdell4) is ‘getting back’ to the player Houston saw on the field LAST season:

“Last year is last year. This is week 10 in 2024-we’ve gotta let that go.. We’ve gotta go play THIS year.. Every week, he’s [Tank] been… pic.twitter.com/30zOPuW36a

— Tyler Milner (@tmilrealdeal) November 7, 2024

Stroud will definitely need Dell tonight against the Detroit Lions. The Lions are 7-1 so far this season and they’re capable of dropping a 40-burger on anyone they play. In fact, they’ve scored 40+ points in three of their last five games. In one of those games, they went 50+. Those guys are deadly.

The thing is, there is hope for Houston tonight since the Lions feature one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL. Only seven teams in the entire NFL have given up more passing yards to the quarterback position than Detroit. Every one of those teams have played more games than Detroit. Basically, all I’m saying is, once Detroit starts dropping points, Houston has an easy path to stay afloat. Throw the ball!

In an environment like that, Stroud should be able to go for at least 237.5 passing yards. I’m thinking he does it in the first half. Feels right.

Tank Dell Will Be Busy

Obviously., if our quarterback is throwing for 238+ yards, his receivers will be busy. That’s just how the passing game works in the NFL. They call that correlation on the streets.

I know the haters think that Tank Dell is still hobbled, but everyone is saying that he is playing tonight despite being listed as questionable.

#Texans WR Tank Dell IS expected to play Sunday, despite being listed QUESTIONABLE. Per @AaronWilson_NFL pic.twitter.com/0UFgi9din3

— Dylan Delgatto (@DDelgattoNFL) November 9, 2024

Here’s the thing, Dell isn’t the only Texans’ receiver being listed as questionable. Nico Collins is also being listed as questionable after being activated from IR yesterday. This is where it gets interesting. Guys are saying Nico will be OUT tonight. We’re talking guys I trust here. Legit Circle of Trust guys.

Lucky for us, even if Nico does play, he’ll likely be on a pitch count. That means we’re getting suppressed Tank Dell numbers right now given that the books expect Nico Collins to play. If and when he is ruled out, the Tank numbers will get tanked. We should grab his receptions and receiving yards over right now. Feels right.

• The SGP (+637): CJ Stroud 237.5 Passing Yards (-115) + Tank Dell 7+ Receptions (+265) + Tank Dell 80+ Receiving Yards (+160)
• Wager: 1 Unit to win 6.37 Units * With Casesars Boost
• 2024 SBD SNF SGP Results – 4-5 (+6.96 Units)

The post Detroit Lions vs Houston Texans Same-Game Parlay for Sunday Night Football (Week 10) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

There is something about gambling all day on a Saturday that hits differently. Nobody knows how or why, but we all know it does. This Saturday is no different.

The strategy is simple. Win all the money. In this article, we’re going focus on the backend of the slate. Most people don’t know this, but when betting big-ass College Football slates, we need to get our night bets in early. Gambling makes people tired, and we don’t want to make important decisions while we’re weary from gambling all day.

Especially when we’re talking about huge matchups like the Alabama/LSU game and the Holy War between the BYU Cougars and Utah Utes. Lucky for us, I’ve already got a banger for both of those games. All we have to do is put these tickets in our back pockets and wait for the cash to roll in. It really doesn’t even seem fair.

This could easily be the greatest Saturday of our lives.

College Football Odds

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LSU Will Hang Points

One of the best games of the day is the Alabama/LSU game at 7:30 pm. We need to bet this thing. There’s no way we can let these kids go out there and play for nothing. It just wouldn’t be right.

Especially since we know for a fact that these two have a history of getting loose in their matchups.

A Night To Remember

Two years ago, LSU went for two in overtime to seal one of the greatest moments in Tiger Stadium history. pic.twitter.com/laZyRWDeWx

— LSU Football (@LSUfootball) November 8, 2024

Here’s the thing about this one. I think we’re getting points. Like a lot of them. The only issue is, the bookmakers know this, too. Look at the total. It’s jacked all the way up to 58.5. If we want to bet this thing, we’re going to need another angle. Or balls of steel. I say let’s look for a better angle. Lucky for us, I have one.

It’s the LSU team total. FanDuel has a profit boost on this thing, so we can jack it up a little too. These Tigers are home dogs on a Saturday night in Baton Rouge. The kids in the stands are going to be feeling pretty good by the time this thing starts. They’re probably already hanging out in the parking lot now. Simply put, LSU will have all the vibes.

On the field, LSU should be able to sling the rock all over the place. They’re legit sixth in the country in passing yards per game. I know the haters are going to say that Bama is top 30 at defending the pass, but they can’t even name one quarterback the Tide have faced this season. If you say that to one of them, they’ll answer back with, “They played Carson Beck”. Well, that kid went 400+ against Bama. Case closed.

• The Pick: LSU Tigers Team Total Over 28.5 (+148) – FanDuel (With Boost)

We Need Scores in the Holy War

Tonight, we’re getting some West Coast action, which will be needed. Anytime we get loose on a Saturday night with primetime action, the best way to settle down before bed is with more action. Lucky for us, we’ve got the Holy War at 10:15 tonight.

I know this thing has been a little lopsided over the last decade, but that doesn’t concern us.

Utah has won 9 of the last 10 in this rivalry

Can undefeated BYU take down Utah this weekend? pic.twitter.com/5UTb8ssasE

— FOX College Football (@CFBONFOX) November 8, 2024

Here’s what we need. Points. We can’t care who wins this War. We just want to see some kids dancing in the end zone. There’s nothing wrong with that.

Now we know the haters are going to say that Utah’s offense is terrible, and they’re right. But like always, they haven’t thought this thing through. They’re forgetting that the BYU defense is terrible. The last two times the Cougars went on the road, they gave up 24+ points. All we need is 42 points between both teams tonight, and we’re stuffing cash in our pockets. Feels right.

• • The Pick: BYU/Utah Over 41.5 (+116) – FanDuel (Alt Line)
  • 2024 NCAAF SBD Release Results – 7-11 (-2.82 Units)

The post College Football Picks Today: Best Bets for Nov. 9 appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

God, I love Fridays. Always have. They are the catapult to the weekend. Everything is still on the table and possible, which is huge. I get that some people are Saturday people, which is fine, but at some point on Saturday, there is some concern that the weekend is coming to an end. That never happens on Friday because the weekend hasn’t even started yet.

But no matter if you’re a Friday person or not, one thing that can’t be argued is the fact that it’s a great day to get down on the NFL. Lucky for us, I’ve been watching lines all week long. Like a damn lion just waiting to pounce on my prey. The good news is, I found two games that deserve our attention. One in the San Francisco 49ers/Tampa Bay Buccaneers matchup and one in the Atlanta Falcons/New Orleans Saints game. Both are ready to smash.

This could easily be the greatest Sunday of our entire lives.

Week 10 NFL Player Props and Odds

Odds taken November 8 at ESPNBet. Check out the best NFL betting apps for player prop wagering. 

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George Kittle Can’t Be Stopped

I don’t have to tell you who George Kittle is. By now, we all know he is a superior human made of 100%, pure, pharmacy-grade testosterone. The man can do every single thing he is asked to do on the football field, and he does it at a high level.

On top of that, he’s best friends with his quarterback.

#49ers George Kittle and Brock Purdy during the bye week together pic.twitter.com/RFib5P46gr

— OurSF49ers (@OurSf49ers) November 3, 2024

Why does being best friends with the quarterback matter? Because us bettors need him to catch passes. That’s how making money on his props works. I don’t know how we quantify friendship between two players, but I bet it’s valuable. Maybe even super-valuable.

One thing that we know is valuable pass-catchers are injuries to other pass-catchers. It looks like Deebo Samuel and Jauan Jennings will play, as well as Christian McCaffrey, but who knows what type of role they will all have? McCaffrey is playing his first game of the season and the other two are barely practicing. The only thing we do know is Kittle is a beast.

The other thing we know is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers give it up to the tight end position. On the season, only two teams have allowed more receiving yardage to the position. All we need is for the Buccaneers to show a little fight on offense, and we could get a full game of Brock Purdy throwing to his best friend against a weak defense. Feels right.

• The Pick: George Kittle 60+ Receiving Yards (+105) – ESPNBet

Juwan Johnson is About That Life

I know what the haters are going to say. What’s with all of the tight ends, Slop? It’s a great question, and the answer is simple. I’ve been a tight-end guy since middle school. Maybe even elementary school. I can’t get enough.

The thing with tight ends is, they are very tough for the books to price. Especially when they are “dudes”.

New Orleans TE Juwan Johnson has the makings of a dude. Smooth off the LOS, fast enough to beat man coverage, terrific feel for zone. Really soft hands.

He’s slim (former WR) but has tackle breaking ability, too pic.twitter.com/C2r2C8SGw7

— Mina Kimes (@minakimes) August 9, 2023

What makes pricing tight ends hardest is when a team loses their top wide receivers to injury. A team like the New Orleans Saints who have last both Chris Olave and Rashid Shaheed. It’s tough to know if those teams will lean on their tight ends in the pass game, or just throw it to the running backs and backup receivers.

Lucky for us, we know the Saints know they have an absolute stud in Juwan Johnson. The guy has just been waiting for an opportunity like this, and now he has one. This time it’s with starting quarterback, Derek Carr, and not the backups like last time all of the Saints’ receivers were out.

Obviously, opportunity is big, but we’ll also need the right opponent, and I think we have that in the Atlanta Falcons. First of all, they’re favored, and they should lead the whole time. We want the Saints behind and throwing, which I think we’ll get. We just saw tight end Jake Ferguson go 7-71 in that exact situation in the Falcons’ last game.

If we’re being honest, Juwan could get this in the first quarter. On the first drive, even.

• The Pick: Juwan Johnson 35+ Receiving Yards (+135) – ESPNBet
• 2024 SBD Friday Release Results – 9-9 (+4.28 Units)

The post NFL Player Props Week 10 – Sunday’s Best Prop Bets (Nov. 10) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.