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Free Week 12 NFL Parlay Picks: Get 93-1 Odds with This Parlay

Matt McEwan

By Matt McEwan in NFL Football

Published:


Jameson Williams celebrating with the crowd
Nov 17, 2024; Detroit, Michigan, USA; Detroit Lions wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown (14) and wide receiver Jameson Williams (9) Jump into the seat and celebrate St Brown’s touchdown against the Jacksonville Jaguars during the second half at Ford Field. Mandatory Credit: David Reginek-Imagn Images
  • There are still 12 games to go in Week 12 of the 2024-25 NFL season, meaning plenty of options for NFL parlay legs
  • I am betting two NFL parlays for Week 12
  • Check out my NFL parlay picks below, including a 93-1 longshot parlay

I have spent the past few days going through all of the betting markets for Week 12 of the 2024-25 NFL season, with one thing in mind: crafting the perfect NFL parlay. What I have come up with this week is a five-leg, 93-1 odds longshot NFL parlay, as well as a +162 higher-probability NFL parlay.

I hit three of the five legs in my longshot parlay last week, which would have made a nice profit if you bet them as singles as well. But I came up short on the full parlay. I did hit my higher-probability parlay at +195 odds, though, marking the second straight week I have done so.

Let’s see if I can crack the big NFL parlay for Week 12!

Longshot Week 12 NFL Parlay

Parlay Legs Odds
CJ Stroud 250+ Passing Yards +115
Mike Evans Anytime TD +120
Commanders -13.5 +142
Jameson Williams 60+ Receiving Yards +210
Demario Douglas 50+ Receiving Yards +165
TOTAL 5-LEG PARLAY +9303

My longshot NFL parlay for Week 12 has five legs and is best placed at bet365, where you can get +9303 odds. This means a $5 bet would profit $465.16 and return $470.16. Prior to this week, bet365 had not been a sportsbook where my parlays could be placed, as their player milestones went up by multiples of 25 or 50. They just changed that ahead of this week, and are likely to be the best book for many of my parlays moving forward. (If you’re not betting with bet365 yet, check out our bet365 app review if you want to know more about them before signing up. But they’re one of my favorites, for what it’s worth.)

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DraftKings gets close to this price at 89-1, while all the other major sportsbooks are well behind. Keep reading to see why I like each of the five legs above, as well as my second NFL parlay below the analysis.

This longshot NFL parlay gets started with CJ Stroud to record 250+ passing yards. Stroud threw for 257 yards last week while playing with a lead the entire game, and the Cowboys defense being unable to stop Joe Mixon on the ground. It was just the second time he had surpassed 250 passing yards over the past six weeks. But it comes as no coincidence that Stroud and the passing game showed some life last week. The boost should be credited to Nico Collins returning to the lineup. In games where Collins has played, Stroud has thrown for over 250 yards in four of six and is averaging 273.7 passing yards per game in those contests. I believe the Titans will hold up against the run much better than Dallas did last week, forcing Stroud to put the ball in the air a little more.

I went into why I like Mike Evans to score a touchdown this Sunday in my Week 12 NFL TD picks. The gist here is Baker Mayfield will be thrilled to have one of his trusted receivers back, and I like him to get Evans worked in early and often, but especially in the red zone.

The next leg of this NFL parlay is an alternate spread of Commanders -13.5. Washington is riding a two-game losing streak, but those losses came at the hands of two good teams (Steelers and Eagles). Their Week 12 opponent, the Dallas Cowboys, is not a good team. Dallas was a bad team with Dak Prescott under center. They’re a horrible team with Cooper Rush at QB. The Cowboys allow the eighth-most yards per rush attempt and have allowed the second-most points in the league. In the last five weeks, they have given up 184 rushing yards to the Lions, 223 to the 49ers, 100 to the Falcons, 187 to the Eagles, and 141 to the Texans. Washington averages the seventh-most yards per rush attempt, and are going to run up the score against their divisional foe.

Next up, I’m taking Jameson Williams for 60+ receiving yards. Williams has gone over this total in five of the eight games he has played this season, and is coming off a 124-yard outing against the Jaguars last week. The Lions face another bad defense in Week 12, as they head to Indianapolis. The Colts defense gives up the seventh-most net yards per pass attempt, and have had a knack for giving up big plays through the air too.

Last but not least, I have Demario Douglas to record 50+ receiving yards against the Dolphins. Douglas has accomplished this feat in each of his last two games, and four of his last seven. However, looking at the three games where he came up short, the most recent was against the Titans, where he had seven receptions on nine targets. He just wasn’t able to break loose for any big ones. The second came against the Jets, when QB Drake Maye left the game very early with a concussion. The third was the Patriots’ game against the Jaguars, where Douglas left the game after the first drive, though he had two catches for 14 yards on three targets in that first drive. Douglas remains New England’s best playmaker, and the Patriots are likely going to need to put up a decent amount of points in this one.

Higher-Probability Week 12 NFL Parlay

Parlay Legs Odds
Chiefs -6.5 -213
Nico Collins 50+ Receiving Yards -425
Cooper Kupp 50+ Receiving Yards -225
TOTAL 3-LEG PARLAY +162

My higher-probability NFL parlay for Week 12 has three legs and can be had at +162 odds at DraftKings. FanDuel comes in very close at +161, and bet365 is also close at +155. You can find my analysis on each leg below!

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I’m starting this higher-probability NFL parlay off with an alternate spread of Chiefs -6.5. Kansas City finally lost their first game of the season last week at the hands of the Bills, though they should have lost the previous week as well, and probably even the week prior. I believe the loss will only humble and motivate this team as they prepare to take on the worst team in the league in Carolina. I don’t believe Bryce Young will be able to get anything going against a Chiefs defense that ranks fifth in yards allowed and eighth in points allowed. The Panthers have given up more points than any other team in the NFL, and can’t stop the run or pass. Even if the Chiefs offense struggles to get back on track, I still believe they win this game by at least a touchdown.

The next leg is Nico Collins for 50+ receiving yards. Collins has recorded at least 54 yards in all six games he has played this season, even the one he left early with an injury. His season-low of 54 yards came last week, which marked his return from injury. The Texans eased their star WR back in, though, as he only played 47% of their offensive snaps – he is typically above 80%. I believe he’ll play a bigger percentage of the team’s snaps this week against the Titans, and he should have no problem hitting this number.

The final leg of this parlay is a pretty familiar one, but I did warn everyone each of the last two weeks that if sportsbooks keep giving me Cooper Kupp for 50+ receiving yards at odds this long, I would have to keep taking it. So, here we are. Kupp has only gone under this total once this season, and it was the game he got hurt in the second quarter. He is fresh off a 106-yard game against the Patriots, and has 100+ receiving yards in two of his last three now. I appreciate the Eagles defense has been very good against the pass, but the connection Matthew Stafford has with Kupp is what I suspect the Rams will lean on in what is likely to be a game where they’ll need points.

Matt McEwan
Matt McEwan

Editor-in-Chief; Sports Betting Expert

With nearly a decade working in the industry, Matt is a seasoned sports betting veteran. He got his start with SBD in 2016 and worked his way up the ladder to become the Editor-in-Chief. Along the way he has done everything from reviewing sportsbooks to creating proprietary sports betting tools.

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